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Re: Hurricane Alex. 195 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 75 MPH/973 M
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 10:41 pm
by bdog38
looking at image on nhc. could it be twins? something aint right? north of eye seems stronger. what am i seeing?
Re: TS Alex. 215 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 70 MPH/980 MB
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 10:42 pm
by red65
biggerbyte wrote:Well, with my exit from this forum, I must say that this has been one of the most difficult storms to predict. The models were all over the place for days, as were conditions that would manipulate him. In the end, we have come full circle to the first suggested landing. Alex had many opportunities to go elsewhere, one being S.E. Texas at one point or another. Thank God that did not happen.
He will be inland soon. Many will get lots of rain, some way too much. So we wait for the next one. I've tried hard to help folks stay in one piece over the years, but I don't feel a part of anything here anymore. I'll be lurking now and again, but there will be no posts during the remainder of this hurricane season.
Best of luck to everyone...
BB
BB, I am a true lurker and have only posted a handful of times but I do read anytime something big is brewing, whether snow or hurricanes, and yours is one of the personalities I have come to enjoy.
I'm sorry to see you exit. I understand the decision is yours alone to make but I just wanted to let you know that I, for one, will miss you.
Take care,
Kellye
Re: Hurricane Alex. 195 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 75 MPH/973 M
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 10:45 pm
by SusieinLP
Wow...that is one intense blob out in the GOM
Re: Hurricane Alex. 195 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 75 MPH/973 M
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 10:45 pm
by bdog38
is it possible of reformation of the low further north?
Re: Hurricane Alex. 195 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 75 MPH/973 M
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 10:47 pm
by Ptarmigan
SusieinLP wrote:Wow...that is one intense blob out in the GOM
I have wondered if the northern part of Alex's feeder bands will go over us.
Re: Hurricane Alex. 195 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 75 MPH/973 M
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 10:47 pm
by kellybell4770
SusieinLP wrote:Wow...that is one intense blob out in the GOM
I know right? almost looks like twin hurricanes!
Re: Hurricane Alex. 195 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 75 MPH/973 M
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 10:48 pm
by srainhoutx
Some weak vorticity has been showing up via guidance offshore LA.
Re: Hurricane Alex. 195 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 75 MPH/973 M
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 10:50 pm
by weathercat
biggerbyte wrote:Well, with my exit from this forum, I must say that this has been one of the most difficult storms to predict. The models were all over the place for days, as were conditions that would manipulate him. In the end, we have come full circle to the first suggested landing. Alex had many opportunities to go elsewhere, one being S.E. Texas at one point or another. Thank God that did not happen.
He will be inland soon. Many will get lots of rain, some way too much. So we wait for the next one. I've tried hard to help folks stay in one piece over the years, but I don't feel a part of anything here anymore. I'll be lurking now and again, but there will be no posts during the remainder of this hurricane season.
Best of luck to everyone...
BB
NOOOOOO! Say it ain't so! BB, you are one of the sane voices that helped me understand Ike and other storms over the last few years. Please don't let a few "turkeys" get you down. I second the motion that you are greatly appreciated. I wish you would change your mind...
Re: Hurricane Alex. 195 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 75 MPH/973 M
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 10:58 pm
by singlemom
srainhoutx wrote:Some weak vorticity has been showing up via guidance offshore LA.
'Splain yourself, please. Is this in relation to those outer bands?
Re: Hurricane Alex. 195 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 75 MPH/973 M
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 10:59 pm
by Scott747
srainhoutx wrote:Some weak vorticity has been showing up via guidance offshore LA.
CIMSS charts?
Re: Hurricane Alex. 195 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 75 MPH/973 M
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 11:00 pm
by Ptarmigan
srainhoutx wrote:Some weak vorticity has been showing up via guidance offshore LA.
Hmmm........ Interesting. I would like to know more about that blob? I thought it was part of Alex.
Re: Hurricane Alex. 195 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 75 MPH/973 M
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 11:02 pm
by srainhoutx
Some guidance suggest an area of weak spin. We shall see. Brownsville long range radar appears to have an eye feature in the lower right of the loop...
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes
Re: Hurricane Alex. 195 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 75 MPH/973 M
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 11:03 pm
by bdog38
im naming the blob alexia :
Re: Hurricane Alex. 195 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 75 MPH/973 M
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 11:03 pm
by Ptarmigan
Hmmmmmmmmm. Alex's eye is faraway for radar to be picked up at this time.
Re: TS Alex. 215 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 70 MPH/980 MB
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 11:12 pm
by sleetstorm
biggerbyte wrote:Well, with my exit from this forum, I must say that this has been one of the most difficult storms to predict. The models were all over the place for days, as were conditions that would manipulate him. In the end, we have come full circle to the first suggested landing. Alex had many opportunities to go elsewhere, one being S.E. Texas at one point or another. Thank God that did not happen.
He will be inland soon. Many will get lots of rain, some way too much. So we wait for the next one. I've tried hard to help folks stay in one piece over the years, but I don't feel a part of anything here anymore. I'll be lurking now and again, but there will be no posts during the remainder of this hurricane season.
Best of luck to everyone...
BB
biggerbyte, please do not go, we very much appreciate you, at least I do.
Re: Hurricane Alex. 195 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 75 MPH/973 M
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 11:13 pm
by bdog38
HELLO? WHAT AM I SEEING?
Re: Hurricane Alex. 195 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 75 MPH/973 M
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 11:16 pm
by sleetstorm
Is it feasible at all that southeast Texas will receive tropical storm force wind with those rain bands, particularly the ones that have the very healthy tropcial thunderstorms in them? I would think that we would at least occasionally and only 40-60 m.p.h. range.
Re: Hurricane Alex. 195 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 75 MPH/973 M
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 11:16 pm
by ronyan
bdog38 wrote:HELLO? WHAT AM I SEEING?
It just looks like a blob of convection to me.
Re: Hurricane Alex. 195 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 75 MPH/973 M
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 11:22 pm
by sau27
I wouldnt make too much of the northern convection blowup. Alex has been doing this for the past couple of days. Every few hours it seems the storm has had large convective blowups north of the center but they die out fairly quickly. Also the feeder bands have had a hard time making it on shore all day today. I dont know if something is hindering them or if the storm just isnt close enough but the storms just seem to fall apart a few miles from the coast.
Alex is too strong for the center to just reform that far away. Like Ed said its not likely anything could form that close to Alex since it is sucking up all the energy in the vicinity.
Re: Hurricane Alex. 195 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 75 MPH/973 M
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 11:22 pm
by clc
Guys,
Pay attention to the stationary system. It is not moving! Was this forecasted? No!