February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Mr. T
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Rich wrote:
Candy Cane wrote:
AggieBuckeye wrote:Wow, this is starting to shape up for 3 straight years of snow in Houston. Unbelievable.
Well now we have to say '3 consecutive seasons'. LOL
If we end up getting snow with this system, would this be the first time we would have seen snow here in Houston for 3 consecutive winter seasons?
It was the first time we had ever seen accumulating snow in two consecutive seasons. To make it three would be unheard of...
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In Dallas' morning AFD, they mention that the Winter Storm Watch may have to go further south...not that this will affect us because our system arrives Thursday. We may need a Winter Storm Watch from Brownsville to Corpus to Houston/Galveston to Lake Charles line by Wed night or Thursday if trends continue.
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tireman4
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List of Houston snows...


YEAR DATE Inches
1895 February 14-15 20
1912 January 12 0.1
1918 January 11 0.2
1925 December 28 0.4
1926 January 26 0.8
1929 December 21-22 2.5
1932 March 10-11 0.8
1940 January 22 3.0
1944 December 10 Trace
1949 January 30 2.6
1958 February 12 Trace
1960 February 12 4.4
1961 January 25 Trace
1961 December 13 Trace
1963 January 14 Trace
1963 February 12 Trace
1964 February 21 Trace
1973 January 11 2.0
1973 February 9-10 1.4
1973 February 17-18 1.4
1978 January 19-20 0.4
1980 February 2 1.4
1981 January 19 Trace
1981 February 11 Trace
1985 January 2 1.0
1985 February 1 0.3
1989 February 6 Trace
1989 December 22 1.7
1994 February 12 0.1
1995 January 2 Trace
1996 December 17 Trace
2004 December 24 Trace
2008 December 10 1.4"
2009 December 4 1.0"
2010 February 23 Trace"


http://www.wxresearch.com/snowhou.htm
Rich
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Thanks for all the quick responses! Here's to a snowy latter part of the week!! :D ;)
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Mr. T
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Looks like this would be the first time we have ever recorded snowfall in four consecutive calendar years, as well...
redneckweather
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Oh no, this won't be like 2004 when the coastal counties got nailed and where I live in Montgomery County didn't even see a flurry will it?
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Mr. T wrote:Looks like this would be the first time we have ever recorded snowfall in four consecutive calendar years, as well...
I don't remember the trace in February of last year. Too bad that doesn't count as measurable.
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redneckweather wrote:Oh no, this won't be like 2004 when the coastal counties got nailed and where I live in Montgomery County didn't even see a flurry will it?
I live in Montgomery County and we got light snow at our house. Of course, I'm like 2 miles from Harris County.
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tireman4
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Candy Cane wrote:
Mr. T wrote:Looks like this would be the first time we have ever recorded snowfall in four consecutive calendar years, as well...
I don't remember the trace in February of last year. Too bad that doesn't count as measurable.
I do. I noticed it real early in the morning.....6:30 ish...flurries
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by tireman4 » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:48 am

Candy Cane wrote:
Mr. T wrote:
Looks like this would be the first time we have ever recorded snowfall in four consecutive calendar years, as well...

I don't remember the trace in February of last year. Too bad that doesn't count as measurable.

I do. I noticed it real early in the morning.....6:30 ish...flurries
No, it was during the evening of February 23rd I believe, austin got a decent snowfall the houston area got about an hour of a sleet snow mix
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djmike
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Question....I am in the Beaumont area and local mets are forecasting our lowest low to be about 24-25 this week. Is there still a possibility that this system is colder than we are assuming? Say lows possible in the teens? JC, Thanks!
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Mr. T
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Candy Cane wrote:I don't remember the trace in February of last year. Too bad that doesn't count as measurable.
I can't believe you don't considering we were together in the Woodlands when it happened with camera in tow :(

Remember "I don't care I'm from New Jersey" Waitress?
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Mr. T wrote:
Candy Cane wrote:I don't remember the trace in February of last year. Too bad that doesn't count as measurable.
I can't believe you don't considering we were together in the Woodlands when it happened with camera in tow :(

Remember "I don't care I'm from New Jersey" Waitress?
OHHHHHHHHH YYYYEEEAAAAHHHHHH
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Mr. T
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Not too many changes with the 12z GFS. The system is a little slower but basically the same outcome. A band of light snow moves across the area on friday... It doesn't close it off like the Euro as it moves across Texas, so not as much precip
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Hmm! Be careful, folks. The cold and snow is not here yet. Let's not count our chickens before they hatch and get all disappointed.. No? We are watching both situations. I would not be surprised to find in the end that s.e Texas, proper, ends up with the short stick as we watch areas south, west, and north enjoy most of the fun. I'm speaking of accumulating precip.. This is all still developing, so of course we'll see. Let us also not forget the fact that predicted temps from previous events fell way short.
Today and Tuesday will be good days to finalize winter weather preparations, and good days for our weather services to check themselves. As of today, temps looks to be the coldest yet this season. Precip. forecasts are a bit more unclear. Both are subject to change until all of the players with this event can be nailed down.
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I live in Montgomery County and we got light snow at our house. Of course, I'm like 2 miles from Harris County.

I live just south of Lake Conroe Dam. We didn't see a flake. I know because I stood outside all day long straining my eyes looking for a flake. I also had the flash light out late at night look for one too. Talk about hard up! :( :D
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wxman57
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redneckweather wrote:Oh no, this won't be like 2004 when the coastal counties got nailed and where I live in Montgomery County didn't even see a flurry will it?
Could well be similar. Greater moisture is closer to the coast. You may have to head south for snow.
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Same here in Porter. I really hope that we don't have that happen with this event. Not that I would not be happy for the folks down south.. Just saying... Many were very, very disappointed then. Maybe we can avoid that this go round. I'd love to see enough to make some nice photos, and to be able to build a snowman. It has been since the 1980s up in Dallas. It's time.. :)
Last edited by biggerbyte on Mon Jan 31, 2011 10:46 am, edited 1 time in total.
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srainhoutx
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Our friends at Impact Weather just updated their video. Enjoy...

http://www.youtube.com/impactweather
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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Well, all sort of news in that update. Goodness. We've said this could be an interesting pattern that could produce some surprises.
Thumbnail sketch for those that can not view the video. Cold is coming and hard freeze all the way to Deep S TX. Crop issues there. Storm will be very windy. Lows in the teens and 20's across Houston. Storm approaches on Thursday as surface low develops in the Gulf, 2-4 inches of snow possible in S TX and an inch average across Houston. More cold air heading in next week with additional wintry weather chances in the Deep South.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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