Well the rain chances formerly known as 40% for today have been lowered to 30% now, the day of.
The trend continues…
August 2025
-
tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 6397
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
556
FXUS64 KHGX 131138
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
638 AM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1250 PM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025
- Typical summer-like weather is expected this week with isolated to
scattered showers and storms, with the best chances in the
afternoon.
- High temperatures mainly in the low to mid 90s throughout the
week with an increasing temperature trend possible over the
weekend into early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1144 PM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025
The pattern of heat and humidity with isolated to scattered storms
continues Wednesday through the end of the week as we remain
stationed in a weak upper level trough. Elevated PWAT values
(1.9-2.3" range) along with surface convergence and shortwaves
aloft will contribute to scattered showers and thunderstorms
across the area during the aforementioned period. Expect coverage
to start out over the coastal waters during the morning hours with
activity spreading further inland during the afternoon hours.
Rain chances decrease later in the weekend and into next week as
the ridge builds back in from the west. Temperatures will be on
the rise as a result of this. In addition to this, elevated
moisture will contribute to increased humidity and consequently
higher heat index values. Highs later in the weekend and into next
week will increase into the upper 90s with heat index values
topping out in the 105-109F across much of the area.
NHC has introduced a new area of concern in the SW Gulf. An area
of disorganized showers and storms in the NW Caribbean will
gradually move NW over the next several days. There is a LOW (20%)
chance of tropical development in the next 7 days as it moves into
the SW Gulf. At this time it is too early to determine what, if
any impacts we will experience in SE Texas. As we approach the
peak of hurricane season it is important to remain vigilant and
prepared and stay up to date on the latest forecasts.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 605 AM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025
Generally, light winds (variable in the morning, predominately
southeasterly in the afternoon) and VFR conditions will prevail
through the period. Like we`ve seen the past few days, we will see
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the coast in the
morning, then pop-up thunderstorms inland in the afternoon and
early evening. Gusty winds and heavy rainfall will be possible
near any thunderstorms the develop. A lull in the activity is
expected late this evening through near dawn tomorrow, then we
start the process again.
Fowler
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1144 PM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025
Offshore winds early in the mornings, and onshore winds in the
afternoon and evenings can be expected for the next several days
due to sea and land breezes. Low seas will also prevail through
most of the period. With enough moisture and the presence of a
weak surface trough along the coast, isolated to scattered showers
and storms are expected each day, with the best chances/coverage
Thursday and Friday.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 95 76 96 77 / 30 20 40 10
Houston (IAH) 96 78 95 80 / 30 20 50 10
Galveston (GLS) 91 83 91 84 / 40 20 30 10
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Adams
AVIATION...Fowler
MARINE...Adams
FXUS64 KHGX 131138
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
638 AM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1250 PM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025
- Typical summer-like weather is expected this week with isolated to
scattered showers and storms, with the best chances in the
afternoon.
- High temperatures mainly in the low to mid 90s throughout the
week with an increasing temperature trend possible over the
weekend into early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1144 PM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025
The pattern of heat and humidity with isolated to scattered storms
continues Wednesday through the end of the week as we remain
stationed in a weak upper level trough. Elevated PWAT values
(1.9-2.3" range) along with surface convergence and shortwaves
aloft will contribute to scattered showers and thunderstorms
across the area during the aforementioned period. Expect coverage
to start out over the coastal waters during the morning hours with
activity spreading further inland during the afternoon hours.
Rain chances decrease later in the weekend and into next week as
the ridge builds back in from the west. Temperatures will be on
the rise as a result of this. In addition to this, elevated
moisture will contribute to increased humidity and consequently
higher heat index values. Highs later in the weekend and into next
week will increase into the upper 90s with heat index values
topping out in the 105-109F across much of the area.
NHC has introduced a new area of concern in the SW Gulf. An area
of disorganized showers and storms in the NW Caribbean will
gradually move NW over the next several days. There is a LOW (20%)
chance of tropical development in the next 7 days as it moves into
the SW Gulf. At this time it is too early to determine what, if
any impacts we will experience in SE Texas. As we approach the
peak of hurricane season it is important to remain vigilant and
prepared and stay up to date on the latest forecasts.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 605 AM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025
Generally, light winds (variable in the morning, predominately
southeasterly in the afternoon) and VFR conditions will prevail
through the period. Like we`ve seen the past few days, we will see
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the coast in the
morning, then pop-up thunderstorms inland in the afternoon and
early evening. Gusty winds and heavy rainfall will be possible
near any thunderstorms the develop. A lull in the activity is
expected late this evening through near dawn tomorrow, then we
start the process again.
