Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics
Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:14 pm
Where was gfs before?
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August 2020:
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Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics
Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:16 pm
Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics
Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:16 pm
Is it a safe bet to say until she gets away from Cuba the models won't get a good grasp of the situation
Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics
Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:17 pm
Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics
Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:19 pm
YesKingwood36 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:16 pm Is it a safe bet to say until she gets away from Cuba the models won't get a good grasp of the situation
Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics
Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:19 pm
Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics
Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:20 pm
I must say, I'm very impressed with Laura's continued organization in the face of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and Cuba. The upper-level divergence over the top of Laura is insane.
Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics
Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:24 pm
Ukmet into Matagorda this run.
Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics
Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:27 pm
Did this one initialize correctly?
Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics
Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:28 pm
Looks like a long night of model watching 
Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics
Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:29 pm
Yes it does.
Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics
Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:30 pm
Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics
Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:31 pm
The UKMET has also done the best with Laura, so far.srainhoutx wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:30 pmFairly close...within a margin of error. Landfall at 948mb. That's Major territory.
Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics
Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:33 pm
srainhoutx wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:30 pmFairly close...within a margin of error. Landfall at 948mb. That's Major territory.
Code: Select all
TROPICAL STORM LAURA ANALYSED POSITION : 20.5N 75.9W
ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132020
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 24.08.2020 0 20.5N 75.9W 1003 40
1200UTC 24.08.2020 12 21.1N 80.0W 1001 39
0000UTC 25.08.2020 24 21.9N 83.4W 996 44
1200UTC 25.08.2020 36 23.1N 86.8W 992 51
0000UTC 26.08.2020 48 24.2N 89.8W 984 55
1200UTC 26.08.2020 60 25.5N 92.8W 968 71
0000UTC 27.08.2020 72 27.2N 95.0W 950 81
1200UTC 27.08.2020 84 29.2N 96.1W 948 64
0000UTC 28.08.2020 96 31.8N 96.3W 967 48
1200UTC 28.08.2020 108 34.7N 95.4W 976 35
0000UTC 29.08.2020 120 36.4N 93.3W 986 28
1200UTC 29.08.2020 132 37.0N 89.3W 978 39
0000UTC 30.08.2020 144 37.3N 82.5W 982 29Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics
Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:34 pm
Looks to me for the euro run to verify Laura would need to moving NW right now
Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics
Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:34 pm
Yep. Ukie initialized pretty darn close and comes in near Sargent.
That's gonna mess with the consensus track.
That's gonna mess with the consensus track.
Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics
Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:35 pm
Will this run of the unmet cause the NHC it shift back west in the morning’s update?
Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics
Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:37 pm
CMC big shift west
Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics
Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:40 pm
Wipe left, wipe right, wipe left...
Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics
Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:41 pm