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SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TXC239-201545-
/O.NEW.KHGX.SV.W.0005.100320T1453Z-100320T1545Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
953 AM CDT SAT MAR 20 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1045 AM CDT

* AT 939 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM 7 MILES WEST OF MORALES TO
VICTORIA...MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. WINDS GUSTED TO 53 MPH
AS THE STORMS PASSED OVER THE AIRPORT IN VICTORIA.

* LOCATIONS IN THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT
LIMITED TO GANADO....MORALES...EDNA...VANDERBILT...LAKE TEXANA DAM...
LA WARD.

In the middle of it out here in Katy, some wind & heavy rain, very few lightening strikes.

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0197
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0928 AM CDT SAT MAR 20 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE/UPPER TX COASTAL PLAIN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 201428Z - 201600Z

MARGINAL/ISOLATED SEVERE WIND POTENTIAL SHOULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE MIDDLE/UPPER COASTAL TX PLAIN THROUGH
MID/LATE MORNING. A CONVECTIVE WATCH IS UNLIKELY.

QUASI-LINEAR CONVECTIVE SYSTEM/SQUALL LINE...WITH THE BRUNT OF IT
EXTENDING FROM THE COLLEGE STATION TO VICTORIA AREAS AS OF
1415Z...WILL CONTINUE TO ADVANCE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD /AT AROUND 30-35
KT/ ACROSS THE MIDDLE/UPPER TX COASTAL PLAIN THROUGH MID/LATE
MORNING. WHILE THIS MATURE QLCS HAS/MAY CONTINUE TO EXHIBIT
LEWP/EMBEDDED MESO-VORTEX TYPE CHARACTERIZES...WEAK BUOYANCY/DEGREE
OF LOW LEVEL CINH...PER MODIFIED 12Z CRP OBSERVED RAOB/RUC SOUNDINGS
GIVEN ONLY AROUND 60 F/MIDDLE 50S F SURFACE TEMPERATURES/DEWPOINTS
RESPECTIVELY...ARE SUGGESTIVE OF ONLY A MARGINAL/ISOLATED SEVERE
WIND THREAT THIS MORNING. AS SUCH...NO WATCH IS ANTICIPATED.

..GUYER.. 03/20/2010


ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...CRP...

I'm not seeing much lightning along the line heading into Houston. Just a brief period of heavy rain followed by a couple hours of lingering much lighter rain.

NWS:

A SQUALL LINE WILL BE MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST THROUGH THE PERIOD. EXPECT THIS LINE OF STORMS TO BE
ROUGHLY SITUATED FROM COLDSPRING TO DOWNTOWN HOUSTON TO MATAGORDA
BAY BY 1050 AM....CLEVELAND TO PEARLAND TO BAY CITY BY 1115 AM...AND
FROM WINNIE TO 40 MILES SOUTH OF SARGENT BY 1230 PM. THOUGH
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS...WINDS WILL REALLY INCREASE AS IT PUSHES THROUGH. EXPECT
WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 20 AND 40 MPH. THERE ARE SEVERAL OUTDOOR
ACTIVITIES GOING ON TODAY. KEEP AN EYE TO THE SKY...AND PLAN TO
SEEK SHELTER AS YOU OBSERVE THESE STORMS MOVING IN FROM THE WEST
NORTHWEST.

Getting some rumbles of thunder now as storms transition to elevated in NW Harris County.

Radar indicates 1.28" hail possible southeast of Edna.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1048 AM CDT SAT MAR 20 2010

TXZ226-235-236-201645-
JACKSON-MATAGORDA-WHARTON-
1048 AM CDT SAT MAR 20 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

AT 1042 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 25 MILES WEST OF BAY CITY...OR 14 MILES WEST OF
MIDFIELD...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...SOUTH TEXAS NUCLEAR
PLANT...MIDFIELD...MATAGORDA...DANEVANG...BLESSING AND BAY CITY.

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL TREE BRANCHES TO BE BROKEN...AND
UNSECURED OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

Echo tops in the storm over westerb Matagorda county now approaching now over 34,000 ft.

wxdata wrote:Echo tops in the storm over western Matagorda county now approaching now over 34,000 ft.

Almost has a Meso Low look to it.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1057 AM CDT SAT MAR 20 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN BRAZORIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
EASTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
CENTRAL MATAGORDA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL NOON CDT

* AT 1048 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 16
MILES WEST OF MARKHAM...OR 14 MILES NORTH OF PALACIOS...AND MOVING
EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT
LIMITED TO SARGENT...MIDFIELD...BLESSING...VAN VLECK...SWEENY AND
BAY CITY.

Temperatures in the 30's not that far behind the front..

wxdata wrote:Temperatures in the 30's not that far behind the front..

-sn in Junction and some other areas of the Edwards Plateau as well.

NWS:

"Pea size hail in bay city around 1125am. Also a report of "larger" hail in Blessing around 11."

Baytown is currently getting rain now with a current temperature in the lower sixties.

A lot more thunder now with elevated storms in NW Harris County.

Wow1 These thunderstorms have significantly weakened prior reaching the city of Baytown. I am not even seeing any lightning or hearing any thunder.

I am happy for those of you who received thrills from some these severe thunderstorms.

Ed Mahmoud wrote:
I honestly don't know, but our statistician might.


What kills more Americans. Severe thunderstorms, or winter precip. Avalanches, exposure, and driving accidents. In inverse order, probably.

Driving accidents kill more Americans than severe thunderstorms, winter precipitation, avalanches, and exposures combined. Let's see.

Thunderstorms
157 Deaths Annually On Average
208 Deaths Annually On Average (1979-2008)
http://www.depts.ttu.edu/weweb/Research ... ts/DDS.pdf
http://www.weather.gov/os/hazstats.shtml

Winter Weather
33 Deaths Annually On Average (1999-2008)
http://www.weather.gov/os/hazstats.shtml

Avalanches
20 Deaths Annually On Average
http://www.scientificamerican.com/artic ... hite-death

Exposures (Cold and Heat)
183 Deaths Annually On Average (1999-2008)
Heat=162 (1999-2008)
Cold=21 (1999-2008)
http://www.weather.gov/os/hazstats.shtml

Driving Accidents
37,261 Deaths In 2008
41,829 Deaths Annually On Average (1994-2008)
http://www-fars.nhtsa.dot.gov/Main/index.aspx

Pick your poison. Americans have a far better chance of getting killed in car accidents than any of the weather events.

OK Ed, is today (Sunday) a Fun-derstorm day?