January 2025

[MH5]

Not getting my hopes up for anything major, but would love to see some legitimate snow down here. Grocery stores are going to be insane this weekend and early next week though.

[Cpv17]

Yeah, still too far out. My confidence is only about 30-40% right now.

[Stratton20]

id go around 40% for me, but i think thats starting to go up based on the EPS/ GEPS snowfall means which keep going up for se texas on every run, both ensembles have an average mean of about 1 inch in se texas, doesnt sound like much, but once you get to a 1 inch average mean, that does start to raise more eyebrows

[vci_guy2003]

The precip during 2021 was just the initial storm coming in. The rest of the time was just COLD.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

The precip during 2021 was just the initial storm coming in. The rest of the time was just COLD.

Not for me. I had freezing rain a couple days later.

[don]

The precip during 2021 was just the initial storm coming in. The rest of the time was just COLD.

Depends on where you live. The northern half of SE Texas saw two winter storms in the February 2021 event.

[Stratton20]

The Euro kinda implies the same thing here, energy out west, but a slow moving shortwave providing ample lift, 3 days of ice/snow on the Euro, definitely not something you see every day lol

[Cpv17]

The Euro kinda implies the same thing here, energy out west, but a slow moving shortwave providing ample lift, 3 days of ice/snow on the Euro, definitely not something you see every day lol

The CPC forecast looks good for southeast TX. Above normal precip and below normal temps.

[txsnowmaker]

Sure is quiet in here with the latest GFS and Euro runs! Quite something to see so much agreement for significant snowfall in the city of Houston with a system less than 10 days out!

[Brazoriatx979]

I think everybody is cautiously optimistic and trying to hamper down their enthusiasm till it gets closer.

[Cpv17]

I think everybody is cautiously optimistic and trying to hamper down their enthusiasm till it gets closer.

57 will put a squash to it more than likely.

[Brazoriatx979]

I think everybody is cautiously optimistic and trying to hamper down their enthusiasm till it gets closer.

57 will put a squash to it more than likely.

I was just about to mention him. He knows how to ruin a good thing. Lol

[Cpv17]

I think everybody is cautiously optimistic and trying to hamper down their enthusiasm till it gets closer.

57 will put a squash to it more than likely.

I was just about to mention him. He knows how to ruin a good thing. Lol

Lol yep. Pretty much every time.

[tireman4]

The latest from the CPC Probabilities

[Cpv17]

Personally, I don’t ever remember the GFS and the Euro being in agreement in the 7-10 day period like they are right now. It’s pretty rare for any model to have us getting winter precipitation in this range, much less both of them. That’s a heck of a strong signal for us. Just my opinion though lol

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 I agree, EPS/ GEPS especially have a pretty good snowfall signal for us, granted its still a little bit out their, but you definitely cant help but feeling excited about the potential here

[tireman4]

The Canadian

[biggerbyte]

At this juncture anything farther south than the top 1/3rd of Texas will have to pay attention to what is and not what is being suggested. The ensembles will paint a truer picture than anything else. So far we see about a 10% to 30% chance of winter precipitation. I really hope the lurkers aren't reading into this either direction.

[Brazoriatx979]

At this juncture anything farther south than the top 1/3rd of Texas will have to pay attention to what is and not what is being suggested. The ensembles will paint a truer picture than anything else. So far we see about a 10% to 30% chance of winter precipitation. I really hope the lurkers aren't reading into this either direction.

Let them read into what they want. It's fun getting excited..if it doesn't happen then oh well ya know..we're all adults here. We've been through this before

[Brazoriatx979]

Boy that gfs run is hog wash lol it was bound to happen tho..it will flip back and forth..just go with it