Hurricane Beryl

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DoctorMu
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Good report from Jeff.

Euro has Beryl washing ashore as a strong CAT1 around Palacios. The CoC goes right over CLL Mon pm.

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tireman4
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Beryl Euro Ensembles
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tireman4
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Beryl Recon Obs
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AtascocitaWX
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I'm rolling with my Freeport to San Luis Beach prediction
Wavering on the intensity.
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tireman4
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Beryl Recon
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Rip76
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994.8
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Texashawk
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Rip76 wrote: ↑Sat Jul 06, 2024 5:37 pm994.8
Decent drop from 1001. Could be a trend? We shall see
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don
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I'm under an inland Hurricane Warning, I come to Bay City for a few weeks and a Hurricane comes just a couple of months after dealing with the Derecho. LOL

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Cpv17
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don wrote: ↑Sat Jul 06, 2024 5:39 pm I'm under an inland Hurricane Warning, I come to Bay City for a few weeks and a Hurricane comes just a couple of months after dealing with the Derecho. LOL


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Lol!! You’re gonna love it though Don. I know you’re kinda like me. We both love a good storm. Hope it’s nothing too crazy though. I’m under a Tropical Storm Warning here in Wharton County.
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don
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Cpv17 wrote: ↑
don wrote: ↑ I'm under an inland Hurricane Warning, I come to Bay City for a few weeks and a Hurricane comes just a couple of months after dealing with the Derecho. LOL


212126_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png
Lol!! You’re gonna love it though Don. I know you’re kinda like me. We both love a good storm. Hope it’s nothing too crazy though. I’m under a Tropical Storm Warning here in Wharton County.
LOL as long as it stays a category 1. I wouldn't be surprised to see a hurricane warning issued for Wharton county also.Especially if it gets to a strong cat 1 or cat 2.
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AtascocitaWX
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What is the Graf model? First I heard of it.
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Rip76
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Apparently there is a closed low now.
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don
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The 18Z HAFS models show Beryl getting to a category 2.


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rselby0654
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DoctorMu wrote: ↑Sat Jul 06, 2024 4:39 pm NAM, HRRR - Matagorda landfall. Potentially CAT3 (946 mb) for NAM at landfall. CAT 1/2 for HRRR

Looks like CLL will see a lot of right front quadrant inland. Spinups and flooding possible.

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That’s almost a cat 4!
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Stratton20
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I have a weird feeling this might try to blow up into a low end cat 3 at landfall, I dont trust Beryl at all lol
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vci_guy2003
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intensity forecasts are sometimes a crapshoot so I wouldn't be surprised.
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djmike
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Is it possible Beryl still jogs east on landfall or is it a done deal for Matagorda area? Will strength also make a difference?
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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don
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HWRF also has it at a category 2 now....

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Pas_Bon
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A strengthening Cat 2 at landfall, IMO is worse than a weakening Cat 3
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brazoriatx
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When will conditions start to go down hill? I gotta unload some crates with a fork lift tomorrow at 5 pm..
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