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One hell of a winter storm if we had the cold in place like last week

35 this morning after a forecast low of 30.
This front wasn’t quite a strong as forecast.
OK with me.
Onto the rainstorm…

brazoriatx wrote: ↑Sun Jan 21, 2024 7:53 am One hell of a winter storm if we had the cold in place like last week

3-4 feet of snow.

or 6 inches of ice.

jasons2k wrote: ↑Sun Jan 21, 2024 9:26 am 35 this morning after a forecast low of 30.
This front wasn’t quite a strong as forecast.
OK with me.
Onto the rainstorm…

I don’t recall a freeze being in the forecast for this morning. Well definitely not in my area. Nowhere near that.

jasons2k wrote: ↑Sun Jan 21, 2024 9:26 am 35 this morning after a forecast low of 30.
This front wasn’t quite a strong as forecast.
OK with me.
Onto the rainstorm…

It was strong enough. We had a low of 24°F Saturday am. The DP was 16°F last night. Only cloud cover prevented another hard freeze.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 21, 2024 12:53 pm

jasons2k wrote: ↑Sun Jan 21, 2024 9:26 am 35 this morning after a forecast low of 30.
This front wasn’t quite a strong as forecast.
OK with me.
Onto the rainstorm…

I don’t recall a freeze being in the forecast for this morning. Well definitely not in my area. Nowhere near that.

We hit 35°F on the nose. The hard freeze was the night before. Everything is brown and dessicated. That is about to change drastically.

Keep in mind this week that "winterized" foliage and ground is going to cause a lot more runoff than in the Spring. This could increase the risk of flash flooding and plain 'ol flooding this week!

Hydrologic Outlook
Hydrologic Outlook
LAC001-003-009-011-019-023-039-045-053-055-079-097-099-101-113-
115-TXC199-241-245-351-361-457-212230-

Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1226 PM CST Sat Jan 20 2024

...Significant Rainfall Expected Next Week...

Developing southwesterly flow with periodic disturbances will
cause rainfall episodes of moderate to heavy rainfall across the
area next week.

The latest forecast indicate rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches
through the week with locally higher amounts expected.

In addition to areal flooding, several river locations could
experience significant flooding as well. Current forecast
precipitation values suggest minor to moderate flooding within
many of our river basins across southwest Louisiana and southeast
Texas.

There is still some uncertainty regarding the overall magnitude of
potential flooding and the associated impacts, depending on where
and how often repeating rounds of heaviest rainfall occurs.
Details should become clearer as the event approaches and evolves
through the week.

$$

27/24

From Larry Cosgrove in response to my question about winter weather returning to SETX:

Yes, I think sometime in February we will get another winter event, and the month may actually turn out to be cold and stormy.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 21, 2024 12:53 pm

jasons2k wrote: ↑Sun Jan 21, 2024 9:26 am 35 this morning after a forecast low of 30.
This front wasn’t quite a strong as forecast.
OK with me.
Onto the rainstorm…

I don’t recall a freeze being in the forecast for this morning. Well definitely not in my area. Nowhere near that.

Because you’re further off to the southwest and just a minor change in the wind trajectory/direction made a difference in dew points.


We had low dew points, in the teens, but the cloud cover and steady winds kept us from dropping too much.

Mixed precip, including flurries near CLL. The precip is starting earlier than I expected/hoped.

Starting to mist here.

Just had a brief heavy shower move through, tomorrow is gonna be wet. There's also a chance Wednesday could end up wetter than tomorrow.(We'll need to watch where that frontal boundary stalls on Tuesday) But I'm not ready to make that call just yet.

I'm honestly trying to think of any benefit regarding any form of winter freeze/frost. Less pests, I guess?

Otherwise, any temperature below 40°F is totally useless. And even prolonged 40s are less than ideal.

sambucol wrote: ↑Sun Jan 21, 2024 3:20 pm From Larry Cosgrove in response to my question about winter weather returning to SETX:

Yes, I think sometime in February we will get another winter event, and the month may actually turn out to be cold and stormy.

