Wx Infinity Forums

Looks like a possible NW heading now...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-vis.html

srainhoutx wrote:Yeah Cory, the potential for core rains is likely very real with the approach that Hermine will make into Central TX. Looking forward to your KWRF runs.

While a core event is always possible with decaying TC's the fast forward motion post landfall may may mitigate a serious flooding threat. Still a few locations along and right of the track will likely get 10-15 inches which will cause some river problems and flash flooding.

The closer it moves in to mexico - the less rain we get - the further north it goes - the more likelyhood we will see more rain. Just from the looks of sat pics - its going in at mexico.

ticka1 wrote:The closer it moves in to mexico - the less rain we get - the further north it goes - the more likelyhood we will see more rain. Just from the looks of sat pics - its going in at mexico.

The center will likely go in around 20 miles either side of KBRO. Vast amounts of deep moisture extend well NE from the center and this will all push inland across the TX coast. Already have numerous squalls moving across the entire TX coast at this time...one just passed the house in Richmond with some decent wind. It is going to be wet..but the main threat form flooding may be west of Houston metro toward I-35 where core rains/bands will fall. Will need to watch training bands locally...remember Alex and TS ERIN flooding in this area from center landfall 100's of miles away,

Thanks for your input Jeff. Big view of Hermine and the Gulf...

Latest microwave pass caught Hermine...

It looks like Hermine will take full advantage of it's short time over the Gulf. Really starting to get together.

Not much time left over water for this one.

Yeah CIMSS MIMIC shows just how fast Hermine is moving..

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... splay.html

Unless it goes more North.....if it continues NW then yeah it will be inland later this afternoon.

Anyone know if a new recon mission going back in anytime soon. Looks like the current one is heading back to Maxwell.

Recon just departed Keesler, should be there in 90 min or so. Hermine jogged a bit west recently. This could put the center inland south of BRO late tonight.

So another Bust for us here in NW Houston near Waller??

MRG93415 wrote:So another Bust for us here in NW Houston near Waller??

A bust? What do you mean? Hermine wasn't forecast to hit us directly. We're already getting rain all along the TX coast at least partly associated with Hermine.

Just down 290 a ways MRG93415, I've had almost 2 inches of rainfall in the past hour and a half with a couple waves of showers. Hang on!

wxman57 wrote:Recon just departed Keesler, should be there in 90 min or so. Hermine jogged a bit west recently. This could put the center inland south of BRO late tonight.

Thanks wxman57, following it on Google Earth now.

I see we are getting some rain now, I just meant that we wont get ALOT of rain from this. Hockley seems to get this bubble around it that prevents us from rain...LOL It gets to fairfield and then goes around Hockley and hit waller..

000
WTNT35 KNHC 061732
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010
100 PM CDT MON SEP 06 2010

...HERMINE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE AS IT HEADS FOR THE WESTERN
GULF COAST...

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.1N 96.5W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM ENE OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SSE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

In the process of building a nice eye. Does appear to have a much more westerly component then what the latest update had and should come in plenty S of the border later on this evening.

If current trends hold.

Glad I didn't unpack the raincoat and head S.

Yep, took a NW jog of late. That would put the center inland 30-50 miles south of Brownsville this evening. Less time to reach hurricane strength, too.