April 2023

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Cpv17
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brazoriatx wrote: Thu Apr 06, 2023 5:38 pm Seems like the storms that fired near the coast went poof
To me it feels like the atmosphere is too stable for anything of significance to start building up.
Stratton20
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It looks like we will get a few days of dry weather after this rain event wraps up, but looking down the road, model guidance continues to stay decently active across the state in terms of rain chances
GFS is very wet, courtesy of the SOI crashing😁
Last edited by Stratton20 on Thu Apr 06, 2023 6:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Cromagnum
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Been dry slotted the entire time yesterday and so far today. Driveway barely got wet yesterday and has been bone dry today.
Cpv17
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Cromagnum wrote: Thu Apr 06, 2023 6:08 pm Been dry slotted the entire time yesterday and so far today. Driveway barely got wet yesterday and has been bone dry today.
All I’ve gotten so far is .17”.. pathetic.
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don
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The radar is really starting to fill in now over Harris and Montgomery counties.
Cpv17
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don wrote: Thu Apr 06, 2023 6:42 pm The radar is really starting to fill in now over Harris and Montgomery counties.
It finally looks like things are about to start popping.
brazoriatx
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Still don't see anything popping south of I 10
davidiowx
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Cpv, looks like you’re on the edge, cells keep drifting N though. Hopefully it fills in soon
Cromagnum
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Big old donut of fail where I'm at.
brazoriatx
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Ya, seems like Brazoria county will get dry slotted
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don
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Decent line of heavy rain moving into the metro.
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brazoriatx
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Thought this was suppose to move south?
Cpv17
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davidiowx wrote: Thu Apr 06, 2023 7:42 pm Cpv, looks like you’re on the edge, cells keep drifting N though. Hopefully it fills in soon
Yeah it’s raining here but I’m on the edge of it like you said. Looks a lot more promising for points north of me. I’m hoping for some new development around Victoria that could drift up 59 my way.
Cpv17
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brazoriatx wrote: Thu Apr 06, 2023 8:09 pm Thought this was suppose to move south?
No. The rain has been moving east or northeast, not south. In order for your area to get rain it needs to come from the Matagorda/Palacios area.
brazoriatx
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Cpv17 wrote: Thu Apr 06, 2023 8:23 pm
brazoriatx wrote: Thu Apr 06, 2023 8:09 pm Thought this was suppose to move south?
No. The rain has been moving east or northeast, not south. In order for your area to get rain it needs to come from the Matagorda/Palacios area.
I ment tonight into tomorrow.
Cpv17
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brazoriatx wrote: Thu Apr 06, 2023 8:29 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Thu Apr 06, 2023 8:23 pm
brazoriatx wrote: Thu Apr 06, 2023 8:09 pm Thought this was suppose to move south?
No. The rain has been moving east or northeast, not south. In order for your area to get rain it needs to come from the Matagorda/Palacios area.
I ment tonight into tomorrow.
It will depend upon the track of the coastal low tonight and into tomorrow that will determine how much rain Brazoria County gets. The rain today that has been taking place up north and west of us has been from a stalled boundary.
dp6
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There's plenty of lightning to the west of Houston tonight. Putting on quite a show.
Cromagnum
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:evil: Unless this coalesces, I'm not going to get ****.
dp6
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Coming down hard here, hope it doesn't flood. Lightning knocked out power.
Cpv17
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Cromagnum wrote: Thu Apr 06, 2023 9:26 pm :evil: Unless this coalesces, I'm not going to get ****.
The 15th and 16th needs to be watched for another possible significant event. That’s next weekend.
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