January 2024

[Cpv17]

keep that snow line dropping south to s.e. tx!!!

I’m liking our chances just past mid month. The next 10 days should build a favorable snowpack for us. Still need to get super lucky though but parts of the recipe seem to be coming together. That 12z Euro run was flat nuts. Some of the coldest temperature departure anomalies from average I’ve ever seen on a model.

[brazoriatx]

We don't need extreme cold to get snow..in most cases the extreme cold is to damn dry and ruins our chances

[Stratton20]

CPC just put put a slight risk of hazardous temperatures all the way down into parts of SE texas, get ready folks, its coming

[sambucol]

CPC just put put a slight risk of hazardous temperatures all the way down into parts of SE texas, get ready folks, its coming

Does it show the temps for our area? And when?

[Stratton20]

sambucol that map posted by the CPC doesnt show temps, but indicates rather if their is a risk ( in this case either a slight/ moderate/ high risks) are issued, in our neck of the woods they have a slight risk of hazardous temperatures, time frame between 1/12-1/18th

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Our coldest temps we will experience aren’t within the 384 hour frames. Yes we will get cold starting around the 15th but I expect some sub 20 readings south and possible low teens upper single digits north around that 20th onward timeframe.

[snowman65]

Our coldest temps we will experience aren’t within the 384 hour frames. Yes we will get cold starting around the 15th but I expect some sub 20 readings south and possible low teens upper single digits north around that 20th onward timeframe.

That would be very similar to the Jan/Feb 2021 episode.

[DoctorMu]

keep that snow line dropping south to s.e. tx!!!

I’m liking our chances just past mid month. The next 10 days should build a favorable snowpack for us. Still need to get super lucky though but parts of the recipe seem to be coming together. That 12z Euro run was flat nuts. Some of the coldest temperature departure anomalies from average I’ve ever seen on a model.

That's the key - build the Snowpack Highway and then roll the dice. There should be plenty of energy.

[DoctorMu]

Our coldest temps we will experience aren’t within the 384 hour frames. Yes we will get cold starting around the 15th but I expect some sub 20 readings south and possible low teens upper single digits north around that 20th onward timeframe.

That would be very similar to the Jan/Feb 2021 episode.

That's the ideal set up to give SETX a fighting chance at wintry mischief that could hang around a few days.

[Cromagnum]

That is some serious high pressure up north about 10 days out.

[jasons2k]

That is some serious high pressure up north about 10 days out.

That setup would result in a cold outbreak across Europe.

[sambucol]

Are the models hinting at something for the record books regarding the cold? Wondering if this could be a 2021 event at its coldest when it arrives in Texas.

[Cpv17]

Are the models hinting at something for the record books regarding the cold? Wondering if this could be a 2021 event at its coldest when it arrives in Texas.

Still too early to say exactly how cold it’ll be but potential is there for something extreme.

[Cpv17]

Herzog finally mentioning the possibility of Artic air coming middle of the month.

[don]

Regarding the possibility of severe weather Monday. The ingredients will be in place to get discreet supercells in SE Texas.(Could even go enhanced risk or greater).While saying that, the main inhibiting factors is if the cap can break(due to the SW flow aloft), and if enough instability will be available. It will be interesting to see what the mesoscale models show over the weekend.

[Ptarmigan]

That is some serious high pressure up north about 10 days out.

A really strong high pressure would be something. That would be on par with February 1989 freeze. Alaska recorded the highest air pressure in America.

[Cromagnum]

That line that came through here was no joke. Lots of wind and briefly lost power. Tornado signature on radar on the north side of Lake Jackson too.

[snowman65]

Looks like the rain train might be breaking up before getting here in Orange.

[Cpv17]

Global models have been off on rain totals for my area. I picked up 1.25” overnight and now at 2.25” for the week. Woke up this morning and my ditches were full for the first time in what seems like since last May.

[Pas_Bon]

Herzog finally mentioning the possibility of Artic air coming middle of the month.

That's a change in tune.....he was almost belligerent toward the idea just a few days ago and essentially mocking those who were espousing the cold forecasts.