December Weather Discussion. Will We See Rain?

[helloitsb]

So now all the models have come out, we wait until the 0z gfs comes out?

[Andrew]

So now all the models have come out, we wait until the 0z gfs comes out?

That and read discussions that come out of the NWS and other sources.

[ticka1]

Meh. January 73 was a snow event in the Houston area, for those of us old enough to remember. Dang, I'm telling on myself.

Yes but some of us aren't lucky enough to have had experienced that event.

I remember it in 1973 - it snowed alot and 3 times. That was the best snow event ever along with the Christmas eve snow! That was awesome!

[redneckweather]

Great reading before dinner time.

It snowed at my house 3 times last year near Lake Conroe and NONE OF IT STUCK!! Man I was one pissed off redneck last winter.

[tireman4]

Meh. January 73 was a snow event in the Houston area, for those of us old enough to remember. Dang, I'm telling on myself.

Yes but some of us aren't lucky enough to have had experienced that event.

I remember it in 1973 - it snowed alot and 3 times. That was the best snow event ever along with the Christmas eve snow! That was awesome!

You dang right. I was 7 years old and lovin it!!!

[TexasMetBlake]

00z is running. I wait with baited breath....

[TexasMetBlake]

At 72 hours, the low off California is further south and west and is quite a bit stronger than the 18z. Let's continue to watch...

[TexasMetBlake]

This run isn't making much sense. Now at 96 hours, the low gets absorbed into another shortwave off of California. Trough axis is a bit further west which indicates colder conditions here...

[Mr. T]

The GFS is probably going to stay the same on this run

My advice is to hang tight for a couple of days until the models can get a better grasp of the Pacific.

[TexasMetBlake]

By hour 120, the ridge/trough become very longwave while lagging the low off the w.pac. This run is JUNK

[TexasMetBlake]

at 144, the trough is digging down. The low is a lot stronger this run out west.

[biggerbyte]

I lived in Humble in 1973. I had never seen snow before, so it was disappointing that I broke my leg two days before the event.
The biggest snow I have ever seen was in Oklahoma while visiting my grandparents. It was probably 1977 or so. The snow was so deep that I could step into it and have it be knee and waste deep in many places. That was so much fun.

[TexasMetBlake]

So far, the differences in the 18z and 00z are subtle.

[TexasMetBlake]

Now we're talkin' Turkey...here comes the shortwave behind the front...

[Mr. T]

So far, the differences in the 18z and 00z are subtle.

The 0z GFS has a shortwave moving ashore California at day 7, while the 18z has nothing. Not sure I'd call that subtle

This run was a definite step in the right direction, but nowhere near as strong as the Euro, yet

[TexasMetBlake]

The trough at 00z is deeper without question than the 18z. The shortwave is also a bit further north...

[TexasMetBlake]

Well, nevermind. The energy goes north leaving us high and dry. Sigh...

[Mr. T]

Can't wait for the Euro to show something completely different!

[srainhoutx]

Trends. The GFS solution is a trend in the right direction compared to the Euro. We'll see what the overnight brings...

[TexasMetBlake]

Well the GFS definitely took a step in the right direction, Mr. T. My subtle comment came before I saw the rest of the picture. Compared to the 18z, the trough is deeper and a bit further west. Still is clueless on the shortwave, but those details can be worked out later...