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Scott747 wrote: ↑Wed Oct 07, 2020 11:06 am The trough still catches it and sends it towards Louisiana, but boy it sure keeps getting further and further w before it does.

Delta could hug the coast before heading to Lake Charles. Delta's west side still looks robus as she leaves the Yucatan peninsula.

Euro isn’t king anymore

Stormlover2020 wrote: ↑Wed Oct 07, 2020 1:25 pm Euro isn’t king anymore

This year it sure hasn't been, but there really isn't any model that has been "king" per se. Seeing the Euro moved a tad east, but it isn't anything substantial from what I can see from free sites and it still west of other models. It will either be right or continue its slight nudges east over the next day. I think tonight's runs will bury the hatchet on where this is likely going to go.

I mean looks like it’s going more west then wnw on the coast right now

Levi Cowan
@TropicalTidbits
Recon observations indicate that #Delta was knocked down a bit by passing over land, as expected. Pressure is in ballpark of ~975 mb & max winds ~75-80 mph

TCs need time after land passage to "reset" thermodynamically. Only a slow restrengthening rate rest of today seems likely

https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/sta ... 1598795780

I'm a little color blind - are these cloud tops as cold as I think they are?

https://www.weathernerds.org/satellite/ ... nitsst=Off

Stormlover2020 wrote: ↑Wed Oct 07, 2020 2:16 pm I mean looks like it’s going more west then wnw on the coast right now

...and maybe a jog south?

My eyes hurt which way is it moving

Stormlover2020 wrote: ↑Wed Oct 07, 2020 3:49 pm My eyes hurt which way is it moving

WSW Just off the Yucatan coast.

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Wed Oct 07, 2020 3:51 pm

Stormlover2020 wrote: ↑Wed Oct 07, 2020 3:49 pm My eyes hurt which way is it moving

WSW Just off the Yucatan coast.

Was it supposed to do that ?

Satellite imagery puts heavy cloud cover over nearly the entire gulf. Its a very photogenic system. Even more so when it finally gets an eye feature.

Per recon beta looks like it's moving more wnw for now. Another plane will be out there soon.

18z ICON is slower and the trough seems not to pick it up as fast. It's still the outlier to the w.

Yeah nam is more west also

Trough will pick it up

Gfs tad west this run

18z gfs is a little further w with landfall late Friday night into early Saturday morning. Just to the e of where Laura hit. Golden triangle would take a pretty good hit and ts force winds could get down as far s as Galveston.

Scott, also looks like the last 2 runs gfs isn’t kicking out quick like it has been could that be the trough being weaker ?

Everything looks about the same except the storm is a little bigger.

Scott747 wrote: ↑Wed Oct 07, 2020 5:21 pm Everything looks about the same except the storm is a little bigger.

Thanks

Hwrf 18 shifts west