Wx Infinity Forums

Rip76 wrote:Northerly Jog?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

Based on the BRO short range images it appears to have started to take a more westward component.

Hard to tell if it's a wobble or the beginnings of a longer term trend.

sau27 wrote:A weather bug location on south padre reported a max wind gust of 111 mph. Dont know if that is accurate, but if it is that's pretty impressive

My searching paid off, I found a weatherbug site I don't have to download. That 111mph gust came from the Isla Grand resort. I would bet that station is up on the roof where the winds will be stronger than on the ground.

Tornado warning Brazoria County

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
158 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN BRAZORIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHEASTERN MATAGORDA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 230 PM CDT

* AT 155 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO THIS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKE JACKSON... MOVING WEST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE TORNADO WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
WILD PEACH VILLAGE...VAN VLECK...SWEENY...JONES CREEK AND BRAZORIA.

I'm in Angleton and it is POURING - wind is howling - and I have to get out in this in 45 minutes - sigh

Motion is WNW, and the Pressure is down a little from last fix.


Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 30th day of the month at 19:09Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 304)
Storm Number & Year: 01L in 2010
Storm Name: Alex (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 12
Observation Number: 09
A. Time of Center Fix: 30th day of the month at 18:50:20Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 24°23'N 96°27'W (24.3833N 96.45W)
B. Center Fix Location: 125 miles (201 km) to the SSE (149°) from Brownsville, TX, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,103m (3,619ft) at 850mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 65kts (~ 74.8mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 14 nautical miles (16 statute miles) to the E (97°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 178° at 74kts (From the S at ~ 85.2mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 13 nautical miles (15 statute miles) to the E (95°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 960mb (28.35 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 18°C (64°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,521m (4,990ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 22°C (72°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,523m (4,997ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 20°C (68°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Open in the southeast
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 9 nautical miles
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 850mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 96kts (~ 110.5mph) in the northeast quadrant at 16:51:20Z
Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 87kts (~ 100.1mph) in the northwest quadrant at 18:55:20Z

Most of the storms coming off the bay are sliding right past my area and we are getting no rain...It is like LaPorte area has a shield...

Happens all the time.

kellybell4770 wrote:I'm in Angleton and it is POURING - wind is howling - and I have to get out in this in 45 minutes - sigh

I am at work in Lake Jackson, just got a hard rain here about 5 minutes ago. Definantly coming in "spurts". Kids are home alone in Angleton and are scared to death because of the tornado warning coming out. Just had to give them instructions on how to listen for and "hide" from a tornado. They have called me 3 times since then! Looks like I might be going home early today!

areas in louisiana and north texas have got more rain than me. so far this has been a big disappointment as far as rainfall for the Houston area goes. honestly we could have used a weak tropical storm because we need the rain! i know its not over yet but i am not confident at this moment that anyone in southeast texas north of I-10 will see much rain at all

I finally gave in a watered our lawn myself. i got tired of waiting for the rain. not much around fry rd and I-10 area at all

catherine

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1166
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0113 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE TO UPPER TX COAST...SW LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 301813Z - 301945Z

AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE MIDDLE
TO UPPER TX COAST INTO SW LA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE THREAT SHOULD
REMAIN TOO MARGINAL TO WARRANT WW ISSUANCE.

THE OUTER RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE ALEX ARE CURRENTLY
LOCATED IN THE NW GULF OF MEXICO AND WILL MOVE ONSHORE INTO SE TX
AND SW LA THIS AFTERNOON. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SUGGESTS THAT LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR GRADUALLY STRENGTHENS WITH SWWD EXTENT FROM SW LA SWWD ALONG
THE TX COAST. THE WSR-88D VWPS ALONG THE UPPER TX COAST SHOW 0-1 KM
SHEAR AROUND 20 KT WHICH IS MARGINALLY SUFFICIENT FOR ROTATING
STORMS. LOW-LEVEL SHEAR MAY INCREASE SOME AS THE HURRICANE MOVES TO
THE WEST BRINGING THE STRONGER LOW-LEVEL WINDS FURTHER INLAND. IN
ADDITION...INSTABILITY MAY ALSO INCREASE ALONG THE COASTS AS SFC
TEMPS CONTINUE TO WARM. THESE TWO FACTORS MAY RESULT IN AN ISOLATED
TORNADO THREAT WITH THE MORE INTENSE CELLS EMBEDDED IN THE OUTER
RAINBANDS OF ALEX.

Radar shot ... not live

http://i508.photobucket.com/albums/s330 ... b43283.png

sau27 wrote:Tornado warning Brazoria County

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
158 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN BRAZORIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHEASTERN MATAGORDA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 230 PM CDT

* AT 155 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO THIS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKE JACKSON... MOVING WEST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE TORNADO WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
WILD PEACH VILLAGE...VAN VLECK...SWEENY...JONES CREEK AND BRAZORIA.

Let's try and keep local warning in the June/July discussions..

Damage reports from squalls already coming in:

BRO: Harlingen [Cameron Co, TX] public reports HURRICANE at 12:30 PM CDT -- public reports wind damage on Wilson road, 1.5 miles west of highway 77 in Harlingen. fireworks stand turned over, fence blown over, car moved across the road.

Brownsville NWS to media-

Big picture: Alex making landfall south of border. Inner core will remain south of border. Have dropped threat level a notch for winds, BUT inland flooding remains the big and continuing threat through the night and Thursday morning.

SH 87 (Bolivar Peninsula) in the Houston District is closed due to water over the roadway.

Posted from the Texas Dept of Transportation site.

Wow.

Eyewall has finally closed off. Might see another 10-15 kts in strength before landfall if it doesn't open up again.

Despite the ominous speculation last night across the boards and no doubt odd very short-term motion the track has only deviated to the N by a marginal amount.

Kudos to the boys at the NHC.