November 2024
Just can't seem to catch a break to get some of the heavier showers here. Back to the old ways I guess. Donut city.
About 0.6 inches of rain yesterday. Good enough for November.
Finally, a Chamber of Commerce Day today. Lower DP (49°F). Mid 70s. Sunny skies and northerly breeze.
Finally, a Chamber of Commerce Day today. Lower DP (49°F). Mid 70s. Sunny skies and northerly breeze.
Nearing 5” overnight and still raining in Beaumont. Nearing 10” in the last two weeks. So glad it came slowly and not all at once which is usually the SETX way after a long drought period. Thursday’s drought monitor should be looking much better for many of us!
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
DP is up in the 60s today, but the uncertain FROPA will swing back south again. Sunny, mild week ahead, at least up in CLL.
Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
316 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday Night)
Issued at 236 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024
Our stalled boundary continues to wobble back and forth across
Southeast Texas. While the differences between the two airmasses
are not very large, we`re seeing dewpoints slide into the 50s and
60s on the west side of the boundary along with the sky becoming
mostly sunny. On the east side, the sky is much more cloudy, with
dewpoints around 70 degrees and even a small smattering of
sprinkles and very light showers.
Over the next several hours, any last remaining sprinkles/showers
will come to an end. Tonight, much of the area from the Houston
metro coastward can see at least scattered low clouds to return
with some patchy fog, but drier air will continue to filter in as
the front finally drags out of the area.
Tomorrow again looks to see highs reach into the upper 70s and
lower 80s across most of the area, and even into the middle 80s
down around Matagorda Bay. This should be similar to, or ever so
slightly warmer than today. Tomorrow night, thanks to the
modestly drier air and lack of low clouds/fog expected, should see
temperatures get a little cooler. If you`re a fan of colder temps,
don`t get too excited. Forecast lows range from the lower 50s way
up north around Caldwell, College Station, Madisonville and
Crockett to the upper 60s right on the Gulf. This is still 5-10
degrees above seasonal averages.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 236 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024
The mid to upper level ridge is expected to be slightly weaker on
Tuesday, but very dry air along the mid levels and not enough
moisture on the surface, should keep our rain chances rather limited
during the day. There is the potential for some low level moisture
to move into Southeast Texas late Tuesday as Post-Tropical Storm
Rafael tracks further west to southwest across the southern Gulf
of Mexico, but it does not look sufficient enough to result in
much rainfall, other than some light passing (isolated) showers.
Temperatures, however, will cool off a couple of degrees on
Tuesday, with highs forecast to be mainly in the upper 70s to low
80s.
Late Tuesday into Wednesday, a mid to upper level trough is expected
to move across the Southern Plains and an associated cold front
would then track southeastward into the Central Texas. The cold
front could move into Southeast Texas sometime late Wednesday, and
with the added lift and increase in moisture ahead of the front, we
might be able to see some showers and isolated thunderstorms
developing throughout the day. Conditions will be a little warmer as
well, with highs expected to be roughly in the upper 70s to low 80s
north of I-10 and in the low to mid 80s along and south of I-10.
Rain chances should end by Wednesday night and northerly winds will
increase on Thursday. The temperature forecast for Thursday and
Friday, however, will highly depend on whether the front is strong
enough to pull in drier and cooler air into our local area. The
inconsistencies between some of the global models are still very
apparent today. Will continue to carry NBM temperatures for the time
being, with highs in the low 70s over the Piney Woods region and the
mid to upper 70s elsewhere (except areas around Jackson counties who
may still have highs in the low 80s). If the CAA turns out to be
stronger, the temperatures will likely be slightly cooler than the
current forecast. On Saturday, warmer conditions may occur as
southerly winds return along with an increase in low level
moisture.
&&
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
316 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday Night)
Issued at 236 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024
Our stalled boundary continues to wobble back and forth across
Southeast Texas. While the differences between the two airmasses
are not very large, we`re seeing dewpoints slide into the 50s and
60s on the west side of the boundary along with the sky becoming
mostly sunny. On the east side, the sky is much more cloudy, with
dewpoints around 70 degrees and even a small smattering of
sprinkles and very light showers.