Fowler
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1144 PM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025
Offshore winds early in the mornings, and onshore winds in the
afternoon and evenings can be expected for the next several days
due to sea and land breezes. Low seas will also prevail through
most of the period. With enough moisture and the presence of a
weak surface trough along the coast, isolated to scattered showers
and storms are expected each day, with the best chances/coverage
Thursday and Friday.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 95 76 96 77 / 30 20 40 10
Houston (IAH) 96 78 95 80 / 30 20 50 10
Galveston (GLS) 91 83 91 84 / 40 20 30 10
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Adams
AVIATION...Fowler
MARINE...Adams
It’s been the same story for days - ‘today is finally the day’
I’ll believe it when I see it. Here’s a tidbit from Eric Berger on SCW:
“Today, however, I expect slightly less coverage than we saw on Tuesday. Overall I would say there is about a 30 percent chance of showers, with isolated storms. Highs today will range from the lower 90s near the coast to the upper 90s inland, with plenty of humidity.”
Between 3-9pm today looks fun!
So...this is what NORMAL last half of the summer weather looks like SETX. It's been awhile since we've seen normal. Partly because normal isn't normal in Texas.
Highs in the 90s. Daytime heating and chance of showers triggered along boundaries. 30% chance. Maybe 40%. If your lawn sees copious rain, then that's some good luck. If not, it's just bad luck. Chaos Theory Rules.
Of course, we know Jason is cursed...and the Aggiedome has us half-cursed.
Highs in the 90s. Daytime heating and chance of showers triggered along boundaries. 30% chance. Maybe 40%. If your lawn sees copious rain, then that's some good luck. If not, it's just bad luck. Chaos Theory Rules.
Of course, we know Jason is cursed...and the Aggiedome has us half-cursed.
-
tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 6397
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
707
FXUS64 KHGX 131824
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
124 PM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025
...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 122 PM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025
- Typical summer-like weather is expected this week with isolated to
scattered showers and storms, with the best chances in the
afternoon.
- The best rain and storm chances arrive Friday and Saturday as more
tropical moisture filters in.
- High temperatures mainly in the low to mid 90s throughout the
week with an increasing temperature trend possible over the
weekend into early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 122 PM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025
Radar shows scattered showers and a few lightning strikes along the
Islands, with some activity beginning to develop farther inland.
This activity is occurring ahead of a surface trough that is slowly
moving across northeastern Texas. In the next several hours, showers
and storms will increase in coverage. The combination of peak
daytime heating, high PWs (1.9 - 2.1 inches), and the influence of
subtle shortwaves aloft will support more scattered showers and
storms this afternoon into the early evening. Any storms that
develop will likely be slow-moving, increasing the potential for
locally heavy rainfall, which could lead to isolated flooding. Gusty
winds around 25 to 40 mph will also be possible with any strong
storms. These storms are expected to dissipate early this evening
(near sunset) with the loss of daytime heating and upper-level
forcing.
A rinse-and-repeat forecast is anticipated for Thursday. Showers
with a few storms are expected over the coast, slowly developing
farther inland in the afternoon. The best rain and storm chances
arrive by Friday as a plume of tropical moisture filters in. This is
associated to a broad area of a low pressure system located over the
Yucatan Peninsula. While this system is expected to remain well
further south of our region, increased moisture along with passing
mid-level vorticity maxes will be enough to support showers and
storms through the day. The best precipitation chances will likely
be across our southwestern Counties, including the coast. Showers
and storms are progged to continue on Saturday; though it will
strongly depend on any lingering moisture and upper-level forcing.
Will continue with 30 to 50% chance of precipitation.
Beyond Sunday, precipitation chances decrease a bit but temperatures
begin to increase. A ridge of high pressure briefly strengthens to
our east, bringing more subsidence/drier air into early next week.
It won`t be completely dry as some troughiness persists in the flow
aloft. Therefore, isolated to scattered activity cannot be rule each
day. Highs in the mid to upper 90s can be expected early next week,
with heat index values up to 107F. Don`t forget to practice heat
safety!
