Re: November 2016 -will cooler temps prevail along with rain
Posted: Wed Nov 30, 2016 5:50 am
Beautiful sunny skies across SE TX today and tomorrow with highs in the upper 60s and lows in mid to upper 40s. A wet and cool weekend ahead with the potential for heavy rains along the Upper TX Coast.
From this morning's Hou-Gal AFD:
Main issue with the forecast looks to be the active/wet weather
progged for this weekend. As the surface high moves east of the
area, low-level moisture to return rapidly across the CWFA (via
strong onshore winds) on Friday. And combined with disturbances
(via the increasingly SW flow aloft in response to the deep up-
per low/trof out west), elevated rain chances will likely begin
Friday and persist through Sunday. These rains could be further
enhanced by the development and approach of a coastal trof from
the lower/middle TX coast. PWs associated with this system have
ranged from 1.7"-2.0" just along/off the coast and depending on
its track, could have impacts for inland portions of SE TX this
weekend. While models have been in slightly better agreement in
regard to development/strength of the main upper low/trof there
are still some differences with timing. At any rate...not going
with a lot of changes with the wet/cool forecast for this week-
end already in the grids. Stay tuned for a possible bear watch.
From this morning's Hou-Gal AFD:
Main issue with the forecast looks to be the active/wet weather
progged for this weekend. As the surface high moves east of the
area, low-level moisture to return rapidly across the CWFA (via
strong onshore winds) on Friday. And combined with disturbances
(via the increasingly SW flow aloft in response to the deep up-
per low/trof out west), elevated rain chances will likely begin
Friday and persist through Sunday. These rains could be further
enhanced by the development and approach of a coastal trof from
the lower/middle TX coast. PWs associated with this system have
ranged from 1.7"-2.0" just along/off the coast and depending on
its track, could have impacts for inland portions of SE TX this
weekend. While models have been in slightly better agreement in
regard to development/strength of the main upper low/trof there
are still some differences with timing. At any rate...not going
with a lot of changes with the wet/cool forecast for this week-
end already in the grids. Stay tuned for a possible bear watch.