High near 48 here today, absolutely beautiful, went for a run and it was amazing!, looks like I gotta crank down the AC here next week with the warm weather

user:null wrote: ↑Sun Jan 21, 2024 7:52 pm I'm honestly trying to think of any benefit regarding any form of winter freeze/frost. Less pests, I guess?

Otherwise, any temperature below 40°F is totally useless. And even prolonged 40s are less than ideal.

sambucol wrote: ↑Sun Jan 21, 2024 3:20 pm From Larry Cosgrove in response to my question about winter weather returning to SETX:

Yes, I think sometime in February we will get another winter event, and the month may actually turn out to be cold and stormy.

For you. I loathe heat. Yes, I grew up here and worked in it in my youth and played sports, but I loathe it.

I can exercise outside so much more efficiently from 30-60 than I can from 70-100.

I live in rural Texas. I worked outside all day last Monday. You will find me outside for a hour, then in for a while, then outside for a bit, then inside during the Summer.

I’ve set personal bests in 8Ks and 5Ks when the temp is 50 and below. I never have in 70 and above.

Cold air represents fresh air to me. Hot, humid air is disgusting to my breathing and overall comfort.

I also know how to grow a lot of things in cold weather. I can in hot weather too, largely because I have a specific set of skills that many don’t have today in this digital age.

So yeah, if you prefer warmth, I get why you think cold is useless but I can grow, work out, harvest and sustain in any weather, but prefer the refreshing nature of cold.

I also have a thesis, in this modern age, that heat stresses our natural resources far more given population density and the trends our Idiocracy wants to pursue.

65-85 is the zone for me. I could easily move to Hawaii and never complain. The place down in Dunedin is usually in the 70's in winter and low 90's in the summer. That's fine for me as well. I'm getting to where I just can't stand anything over 95 or under about 45. Semi-retiring in Florida will be just fine.

jasons2k wrote: ↑Sun Jan 21, 2024 10:37 pm 65-85 is this zone for me. I could easily move to Hawaii and never complain. The place down in Dunedin is usually in the 70's in winter and low 90's in the summer. That's fine for me as well. I'm getting to where I just can't stand anything over 95 or under about 45. Semi-retiring in Florida will be just fine.

Destin sounds appropriate for you. Maybe Tampa or Jacksonville.

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sun Jan 21, 2024 10:43 pm

jasons2k wrote: ↑Sun Jan 21, 2024 10:37 pm 65-85 is this zone for me. I could easily move to Hawaii and never complain. The place down in Dunedin is usually in the 70's in winter and low 90's in the summer. That's fine for me as well. I'm getting to where I just can't stand anything over 95 or under about 45. Semi-retiring in Florida will be just fine.

Destin sounds appropriate for you. Maybe Tampa or Jacksonville.

I'd be nice to be in Naples or Key West, but certain family events determine certain things. I'm grateful to have the place in Dunedin. It's 6 blocks from the water but quite elevated. Close to Main Street and the Pinellas Trail. Not far from Indian Rocks Beach, our beach spot. It's heaven for us. I just need to start spending more time down there.

jasons2k wrote: ↑Sun Jan 21, 2024 10:58 pm

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sun Jan 21, 2024 10:43 pm

jasons2k wrote: ↑Sun Jan 21, 2024 10:37 pm 65-85 is this zone for me. I could easily move to Hawaii and never complain. The place down in Dunedin is usually in the 70's in winter and low 90's in the summer. That's fine for me as well. I'm getting to where I just can't stand anything over 95 or under about 45. Semi-retiring in Florida will be just fine.

Destin sounds appropriate for you. Maybe Tampa or Jacksonville.

I'd be nice to be in Naples or Key West, but certain family events determine certain things. I'm grateful to have the place in Dunedin. It's 6 blocks from the water but quite elevated. Close to Main Street and the Pinellas Trail. Not far from Indian Rocks Beach, our beach spot. It's heaven for us. I just need to start spending more time down there.

I grew up going to the Florida panhandle. I don’t mind the beach or lake in Summer but prefer the mountains. It’s just simply serene.

50-70 year round with less than 50% humidity and I would be sold. Doubt such a place exists.