Over the next several hours, any last remaining sprinkles/showers
will come to an end. Tonight, much of the area from the Houston
metro coastward can see at least scattered low clouds to return
with some patchy fog, but drier air will continue to filter in as
the front finally drags out of the area.
Tomorrow again looks to see highs reach into the upper 70s and
lower 80s across most of the area, and even into the middle 80s
down around Matagorda Bay. This should be similar to, or ever so
slightly warmer than today. Tomorrow night, thanks to the
modestly drier air and lack of low clouds/fog expected, should see
temperatures get a little cooler. If you`re a fan of colder temps,
don`t get too excited. Forecast lows range from the lower 50s way
up north around Caldwell, College Station, Madisonville and
Crockett to the upper 60s right on the Gulf. This is still 5-10
degrees above seasonal averages.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 236 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024
The mid to upper level ridge is expected to be slightly weaker on
Tuesday, but very dry air along the mid levels and not enough
moisture on the surface, should keep our rain chances rather limited
during the day. There is the potential for some low level moisture
to move into Southeast Texas late Tuesday as Post-Tropical Storm
Rafael tracks further west to southwest across the southern Gulf
of Mexico, but it does not look sufficient enough to result in
much rainfall, other than some light passing (isolated) showers.
Temperatures, however, will cool off a couple of degrees on
Tuesday, with highs forecast to be mainly in the upper 70s to low
80s.
Late Tuesday into Wednesday, a mid to upper level trough is expected
to move across the Southern Plains and an associated cold front
would then track southeastward into the Central Texas. The cold
front could move into Southeast Texas sometime late Wednesday, and
with the added lift and increase in moisture ahead of the front, we
might be able to see some showers and isolated thunderstorms
developing throughout the day. Conditions will be a little warmer as
well, with highs expected to be roughly in the upper 70s to low 80s
north of I-10 and in the low to mid 80s along and south of I-10.
Rain chances should end by Wednesday night and northerly winds will
increase on Thursday. The temperature forecast for Thursday and
Friday, however, will highly depend on whether the front is strong
enough to pull in drier and cooler air into our local area. The
inconsistencies between some of the global models are still very
apparent today. Will continue to carry NBM temperatures for the time
being, with highs in the low 70s over the Piney Woods region and the
mid to upper 70s elsewhere (except areas around Jackson counties who
may still have highs in the low 80s). If the CAA turns out to be
stronger, the temperatures will likely be slightly cooler than the
current forecast. On Saturday, warmer conditions may occur as
southerly winds return along with an increase in low level
moisture.
&&
I'm working in San Antonio this weekend.....it's 86 degrees here. This Fall sucks and I want to speak to the manager.
Models are showing some significantly colder air coming in after the 20th. Hopefully it iholds!
-
Stratton20
- Posts: 5354
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
Its too early to say, but their definitely is growing support from guidance of a blocking pattern setting up late next week into the week of thanksgiving, im becoming more confident we are going to see much chillier weather in the 10-14 day window
Sounds good!Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 10, 2024 8:10 pm Its too early to say, but their definitely is growing support from guidance of a blocking pattern setting up late next week into the week of thanksgiving, im becoming more confident we are going to see much chillier weather in the 10-14 day window
-
tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 6016
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
195
FXUS64 KHGX 111159
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
559 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 336 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
A Dense Fog Advisory is out for much of SE Texas through 9 AM this
morning. Low-level moisture, a stable environment, and light winds
have resulted in the development of areas of fog. Visibilities at
several sites across the area have been reduced to less than 1 mile.
Use caution when driving this morning by using low-beam headlights
and leaving extra room between vehicles.
Generally benign weather is in store through the short-term period.
Highs for today will once again be above seasonal average as
temperatures reach into the upper 70s to mid 80s. Nighttime lows
will have the chance to cool down into the 50s to near 60 degrees
tonight thanks to decreased cloud cover and persistent northerly to
northeasterly winds.
Tuesday will feature similar weather with slightly cooler highs with
temperatures in the mid/upper 70s to low 80s. Onshore flow will
return Tuesday, bringing an increase in moisture; however, SE Texas
should remain generally rain-free. Could see isolated showers along
the coastal areas in association with the proximity of the remnants
of Rafael in the Gulf of Mexico. Lows for Tuesday night will be
slightly warmer as onshore flow returns.
