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Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:06 pm
by Cromagnum
Stratton20 wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:04 pm https://images.weatherbell.com/model/hr ... 0rioVE.png
Holy moly check out the 00z HRRR model!
Dry slotted for me. Hoping that doesn't happen. Will be miserable to deal with thr pipe busting cold and nothing to show for it.

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:06 pm
by jasons2k
It is colder in Bay City, Palacios, and Port Lavaca -- even Corpus and points south - than it is up here at my place. Crazy.

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:07 pm
by srainhoutx
00Z HRRR ice and snow.

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:28 pm
by weatherguy425
jasons2k wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:06 pm It is colder in Bay City, Palacios, and Port Lavaca -- even Corpus and points south - than it is up here at my place. Crazy.
Physics (density) at its best. So interesting to see!

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:32 pm
by txsnowmaker
tireman4 wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 7:50 pm Live from swim meet ..do you think the NWS estimates are underestimated on accumulations?
Yes

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:42 pm
by jerryh421
srainhoutx wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:07 pm 00Z HRRR ice and snow.
Love the snowier trend! I hope it continues! :)

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:46 pm
by txsnowmaker
srainhoutx wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:07 pm 00Z HRRR ice and snow.
Perfect.

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:59 pm
by Cpv17
Look out to our south and west. The radar is beginning to light up folks!!

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:14 pm
by txbear
I’m curious what the aircraft soundings are looking like.

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:17 pm
by txsnowmaker

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:23 pm
by Kingwood36
How is that low out in the gulf looking on Monday? Is it still forecast to move further away from the coast and further into the gulf?

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:44 pm
by jasons2k
Temp steady here for the last two hours.

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:54 pm
by kyzsl51
Looks like it's been the same pretty much throughout the state...don't worry the boundary will come!

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:54 pm
by Cromagnum
Fox has it getting to 40 and back to normal by Wednesday and for the rest of the week.

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:55 pm
by Kingwood36
Cromagnum wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:54 pm Fox has it getting to 40 and back to normal by Wednesday and for the rest of the week.
I wouldn't trust fox or "Dr" jim...

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:55 pm
by Cromagnum
Kingwood36 wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:55 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:54 pm Fox has it getting to 40 and back to normal by Wednesday and for the rest of the week.
I wouldn't trust fox or "Dr" jim...
Oh I dont.

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2021 10:13 pm
by Stratton20
https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gf ... 13VQf4.png
00 GFS. run has heavy accumulating snow as far south as columbus, katy, houston etc. Showing some impressive amounts!!

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2021 10:16 pm
by jasons2k
Cromagnum wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:55 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:55 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:54 pm Fox has it getting to 40 and back to normal by Wednesday and for the rest of the week.
I wouldn't trust fox or "Dr" jim...
Oh I dont.
I have my days....when I wish I had become an OCM. I think I could do a better job than some folks in the local market, but not naming names...

I'm pretty good at public speaking (so I'm often told after presentations). I've also been told I do a decent job of taking complex/technical/scientific information and explaining it in ways that anyone can understand.

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2021 10:20 pm
by Ptarmigan
The UK forecasts sub zero temperatures. :shock: :o
https://weather.us/model-charts/gbr/244 ... 1200z.html

The forecast models are all over the place.

Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Storm Warning ⚠️

Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2021 10:24 pm
by tireman4
jasons2k wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 10:16 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:55 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:55 pm

I wouldn't trust fox or "Dr" jim...
Oh I dont.
I have my days....when I wish I had become an OCM. I think I could do a better job than some folks in the local market, but not naming names...

I'm pretty good at public speaking (so I'm often told after presentations). I've also been told I do a decent job of taking complex/technical/scientific information and explaining it in ways that anyone can understand.


Well, there is. online.msstate.edu...:)