April Discussions: Drought Continues/Driest April On Record!

[srainhoutx]

Hopefully the 12Z WRF is somewhat correct. At least it does give us some rain chances.

[srainhoutx]

Temp in Childress has reached 100F right behind the dryline. Impressive...

[Baseballdude2915]

Pretty windy out there tonight... should pick up tomorrow too
Last real shot of cool air this season, maybe the last time we dip below 45.
And we might even hit 90 in a week or so.. ITS ENDING, Nooooo.


Anyway, this board is DEAD until hurricane season.

[srainhoutx]

Cap looks to be overdone via the models and may well not be much of an issue. The big story regarding the front will be the winds, I suspect behind that front. 30-40 mph + winds and gusts could be the theme this afternoon across the area. Blowing dust is already an issue across much of W TX as well. Elevated fire risk is the other news worthy item of the day. Let's hope those storms to our W can make some progress toward the area. SPC should update shortly and just maybe our storm chances will be increased based on those radar trends.

[srainhoutx]

Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued for our Northern Counties until 3:00 PM CDT...

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 90
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
745 AM CDT MON APR 4 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS
NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA
CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 745 AM UNTIL 300
PM CDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA TO 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
COLLEGE STATION TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 87...WW 88...WW 89...

DISCUSSION...ORGANIZING BAND OF STG-SVR CONVECTION...INVOF SFC COLD
FRONT...IS FCST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AS FRONTAL/CONVERGENCE ZONE
IMPINGES UPON PROGRESSIVELY RICHER LOW-LEVEL THETAE. VERTICAL WIND
PROFILES INDICATE DOMINANT QUASI-LINEAR MODE WITH EMBEDDED LEWP/BOW
FORMATIONS. PRIMARY THREAT IS DAMAGING WIND...THOUGH BRIEF QLCS
TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

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TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ANDERSON             ANGELINA            BASTROP             
   BELL                 BOWIE               BRAZOS              
   BURLESON             CAMP                CASS                
   CHEROKEE             CORYELL             FALLS               
   FRANKLIN             FREESTONE           GREGG               
   GRIMES               HARRISON            HAYS                
   HENDERSON            HILL                HOPKINS             
   HOUSTON              KAUFMAN             LEE                 
   LEON                 LIMESTONE           MADISON             
   MARION               MCLENNAN            MILAM               
   MONTGOMERY           MORRIS              NACOGDOCHES         
   NAVARRO              PANOLA              POLK                
   RAINS                RED RIVER           ROBERTSON           
   RUSK                 SABINE              SAN AUGUSTINE       
   SAN JACINTO          SHELBY              SMITH               
   TITUS                TRAVIS              TRINITY             
   UPSHUR               VAN ZANDT           WALKER              
   WASHINGTON           WILLIAMSON          WOOD  

[srainhoutx]

SPC Update is in and Slight Risk expanded further W in TX to include SE TX:

...AR/ERN TX EWD THROUGH THE LOWER MS VALLEY...TN VALLEY AND CNTRL
GULF STATES TODAY INTO TONIGHT...

THE INCIPIENT STAGE OF WHAT APPEARS TO BE A LONG-LIVED SEVERE
CONVECTIVE EVENT IS CURRENTLY UNFOLDING ALONG THE COLD FRONT FROM
THE LOWER OH VALLEY SWWD INTO NERN/N-CNTRL TX. 12Z OBSERVED
SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT CAP ASSOCIATED WITH THE EML HAS BEEN
MAINTAINED GENERALLY SOUTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR. HOWEVER...
CONTINUED BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTENING ALONG AXIS OF 50-60 KT SWLY LLJ
COUPLED WITH DAYTIME HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EVENTUAL EROSION OF
THE CAP WITHIN WARM SECTOR WHERE AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES WILL RANGE
FROM 500-1000 J/KG OVER THE TN VALLEY TO 1000-2000 J/KG ACROSS PARTS
OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND CNTRL GULF STATES.

CURRENT RADAR OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A MIX OF STORM MODES...INCLUDING
LINE SEGMENTS AND SOME SUPERCELL MORPHOLOGIES. GIVEN THE STRONG
LOW- AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR OBSERVED AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...A RISK
FOR A FEW TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL EXIST WITH THE
MOST INTENSE STORMS THIS MORNING. BY AFTERNOON...CONSENSUS OF
LATEST CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES UPSCALE GROWTH
OF STORMS INTO A QLCS WHICH WILL PROGRESS EWD/SEWD THROUGH THE
MODERATE RISK AREA. GIVEN THE FORECAST STRENGTHENING OF
TROPOSPHERIC WIND FIELD /I.E. 50-75 KT AT 700 MB AND 50-60 KT AT 850
MB/...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND
PERHAPS A FEW TORNADOES.