JM
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 605 AM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025
Generally, light winds (variable in the morning, predominately
southeasterly in the afternoon) and VFR conditions will prevail
through the period. Like we`ve seen the past few days, we will see
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the coast in the
morning, then pop-up thunderstorms inland in the afternoon and
early evening. Gusty winds and heavy rainfall will be possible
near any thunderstorms the develop. A lull in the activity is
expected late this evening through near dawn tomorrow, then we
start the process again.
Fowler
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 122 PM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025
Slow-moving showers with isolated thunderstorms will continue to
develop along the coast, before gradually moving further inland
later this afternoon. A daily risk of showers and storms will
continue over the next several days, with the best chances Friday
and Saturday as more tropical moisture moves in. Overall, light
winds (offshore early in the morning, becoming onshore in the
afternoon/evening) and low seas can be expected in the next 7
days.
The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor a tropical
wave over the Yucatan Peninsula. There is a 10 percent chance of
cyclone formation across the southwestern Gulf beginning on
Thursday. Regardless of development, minimal impacts are expected
across the Upper TX coast, other than an increased risk of rip
currents.
JM
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 96 76 97 77 / 40 20 30 10
Houston (IAH) 97 79 96 79 / 40 30 50 10
Galveston (GLS) 91 83 91 84 / 40 20 40 10
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...JM
AVIATION...Fowler
MARINE...JM
FXUS64 KHGX 131824
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
124 PM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025
...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 122 PM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025
- Typical summer-like weather is expected this week with isolated to
scattered showers and storms, with the best chances in the
afternoon.
- The best rain and storm chances arrive Friday and Saturday as more
tropical moisture filters in.
- High temperatures mainly in the low to mid 90s throughout the
week with an increasing temperature trend possible over the
weekend into early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 122 PM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025
Radar shows scattered showers and a few lightning strikes along the
Islands, with some activity beginning to develop farther inland.
This activity is occurring ahead of a surface trough that is slowly
moving across northeastern Texas. In the next several hours, showers
and storms will increase in coverage. The combination of peak
daytime heating, high PWs (1.9 - 2.1 inches), and the influence of
subtle shortwaves aloft will support more scattered showers and
storms this afternoon into the early evening. Any storms that
develop will likely be slow-moving, increasing the potential for
locally heavy rainfall, which could lead to isolated flooding. Gusty
winds around 25 to 40 mph will also be possible with any strong
storms. These storms are expected to dissipate early this evening
(near sunset) with the loss of daytime heating and upper-level
forcing.
A rinse-and-repeat forecast is anticipated for Thursday. Showers
with a few storms are expected over the coast, slowly developing
farther inland in the afternoon. The best rain and storm chances
arrive by Friday as a plume of tropical moisture filters in. This is
associated to a broad area of a low pressure system located over the
Yucatan Peninsula. While this system is expected to remain well
further south of our region, increased moisture along with passing
mid-level vorticity maxes will be enough to support showers and
storms through the day. The best precipitation chances will likely
be across our southwestern Counties, including the coast. Showers
and storms are progged to continue on Saturday; though it will
strongly depend on any lingering moisture and upper-level forcing.
Will continue with 30 to 50% chance of precipitation.
Beyond Sunday, precipitation chances decrease a bit but temperatures
begin to increase. A ridge of high pressure briefly strengthens to
our east, bringing more subsidence/drier air into early next week.
It won`t be completely dry as some troughiness persists in the flow
aloft. Therefore, isolated to scattered activity cannot be rule each
day. Highs in the mid to upper 90s can be expected early next week,
with heat index values up to 107F. Don`t forget to practice heat
safety!
JM
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 605 AM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025
Generally, light winds (variable in the morning, predominately
southeasterly in the afternoon) and VFR conditions will prevail
through the period. Like we`ve seen the past few days, we will see
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the coast in the
morning, then pop-up thunderstorms inland in the afternoon and
early evening. Gusty winds and heavy rainfall will be possible
near any thunderstorms the develop. A lull in the activity is
expected late this evening through near dawn tomorrow, then we
start the process again.
Fowler
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 122 PM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025
Slow-moving showers with isolated thunderstorms will continue to
develop along the coast, before gradually moving further inland
later this afternoon. A daily risk of showers and storms will
continue over the next several days, with the best chances Friday
and Saturday as more tropical moisture moves in. Overall, light
winds (offshore early in the morning, becoming onshore in the
afternoon/evening) and low seas can be expected in the next 7
days.
The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor a tropical
wave over the Yucatan Peninsula. There is a 10 percent chance of
cyclone formation across the southwestern Gulf beginning on
Thursday. Regardless of development, minimal impacts are expected
across the Upper TX coast, other than an increased risk of rip
currents.
