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Re: December 2023

Posted: Fri Dec 01, 2023 7:18 pm
by dp6
Just got home, can confirm there was a lot of light rain that wasn't showing on the composite radar. How much longer is the Houston radar down, 1 week or 2?

Re: December 2023

Posted: Sat Dec 02, 2023 1:20 am
by Cromagnum
dp6 wrote: Fri Dec 01, 2023 7:18 pm Just got home, can confirm there was a lot of light rain that wasn't showing on the composite radar. How much longer is the Houston radar down, 1 week or 2?
The plan was two weeks, so about 10 more days if they don't run into issues.

Re: December 2023

Posted: Sat Dec 02, 2023 11:39 am
by Cpv17
Well the models are back to looking like a pile of dookie again. Wonderful lol

Re: December 2023

Posted: Sat Dec 02, 2023 11:44 am
by Stratton20
Still 8-9 days out, the 6z GFS is why im not sold on the track of the cut off low

Re: December 2023

Posted: Sat Dec 02, 2023 11:58 am
by Cpv17
Stratton20 wrote: Sat Dec 02, 2023 11:44 am Still 8-9 days out, the 6z GFS is why im not sold on the track of the cut off low
I kinda am tbh. This is the pattern we’re in where things tend to blow up east of us. Plus, they were in a bad drought there. So it makes sense for them to be really wet now. The climate models have also been showing this for quite awhile now and most winter precipitation forecasts have the SE getting hammered with rain.

Re: December 2023

Posted: Sat Dec 02, 2023 12:03 pm
by Cromagnum
We're gonna stay green all winter aren't we? No cold to be seen.

Re: December 2023

Posted: Sat Dec 02, 2023 12:05 pm
by Cpv17
Cromagnum wrote: Sat Dec 02, 2023 12:03 pm We're gonna stay green all winter aren't we? No cold to be seen.
I just want rain. Cold and wintry weather would just be the icing on top for me.

Re: December 2023

Posted: Sat Dec 02, 2023 12:21 pm
by MontgomeryCoWx
Cromagnum wrote: Sat Dec 02, 2023 12:03 pm We're gonna stay green all winter aren't we? No cold to be seen.
Pretty much everyone is pointing to the last 7-10 days of December and mid January onward as times when we have high probabilities of cold.

Re: December 2023

Posted: Sat Dec 02, 2023 12:22 pm
by Harp1
I must say, the outlook right now is rather depressing. ☹️☹️

Re: December 2023

Posted: Sat Dec 02, 2023 12:45 pm
by Stratton20
Its going to take time but models are showing a stretching of the PV, especially with what guidance is showing the last week of december into early january, this mild pattern will come to an end

Re: December 2023

Posted: Sat Dec 02, 2023 12:57 pm
by Harp1
I must say, as of right now, it’s not looking very encouraging for winter weather in the near future. ☹️☹️

Re: December 2023

Posted: Sat Dec 02, 2023 1:51 pm
by sambucol
Sounds good to me.

Re: December 2023

Posted: Sat Dec 02, 2023 3:23 pm
by Cpv17
Way to go Texas!! Big 12 champs! Now Georgia beat Alabama and Louisville beat Florida State please!

Re: December 2023

Posted: Sat Dec 02, 2023 7:34 pm
by jasons2k
Emptied 0.25" from yesterday's rain.

That was a incredible game by 'Bama.

This weather is fine with me. Looking forward to seeing the sun again this week. :)

Re: December 2023

Posted: Sat Dec 02, 2023 8:03 pm
by Cpv17
jasons2k wrote: Sat Dec 02, 2023 7:34 pm Emptied 0.25" from yesterday's rain.

That was a incredible game by 'Bama.

This weather is fine with me. Looking forward to seeing the sun again this week. :)
Of course it’s fine with you Mr. Sunshine State! Lol

Re: December 2023

Posted: Sat Dec 02, 2023 10:57 pm
by Stratton20
After looking at tonights trends, its pretty likely se texas is going to miss out on beneficial rains from the bowling ball upper low, this el nino has been underwhelming for sure, very disappointing that we can never get a good rain event for this part of the state

Re: December 2023

Posted: Sun Dec 03, 2023 11:32 am
by DoctorMu
Mild, sunny weather this week with highs in the upper 60s and low 70s. The next big FROPA and chance of rain is around Dec. 10, followed by below normal temps per EURO and GFS. CMC brings the big FROPA in later but colder.

No complaints.

Don't expect any serious forecasts about potential wintry mischief until near the Christmas holidays...and it's still rare. Although, something in the 2004 range would be nice!

Re: December 2023

Posted: Sun Dec 03, 2023 12:01 pm
by Cpv17
Texas is in!! Woohoo! Sucks so bad for Jordan Travis and FSU.

Re: December 2023

Posted: Sun Dec 03, 2023 12:10 pm
by jasons2k
I'm back in my shorts. What a beautiful day.

Re: December 2023

Posted: Sun Dec 03, 2023 12:52 pm
by DoctorMu
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Dec 03, 2023 12:01 pm Texas is in!! Woohoo! Sucks so bad for Jordan Travis and FSU.
Texas and Bama had the #3 and #2 SOS per Sagarin. FSU had the #62 SOS.

Can't wait for the 12 team playoffs next year! More games in November will matter.