Page 51 of 85

Re: December 2022

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:54 pm
by brazoriatx
Further west is better for us correct

Re: December 2022

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:54 pm
by DoctorMu
Cpv17 wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 10:59 am The CMC with a pretty big shift west as well.
CMC was the only model to nail the 2021 Feb winter storm.

Re: December 2022

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:55 pm
by DoctorMu
Stratton20 wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:00 am Classic, GFS Giveth and GFS taketh, but at least models are maybe starting to come closer to agreement on the cold, that is a good thing
When the ABC13 Mets say Arctic Blast, it's happening.

Re: December 2022

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:56 pm
by Cpv17
brazoriatx wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:54 pm Further west is better for us correct
Yes. We want a deep trough to dig out towards west Texas and the 4 corner region and into Mexico. That would be ideal for us.

Re: December 2022

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:56 pm
by DoctorMu
Stratton20 wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:45 am so whats the reason behind the models trending back to the west with the trough? Is it just the arctic air?
Yes. Density.

They are moving toward the Ensembles in cold prog.

Re: December 2022

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:58 pm
by Cpv17
Wow! 1064 MB HP in Montana on the 12z Euro. That would tie the record from 1983.

Re: December 2022

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:59 pm
by redneckweather
Where is the cold air right now that is supposed to be coming down?

Re: December 2022

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2022 1:00 pm
by brazoriatx
redneckweather wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:59 pm Where is the cold air right now that is supposed to be coming down?
It's supposed to be on the move to North West Canada this weekend..it's still in Siberia

Re: December 2022

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2022 1:01 pm
by Cpv17
redneckweather wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:59 pm Where is the cold air right now that is supposed to be coming down?
It’s crossing over the pole right now about to enter NW Canada. It’s getting displaced out of Siberia due to the strongly negative EPO.

Re: December 2022

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2022 1:01 pm
by Dls2010r
I miss BLAKE!!!!!!

Re: December 2022

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2022 1:04 pm
by Cpv17
The HP peaked at 1065 MB on the 12z Euro. Wild.

Re: December 2022

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2022 1:07 pm
by brazoriatx
That's a pretty stout hp

Re: December 2022

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2022 1:19 pm
by DoctorMu
brazoriatx wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 1:00 pm
redneckweather wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:59 pm Where is the cold air right now that is supposed to be coming down?
It's supposed to be on the move to North West Canada this weekend..it's still in Siberia
Getting colder. ;)

Re: December 2022

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2022 1:21 pm
by DoctorMu
Cpv17 wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:58 pm Wow! 1064 MB HP in Montana on the 12z Euro. That would tie the record from 1983.
It's going to come down on us like a ton of bricks. 40+ mph winds as well.

Re: December 2022

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2022 1:25 pm
by Stratton20
Joe Bastardi still believes temps arent cold enough even with todays runs, wow

Re: December 2022

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2022 1:33 pm
by Cpv17
Stratton20 wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 1:25 pm Joe Bastardi still believes temps arent cold enough even with todays runs, wow
I mean he’s not lying. If these HP’s are coming into Montana at 1060 MB+ then yeah it’s probably gonna get pretty dang cold especially if the models are overdoing the PNA.

Re: December 2022

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2022 1:46 pm
by Dls2010r
I’m confused. I live in Galveston county in the mainland. How cold are we talking. I’m not Houston.😁

Re: December 2022

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2022 1:53 pm
by vci_guy2003
Dls2010r wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 1:46 pm I’m confused. I live in Galveston county in the mainland. How cold are we talking. I’m not Houston.😁
You’re close enough. We’re all gonna get some.

Re: December 2022

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2022 1:55 pm
by Stratton20
Dls2010r likely low to mid 30’s for highs in galveston

Re: December 2022

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2022 2:02 pm
by Dls2010r
I’m pier and beam. My pipes? Lows?