JM
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 96 76 97 77 / 40 20 30 10
Houston (IAH) 97 79 96 79 / 40 30 50 10
Galveston (GLS) 91 83 91 84 / 40 20 40 10
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...JM
AVIATION...Fowler
MARINE...JM
^looks like I wrote it. lol
Pretty light returns up here in CLL, but hey there's wetness.
Stronger storms are riding the outflow wave and sagging south. There's some nice scattered shower development between I-10 and the coast as well. Hope y'all get some action.
That Yucatan wave on Friday and Saturday has some nice lemonade potential.
Pretty light returns up here in CLL, but hey there's wetness.
Stronger storms are riding the outflow wave and sagging south. There's some nice scattered shower development between I-10 and the coast as well. Hope y'all get some action.
That Yucatan wave on Friday and Saturday has some nice lemonade potential.
Running. out. of. gas.
Geez.
- Attachments
-
- IMG_3980.jpeg (2.88 MiB) Viewed 305 times
Man that cell will not build North towards The Woodlands. Lightning all over.
What happened in NW Harris County tonight was what I was hinting at earlier this morning, it just wasn’t quite as widespread as I thought it would be.
-
tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 6397
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
750
FXUS64 KHGX 141118
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
618 AM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 122 AM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025
- Typical summer-like weather is expected this week with isolated to
scattered showers and storms, with the best chances in the
afternoon.
- The best rain and storm chances arrive Friday and Saturday as more
tropical moisture filters in.
- High temperatures mainly in the low to mid 90s throughout the
week with an increasing temperature trend possible over the
weekend into early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1148 PM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025
Another round of showers and thunderstorms is expected for
Thursday. Activity will start offshore and along the coast during
the morning hours, and will spread inland during the afternoon
hours.
Rain chances further increase for Friday as a plume of tropical
moisture moves northward into the area in association with an area
of low pressure near the Yucatan Peninsula. Increased moisture
along with energy in the H5 level will contribute to scattered to
numerous showers and storms. Highest chances for rain will lie on
a SW to NE Axis from Jackson County to Polk County and towards the
coast. Rain chances are projected to continue into the weekend
with PWAT values remaining in the 1.8-2.1" range and continued
upper level forcing. Chances decrease Sunday going into early next
week as high pressure begins to build back into the area.
As the ridge builds back in, temperatures will increase in
response. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible each
day during the afternoon hours going into next week, primarily in
association with the sea breeze. Low pressure over Louisiana may
provide an extra boost of moisture/lift for activity closer to the
coast and eastern counties.
Highs through the week will be in the mid to upper 90s. The
combination of increased temperatures and humidity will result in
heat index values in the triple digits. Heat indices may approach
advisory levels in some locations next week. In any case, continue
to practice heat safety, stay hydrated and remember to look before
you lock!
Finally, taking a look at the tropics. Earlier on it was mentioned
that an increase in moisture on Friday would lead to increased
probabilities of precipitation. As stated, this is a result of a
broad area of low pressure near the Yucatan Peninsula. At this
time, as the area of low pressure moves into the Gulf, the
environment will be marginally conducive to tropical development.
The NHC has given this area a low (20%) chance of development in
the next 48 hours. As we approach peak hurricane season, make sure
to have your preparedness plans in place. Stay vigilant and up to
date on the latest forecasts.
Regardless of whether or not tropical development occur, an
increase in moisture and consequently rain chances is expected.
Swells and rip current risks may also increase later in the week
as a result of this approaching disturbance.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 612 AM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025
Scattered shra/tsra activity expected at the coast this morning.
Though our TAFs continue to suggest that this activity may push
inland this afternoon, drier air filtering into the region from
the north is adding some complexity to the shra/tsra forecast for
areas farther inland. Some hi-res data suggest there will only be
isolated shra/tsra north of I-10 this afternoon. For this reason,
we have "downgraded" many inland TAFs from a tsra PROB30 to a shra
PROB30. That being said, we still cannot rule out inland tsra.
There continues to be some model guidance support for tsra farther
inland. So amendments may be warranted. Mostly VFR conditions
expected. However, sub-VFR along with locally gusty winds possible
near shra/tsra.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1148 PM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025
A daily risk of showers and storms will
continue over the next several days, with the best chances Friday
and Saturday as more tropical moisture moves in. Overall, light
winds (offshore early in the morning, becoming onshore in the
afternoon/evening) and low seas can be expected in the next 7
days.