EXPECT THE DAMAGING WIND THREAT TO CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS
OF GA...CNTRL/SRN AL AND NRN FL IN CONCERT WITH PRE-FRONTAL QLCS
MOVING THROUGH THE AREA.

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
908 AM CDT MON APR 4 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
HOUSTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1000 AM CDT

* AT 903 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 15
MILES NORTHWEST OF AUSTONIO...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT
LIMITED TO GRAPELAND AND CROCKETT.

[redneckweather]

Per radar loop, storms are starting to weaken big time as they approach our area. It looks like the CAP is going to be an issue.

It looks like the line of t-storms earlier hit THE death shield...aka, Southeast, Texas.


http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

[redneckweather]

Radar is DEAD now. We have a powerful cold front fixing to hit and will proabaly only get a sprinkle out of it, if that. Can I cuss on here?

[srainhoutx]

Radar is DEAD now. We have a powerful cold front fixing to hit and will proabaly only get a sprinkle out of it, if that. Can I cuss on here?

I know how you feel. Trust me...

[ticka1]

It sucks. I will be watering my garden tonight along with the wind that will be coming thru with this front UGH.

[jasons2k]

I already soaked my lawn yesterday in anticipation of a whole lot of nothing.

[srainhoutx]

That darn cap. Clouds have broken up a bit up here again and it is certainly muggy. When will we get some rain? This drought is really becoming a problem.

[wxman57]

Changed my mind. I blame Steve.

Well, the glory of Daylight Savings time, I have time to put out the sprinkler tomorrow evening after work. Plans this evening.

Watering in the evening is a bad idea. It can result in a diseased lawn. You don't want your grass to be wet at night. Water early in the morning for best results.

[jasons2k]

Changed my mind. I blame Steve.

Well, the glory of Daylight Savings time, I have time to put out the sprinkler tomorrow evening after work. Plans this evening.

If you have a St. Augustine lawn, watering in the evening can contribute to fungus and brown patch. It's best to water in the early morning, if possible...

[srainhoutx]

Some new activity firing along the front...

[jasons2k]

There is life again, maybe the deeper moisture is overcoming the cap ?

[srainhoutx]

New page so I'll add the radar again. You may be right Jason. Last hour the muggies really set in up here. Fingers crossed...

[redneckweather]

Yep, the radar is lighting up just in the knick of time to give my yard some rain! Storms are popping up pretty quick along the leading edge of the front now.

Jennifer Nettles

[srainhoutx]

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TXC015-185-201-339-471-473-477-041630-
/O.NEW.KHGX.SV.W.0014.110404T1552Z-110404T1630Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1052 AM CDT MON APR 4 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN AUSTIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN GRIMES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN WALKER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHERN WALLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1130 AM CDT

* AT 1044 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED FROM A NORTHERN WALLER COUNTY TO LAKE LIVINGSTON LINE...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. THIS LINE WILL SLOWLY SAG SOUTHWARD
THROUGH THE HOUR...AFFECTING NORTHERN WALLER...NORTHWEST
HARRIS...MONTGOMERY...AND SAN JACINTO COUNTIES.

* LOCATIONS IN THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT
LIMITED TO WILLIS...PRAIRIE VIEW...PINEHURST...PANORAMA VILLAGE...
NEW WAVERLY...MAGNOLIA...CUT AND SHOOT AND CONROE.

Also our neighbors in Far SE TX/SW LA have a new Tornado Watch just issued until 6:00PM.

Code: Select all

.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
     
     HARDIN               JASPER              JEFFERSON           
     NEWTON               ORANGE              TYLER 

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 .    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
     
     ACADIA               ALLEN               ASCENSION           
     ASSUMPTION           AVOYELLES           BEAUREGARD          
     CALCASIEU            CAMERON             CATAHOULA           
     CONCORDIA            EAST BATON ROUGE    EAST CARROLL        
     EAST FELICIANA       EVANGELINE          FRANKLIN            
     IBERIA               IBERVILLE           JEFFERSON DAVIS     
     LAFAYETTE            LIVINGSTON          MADISON             
     MOREHOUSE            POINTE COUPEE       RAPIDES             
     RICHLAND             ST. HELENA          ST. LANDRY          
     ST. MARTIN           ST. MARY            ST. TAMMANY         
     TANGIPAHOA           TENSAS              VERMILION           
     VERNON               WASHINGTON          WEST BATON ROUGE    
     WEST CARROLL         WEST FELICIANA