Page 54 of 79
Re: January 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2024 1:49 pm
by tireman4
don wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 1:39 pm
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 1:29 pm
The temperature gradient across the area is really bizarre. Like the cold air forgot to come with the front.
It's because the front stalled right offshore, which puts a temporary pause on the filtration of cold air advection. This was already forecasted to happen though. That's why HGX mentioned the potential for a bust in temps today depending on where exactly the front stalls. Temps will drop quickly once the sun goes down though. The HRRR seems to be doing a good job handling temps so far today. The 18Z HRRR has the freeze line reaching the I-59 corridor around midnight tonight.
For the central counties, this will be mainly a Monday event. Northern and western counties though may see problems starting tonight.
hrrr-houston-t2m_f-5298400.png
I could be wrong, but I thought HGX mentioned this in the morning AFD ( second arctic push). Spot in Don!
Re: January 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2024 1:51 pm
by txsnowmaker
NWS has Metro Houston (Galleria area) at freezing or below from midnight tomorrow night through 12 pm on Tuesday. Then from 7 pm Tuesday until about 10 am Wednesday. We can handle that. For those in this part of the area, can’t imagine much of an issue here unless perhaps driving on freeway overpasses etc.
Re: January 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2024 1:52 pm
by Cpv17
DoctorMu wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 1:46 pm
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 1:29 pm
The temperature gradient across the area is really bizarre. Like the cold air forgot to come with the front.
Not here. It's 25°F. I was covering an outside faucet, and yes I just saw a few teeny, tiny snowflakes.
The freeze line is near Columbus to Prairie View to north of New Waverly.
You don’t normally see such a large temperature gradient like this across the area with stronger fronts like this. It’s weird.
Re: January 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2024 1:59 pm
by don
18Z HRRR coming in more aggressive. Even shows moderate freezing rain tomorrow afternoon in the metro.As a disturbance moves in from the SW flow aloft.
Re: January 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2024 2:07 pm
by DoctorMu
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 1:52 pm
DoctorMu wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 1:46 pm
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 1:29 pm
The temperature gradient across the area is really bizarre. Like the cold air forgot to come with the front.
Not here. It's 25°F. I was covering an outside faucet, and yes I just saw a few teeny, tiny snowflakes.
The freeze line is near Columbus to Prairie View to north of New Waverly.
You don’t normally see such a large temperature gradient like this across the area with stronger fronts like this. It’s weird.
Almost a 15°F difference between Weimar and El Campo/Wharton (29-30°F to 42-44°F) on Wundermap.
Re: January 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2024 2:08 pm
by dp6
txsnowmaker wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 1:51 pm
NWS has Metro Houston (Galleria area) at freezing or below from midnight tomorrow night through 12 pm on Tuesday. Then from 7 pm Tuesday until about 10 am Wednesday. We can handle that. For those in this part of the area, can’t imagine much of an issue here unless perhaps driving on freeway overpasses etc.
They've raised the forecast in the local grids. They're currently forecasting areas to get above freezing tomorrow along and southeast of a Conroe-Pinehurst-Prairie View-Bellville-Eagle Lake line.
Of course that can change and vary, but there does seem to be a trend of some areas may end up a bit warmer during the event (or at least longer) than was forecast yesterday. For the moment.
So far the trend is looking to be my friend. Others' mileage may vary.
Re: January 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2024 2:22 pm
by Cpv17
DoctorMu wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 2:07 pm
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 1:52 pm
DoctorMu wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 1:46 pm
Not here. It's 25°F. I was covering an outside faucet, and yes I just saw a few teeny, tiny snowflakes.
The freeze line is near Columbus to Prairie View to north of New Waverly.
You don’t normally see such a large temperature gradient like this across the area with stronger fronts like this. It’s weird.
Almost a 15°F difference between Weimar and El Campo/Wharton (29-30°F to 42-44°F) on Wundermap.
Yeah that’s quite a bit cuz I’m only 45 minutes from Weimar.