The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor a tropical
wave over the Yucatan Peninsula. There is a 20 percent chance of
cyclone formation across the southwestern Gulf beginning on
Thursday. Regardless of development, minimal impacts are expected
across the Upper TX coast, other than an increased risk of rip
currents and swells.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 97 77 96 76 / 30 10 20 10
Houston (IAH) 94 79 94 79 / 60 10 50 20
Galveston (GLS) 91 84 91 84 / 50 20 40 30
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Adams
AVIATION...Self
MARINE...Adams
FXUS64 KHGX 141118
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
618 AM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 122 AM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025
- Typical summer-like weather is expected this week with isolated to
scattered showers and storms, with the best chances in the
afternoon.
- The best rain and storm chances arrive Friday and Saturday as more
tropical moisture filters in.
- High temperatures mainly in the low to mid 90s throughout the
week with an increasing temperature trend possible over the
weekend into early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1148 PM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025
Another round of showers and thunderstorms is expected for
Thursday. Activity will start offshore and along the coast during
the morning hours, and will spread inland during the afternoon
hours.
Rain chances further increase for Friday as a plume of tropical
moisture moves northward into the area in association with an area
of low pressure near the Yucatan Peninsula. Increased moisture
along with energy in the H5 level will contribute to scattered to
numerous showers and storms. Highest chances for rain will lie on
a SW to NE Axis from Jackson County to Polk County and towards the
coast. Rain chances are projected to continue into the weekend
with PWAT values remaining in the 1.8-2.1" range and continued
upper level forcing. Chances decrease Sunday going into early next
week as high pressure begins to build back into the area.
As the ridge builds back in, temperatures will increase in
response. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible each
day during the afternoon hours going into next week, primarily in
association with the sea breeze. Low pressure over Louisiana may
provide an extra boost of moisture/lift for activity closer to the
coast and eastern counties.
Highs through the week will be in the mid to upper 90s. The
combination of increased temperatures and humidity will result in
heat index values in the triple digits. Heat indices may approach
advisory levels in some locations next week. In any case, continue
to practice heat safety, stay hydrated and remember to look before
you lock!
Finally, taking a look at the tropics. Earlier on it was mentioned
that an increase in moisture on Friday would lead to increased
probabilities of precipitation. As stated, this is a result of a
broad area of low pressure near the Yucatan Peninsula. At this
time, as the area of low pressure moves into the Gulf, the
environment will be marginally conducive to tropical development.
The NHC has given this area a low (20%) chance of development in
the next 48 hours. As we approach peak hurricane season, make sure
to have your preparedness plans in place. Stay vigilant and up to
date on the latest forecasts.
Regardless of whether or not tropical development occur, an
increase in moisture and consequently rain chances is expected.
Swells and rip current risks may also increase later in the week
as a result of this approaching disturbance.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 612 AM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025
Scattered shra/tsra activity expected at the coast this morning.
Though our TAFs continue to suggest that this activity may push
inland this afternoon, drier air filtering into the region from
the north is adding some complexity to the shra/tsra forecast for
areas farther inland. Some hi-res data suggest there will only be
isolated shra/tsra north of I-10 this afternoon. For this reason,
we have "downgraded" many inland TAFs from a tsra PROB30 to a shra
PROB30. That being said, we still cannot rule out inland tsra.
There continues to be some model guidance support for tsra farther
inland. So amendments may be warranted. Mostly VFR conditions
expected. However, sub-VFR along with locally gusty winds possible
near shra/tsra.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1148 PM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025
A daily risk of showers and storms will
continue over the next several days, with the best chances Friday
and Saturday as more tropical moisture moves in. Overall, light
winds (offshore early in the morning, becoming onshore in the
afternoon/evening) and low seas can be expected in the next 7
days.
The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor a tropical
wave over the Yucatan Peninsula. There is a 20 percent chance of
cyclone formation across the southwestern Gulf beginning on
Thursday. Regardless of development, minimal impacts are expected
across the Upper TX coast, other than an increased risk of rip
currents and swells.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 97 77 96 76 / 30 10 20 10
Houston (IAH) 94 79 94 79 / 60 10 50 20
Galveston (GLS) 91 84 91 84 / 50 20 40 30
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Adams
AVIATION...Self
MARINE...Adams
They actually kept my 50% for today and 50% for tomorrow. We’ll see.
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