Wx Infinity Forums

I'm just waiting for the longitude to be less than 95.

Could any of y'all quantify in feet or inches per minute or hour what the release of 2,000 cufeet/second is for Addicks or Barker?

I know the inflow is greater than the outflow, but I'd just like to get my fingers around it. Much obliged.

My gut was right. Heavy rain now lighting up the radar and wrapping around.

The southeast side of the viewing area is getting blasted unfortunately, but the good news is that I think the heavy rain is done for downtown. It looks like it should be light to moderate rain from now on unless Harvey makes a very unforecasted move

Flashes of lightning now near 528 and I45 which indicate intensification.

Snowman wrote:The southeast side of the viewing area is getting blasted unfortunately, but the good news is that I think the heavy rain is done for downtown. It looks like it should be light to moderate rain from now on unless Harvey makes a very unforecasted move

The really heavy stuff is between Galveston and Beltway 8. Hope the reservoirs hold.

Getting thunder and lightning with heavy rain in baytown.

Interestingly enough the moderate rain is doing just what pro mets have said all along with tropical systems. It's intensifying with nightfall. Where I reside (Friendswood/Webster/League City) border this is exactly the worst case scenario. If any were around when Claudette struck you'll recall the heaviest rain came at night. I was but a wee lad at the time but remember it vividly near the boarder of Friendswood/Alvin.

Heat Miser wrote:Interestingly enough the moderate rain is doing just what pro mets have said all along with tropical systems. It's intensifying with nightfall. Where I reside (Friendswood/Webster/League City) border this is exactly the worst case scenario. If any were around when Claudette struck you'll recall the heaviest rain came at night. I was but a wee lad at the time but remember it vividly near the boarder of Friendswood/Alvin.

Right here with you sir.

Lightning map.
https://weather.us/lightning/texas/20170829-0350z.html

Quiet out here in Fulshear...for the first time all day.

Is the "center" moving back North?

yep moving back north..thts why seeing the convection build back further inland now. latest trends are bad

So I'm not just "seeing things."

Snowman wrote:The southeast side of the viewing area is getting blasted unfortunately, but the good news is that I think the heavy rain is done for downtown. It looks like it should be light to moderate rain from now on unless Harvey makes a very unforecasted move

I have lots more heavy rain forecasted for downtown tonight.. we shall see

Wow I was just noticing the same thing as far as the northward movement. Rain has picked up here in Spring. Meteorologist on TWC just said the heavy rain is moving into Harris county.

The Storm Prediction Center even said in their statement concerning the Tornado Watch in Louisiana that the center has appeared to move north to northeast based on latest radar. And the very heavy rainband that has been hugging the coast is slowly now moving northward. Quite concerning for areas that have already been hard hit.

Edit to add -
Here is the statement:

DISCUSSION...Banded structure noted over the past several hours has
waned with a much more cellular structure to much of the convection
associated with Tropical Storm Harvey. The center of Harvey appears
to have shifted slightly north-northeastward. Some strengthening may
also be occurring. The buoy to the southwest of the center (KBQX)
recently reported a gust to 49 kt. This modest increase in winds is
likely contributing to increased WAA and the cooling of cloud tops
within the deformation band over southeast TX and within the
cellular convection off the LA coast. Some small northward movement
of the front off the coast has also been noted. However, the front
currently remains offshore and consensus amongst the guidance is for
the front to remain offshore until the system begins moving
northeastward a bit quicker late Tuesday morning.

Steering currents are so weak it's just tough for mets to get the exact movement of Harvey. Whatever movement is observed it's painfully slow.

Hell, it looks NW now.
Winds in Pearland are blowin...

Hmm very interesting, i wonder if the Texas Tech WRF and GFS are going to end up verifying on a more westward landfall? They both have been consistent on Harvey making landfall around the Galveston Bay area...

Been watching trends closely all night, posting little. Rainbands have shown a more northwesterly component. The Addicks reservoir is getting close to overtopping. Not a good scenario to say the least. At this point, God Bless is all I can say.