Re: January 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2024 2:24 pm
by brazoriatx
Well I may not get anything but my dad hit the jackpot! He moved to gore, Oklahoma 7 months ago and he sent me this picture..and yes that is a duck by his truck lol
Re: January 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2024 2:32 pm
by Stratton20
The 18z NAM keeps all of se texas at or below freezing tommorow, so bridges and overpasses are going to be a no go
Re: January 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2024 2:34 pm
by brazoriatx
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 2:32 pm
The 18z NAM keeps all of se texas at or below freezing tommorow, so bridges and overpasses are going to be a no go
Don't buy it lol atleast not here
Re: January 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2024 2:40 pm
by MontgomeryCoWx
brazoriatx wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 2:34 pm
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 2:32 pm
The 18z NAM keeps all of se texas at or below freezing tommorow, so bridges and overpasses are going to be a no go
Don't buy it lol atleast not here
Front is over performing if you’re behind it 100 miles. Once it pushes through, you will too.
Weimar was supposed to be 42 today.
I’m not seeing freezing again until Wednesday. Well technically, I won’t see freezing again until Friday as I’m turning right around to fly to KC.
Re: January 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2024 2:40 pm
by Cromagnum
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 1:29 pm
The temperature gradient across the area is really bizarre. Like the cold air forgot to come with the front.
Yep, the front is way offshore and its bright and sunny and 55 here.
Re: January 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2024 3:03 pm
by snowman65
sitting at 65 here..
Re: January 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2024 3:04 pm
by Dls2010r
It’s pretty in Santa Fe too. Lol!!!!
Re: January 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2024 3:20 pm
by christinac2016
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 2:40 pm
brazoriatx wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 2:34 pm
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 2:32 pm
The 18z NAM keeps all of se texas at or below freezing tommorow, so bridges and overpasses are going to be a no go
Don't buy it lol atleast not here
Front is over performing if you’re behind it 100 miles. Once it pushes through, you will too.
Weimar was supposed to be 42 today.
I’m not seeing freezing again until Wednesday. Well technically, I won’t see freezing again until Friday as I’m turning right around to fly to KC.
Is over performing a good or bad thing? What does that mean exactly?
Re: January 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2024 3:23 pm
by Scott747
Left to play some disc golf at Shadow Creek in sweats, long sleeve shirt and my Aggie pullover with a hand warmer for good measure. Ended up in shorts and a t shirt and a breaking a solid sweat half way through. Good stuff. lol.
Re: January 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2024 3:29 pm
by MontgomeryCoWx
christinac2016 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 3:20 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 2:40 pm
brazoriatx wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 2:34 pm
Don't buy it lol atleast not here
Front is over performing if you’re behind it 100 miles. Once it pushes through, you will too.
Weimar was supposed to be 42 today.
I’m not seeing freezing again until Wednesday. Well technically, I won’t see freezing again until Friday as I’m turning right around to fly to KC.
Is over performing a good or bad thing? What does that mean exactly?
Depends on what your definition of good is.
Over performing is colder
Re: January 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2024 3:36 pm
by user:null
18z NAM3km breaks everywhere in Houston above freezing tomorrow afternoon (if low and brief ~34-35° ish). A good bit milder than the previous run.
Re: January 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2024 3:44 pm
by Stratton20
The front has been over performing so i do expect that may be the case for many areas tonight when the cold air really sets in, even the NAM suite may be a couple degrees too warm
Re: January 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2024 3:46 pm
by christinac2016
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 3:29 pm
christinac2016 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 3:20 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 2:40 pm
Front is over performing if you’re behind it 100 miles. Once it pushes through, you will too.
Weimar was supposed to be 42 today.
I’m not seeing freezing again until Wednesday. Well technically, I won’t see freezing again until Friday as I’m turning right around to fly to KC.
Is over performing a good or bad thing? What does that mean exactly?
Depends on what your definition of good is.
Over performing is colder
I thought it might mean colder. For mom that’s a good thing. Proves her wrong. lol.
Does the over performing affect the precip?