January Weather Discussion: Slight Chance Severe Storms

[wxman57]

Someone on our forum here just reported flakes falling in Katy?? Is that possible?

Freezing level down here is way up above 700mb (10,000 ft), so it's not snowing in Katy. In fact, temps in the upper 40s up to about 8000 ft.

[weatherguy425]

Dang. 12z GFS seems to have "warmed up" as far as afternoon highs goes. Is this in responce to less cloud cover?

[Paul]

NWS needs a inland wind advisory...here in Galveston blowing well above 30....

[srainhoutx]

The 12Z Euro suggests some impressive over running mid week. Cold air is well entrenched, so who knows?

[biggerbyte]

If you want winter weather, mid. week will be more exciting than today for this area. That is if things go as suggested. No snow down here today at least. Wxman already covered why.

[tireman4]

I wonder if anyone can a Meteogram for the 12z Euro for IAH....

[biggerbyte]

This pretty much tells who is getting what in Texas. DFW has changed over to snow. Note that where you see white just means that there is snow. It does not indicate intensity. Also note that it shows nothing in our area.


http://www.corad.org/texas_radar.htm

[tireman4]

This pretty much tells who is getting what in Texas. DFW has changed over to snow. Note that where you see white just means that there is snow. It does not indicate intensity. Also note that it shows nothing in our area.

I am thinking about mid-week. I know there is a tutorial on meteograms, I just did not have all of the information required to put the 12z Euro into one.

[wxman57]

I wonder if anyone can a Meteogram for the 12z Euro for IAH....

That data isn't available. Euro data is VERY expensive (maybe $50,000-$100,000 per year, depending on what data).

However, I can see some of the Euro data and I see the 00Z predicting a lowest 2m temp for our area of around 33-35 degrees for the coming week. 12Z data not in fully yet.

[txsnowmaker]

This pretty much tells who is getting what in Texas. DFW has changed over to snow. Note that where you see white just means that there is snow. It does not indicate intensity. Also note that it shows nothing in our area.

I am thinking about mid-week. I know there is a tutorial on meteograms, I just did not have all of the information required to put the 12z Euro into one.

I am with you tireman. I would be most interested in seeing a mid-week meteogram of the 12z Euro, and for that matter, the NAM and Canadian as well.

[tireman4]

I wonder if anyone can a Meteogram for the 12z Euro for IAH....

That data isn't available. Euro data is VERY expensive (maybe $50,000-$100,000 per year, depending on what data).

Ooops. Sorry. Way too rich for my blood...LOL

[srainhoutx]

Here are the freebie 850 temps from Allan's site for Wednesday/Thursday...

[biggerbyte]

I'm actually hopeful for mid week. Reality forecasting can come into play this round. There are some minor details that could throw a wrench in the works. We do know it will be cold. A disturbance with moisture is certainly possible, but not quite worked out. The final detail would be, if all of the above are in place, what sort of winter precip. could we expect. Perfect conditions down here for snow... Rare! Sleet and Freezing Rain more common. More on all that on Monday.

[TexasBreeze]

Oh my goodness you can buy a house with the price of that model! That's ridiculous!!

[wxman57]

I don't see much, if any, moisture available Wed-Thu on the 12Z Euro.

[srainhoutx]

I don't see much, if any, moisture available Wed-Thu on the 12Z Euro.

.5 @ BRO 00Z Wednesday thru 00Z Friday drying to .1 near our area.

[wxman57]

I don't see much, if any, moisture available Wed-Thu on the 12Z Euro.

You making your own Euro skew-T soundings with the new and improved AccuWx PPV site?

I can do that. It's cheaper than paying for the Euro. However, the AccuWeather site only lets you make a skew-t from a standard sounding location. That means LCH for Houston. Kind of far away. The LCH sounding for Wednesday afternoon shows almost NO moisture aloft. Maybe a trace of mid-level clouds.

[srainhoutx]

Brownsville afternoon update regarding mid week...

.LONG TERM /6 AM TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...WINDS BE FROM SOUTHEAST
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AHEAD OF ANOTHER SURGE OF COLD AIR WHICH WILL
MOVE INTO THE AREA BY MID DAY TUESDAY CAUSING COLDER TEMPERATURES
AND GUSTY NORTH WINDS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 40S FOR LOWS AND
50S FOR HIGHS TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. OVERRUNNING TYPE LIGHT RAIN
AND DRIZZLE WILL BE IN STORE FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK.

[wxman57]

Au contraire. I go with 30ºN and 95ºW (negative sign) as an approx for Houston when making six hour skew-Ts.

Found it, right below the other box to choose a station. Center of Houston is 29.7N/-95.4W. 30N/95W is near Dayton, just west of Liberty.

[Ptarmigan]

That data isn't available. Euro data is VERY expensive (maybe $50,000-$100,000 per year, depending on what data).

However, I can see some of the Euro data and I see the 00Z predicting a lowest 2m temp for our area of around 33-35 degrees for the coming week. 12Z data not in fully yet.

That's expensive! I can buy a bunch of telescopes with that money! I wonder why it is expensive?