Adams
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 336 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
Southeast parts of the CWA may see some iso-sct showers early in
the day Wednesday as some higher PW Gulf moisture flows around
the periphery of the ridge to our east, but expect this to be
fairly short lived with a weak frontal boundary moving through
the area and transporting drier air into the region later in the
day. CAA will be fairly modest in its wake, though most will feel
a difference in temps at night along with some lower RH`s into
the end of the work week. This boundary will stall offshore...eventually
tracking back inland as a warm front on Saturday. As this occurs,
we`ll see a return to muggy conditions this weekend along with
some scattered chances of rain as Gulf moisture flows back into
the region. Though it`s beyond the current scope of this forecast
package...there`s fairly good ensemble support from the GFS,
ECMWF and CMC that we could see a legitimate cold front pass
through toward the middle of next week. 47
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 557 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
Several sites at IFR/LIFR with VSBYs and CIGs this morning. Expect
conditions to improve to VFR by around 15-16Z. Winds will be light
out of the north through the day. Patchy fog will be possible
again tonight, though not as dense of widespread as what is being
observed this AM.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 336 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
The remnant long period swell will continue its slow downward
trend through the early parts of the week. Northeast winds should
generally prevail through Tuesday night. A weak front is forecast
to push off the coast Wednesday, with some moderate offshore
winds in its wake...mainly offshore Wednesday night where caution
flags might be necessary. The front will stall offshore, then
return back toward the coast as a warm front Friday night and
Saturday. 47
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 82 55 80 59 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 82 59 80 63 / 0 0 0 10
Galveston (GLS) 80 68 78 71 / 0 0 0 20
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for TXZ177>179-
198>200-210>213-226-227-235>237-335>337-436.
GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution until 9 AM CST this morning
for GMZ370-375.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Adams
LONG TERM....47
AVIATION...Adams
MARINE...47
FXUS64 KHGX 111159
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
559 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 336 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
A Dense Fog Advisory is out for much of SE Texas through 9 AM this
morning. Low-level moisture, a stable environment, and light winds
have resulted in the development of areas of fog. Visibilities at
several sites across the area have been reduced to less than 1 mile.
Use caution when driving this morning by using low-beam headlights
and leaving extra room between vehicles.
Generally benign weather is in store through the short-term period.
Highs for today will once again be above seasonal average as
temperatures reach into the upper 70s to mid 80s. Nighttime lows
will have the chance to cool down into the 50s to near 60 degrees
tonight thanks to decreased cloud cover and persistent northerly to
northeasterly winds.
Tuesday will feature similar weather with slightly cooler highs with
temperatures in the mid/upper 70s to low 80s. Onshore flow will
return Tuesday, bringing an increase in moisture; however, SE Texas
should remain generally rain-free. Could see isolated showers along
the coastal areas in association with the proximity of the remnants
of Rafael in the Gulf of Mexico. Lows for Tuesday night will be
slightly warmer as onshore flow returns.
Adams
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 336 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
Southeast parts of the CWA may see some iso-sct showers early in
the day Wednesday as some higher PW Gulf moisture flows around
the periphery of the ridge to our east, but expect this to be
fairly short lived with a weak frontal boundary moving through
the area and transporting drier air into the region later in the
day. CAA will be fairly modest in its wake, though most will feel
a difference in temps at night along with some lower RH`s into
the end of the work week. This boundary will stall offshore...eventually
tracking back inland as a warm front on Saturday. As this occurs,
we`ll see a return to muggy conditions this weekend along with
some scattered chances of rain as Gulf moisture flows back into
the region. Though it`s beyond the current scope of this forecast
package...there`s fairly good ensemble support from the GFS,
ECMWF and CMC that we could see a legitimate cold front pass
through toward the middle of next week. 47
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 557 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
Several sites at IFR/LIFR with VSBYs and CIGs this morning. Expect
conditions to improve to VFR by around 15-16Z. Winds will be light
out of the north through the day. Patchy fog will be possible
again tonight, though not as dense of widespread as what is being
observed this AM.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 336 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
The remnant long period swell will continue its slow downward
trend through the early parts of the week. Northeast winds should
generally prevail through Tuesday night. A weak front is forecast
to push off the coast Wednesday, with some moderate offshore
winds in its wake...mainly offshore Wednesday night where caution
flags might be necessary. The front will stall offshore, then
return back toward the coast as a warm front Friday night and
Saturday. 47
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 82 55 80 59 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 82 59 80 63 / 0 0 0 10
Galveston (GLS) 80 68 78 71 / 0 0 0 20
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for TXZ177>179-
198>200-210>213-226-227-235>237-335>337-436.
GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution until 9 AM CST this morning
for GMZ370-375.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Adams
LONG TERM....47
AVIATION...Adams
MARINE...47
-
Stratton20
- Posts: 5354
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
EPS has the EPO going sharply negative after the 20th
-
tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 6016
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
546
FXUS64 KHGX 112142
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
342 PM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
...New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 342 PM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
Fairly quiet weather is expected for roughly the next week, but
the atmosphere won`t be entirely silent, either. A midweek front
looks to eat a bit more at our warmth but bring little chance for
rain. Some of the key things about the forecast:
- Patchy fog is expected tonight, and perhaps again tomorrow
night. We`re not anticipating any fog to be as widespread or as
dense as last night, but expect enough fog to be more mindful
about visibility on your morning commute.
- Another front is expected to go through the area Wednesday. Rain
potential is pretty low, with the best potential east of I-45.
- While a big cooldown is not anticipated behind this front, look
for things to get quite close to average north of the Houston
metro, and within 5 degrees or so of average closer to the
coast.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 342 PM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
After a morning that saw more dense and widespread fog than
anticipated, which also took longer than anticipated to improve,
we`ve finally broken out into a mostly or even fully sunny sky.
Temperatures are cranking up yet again as our unseasonably warm
stretch carries on for another day. The thermometer we
see`s/Cracking 80 degrees/When Mayvember refuses to leave us.
One nice note tonight is that dry air with dewpoints in the 50s
for all but the immediate coast will at least let temperatures
cool off a fair amount tonight. Expect tonight`s lows to still be
above average by a good 5-10 degrees, but at least they should
still be fairly crisp and not summery.
Tomorrow looks a whole lot like today. I`d expect that with the
lower dewpoints that we`ll manage more patchy and less dense fog
tonight than we saw last night...and hopefully I`m right, though
now that I`m committed to it, watch the fog do otherwise! But once
the sun gets up high enough and temps are on track for the day,
we`ll see rapid dissipation of whatever fog is there.
Tomorrow night looks to see dewpoints creeping back up again,
which is likely to keep tomorrow night a little bit warmer, with
only those well inland north and northwest of Houston managing to
fall below 60 degrees. That subtle bump back up in moisture also
has me keeping patchy fog in the forecast for tomorrow night as
well.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 342 PM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
A mid to upper level trough will track eastward across the Southern
Plains late Tuesday night into Wednesday. An associated cold front
is expected to move across Central Texas Wednesday morning and make
its way across Southeast Texas sometime Wednesday afternoon or
evening. Ahead of the front, our local area may see some isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms, but no significant rainfall is
expected at this time. Conditions will be warmer on Wednesday,
roughly 10-13 degrees above normal. The highs are expected to be in
the low to mid 80s for much of the region, although some spots south
of I-10 and west of I-45 could see highs in the upper 80s. In the
wake of the front, rain chances will end and cooler drier air will
begin to push into the region.
Dry and cooler conditions expected Thursday and Friday as high
pressure moves across Texas. Temperatures will then be more
seasonable with highs in the low to mid 70s over the Brazos Valley
and Piney Woods region, and the upper 70s elsewhere. Our coolest
night of the week will be Thursday night into early Friday morning
with lows in the upper 40s over the Brazos Valley and Piney Woods
region, the low to mid 50s over the rest of the inland portions, and
the upper 50s to low 60s along the coasts.
The high pressure is expected to shift to our east during the
weekend and southerly flow will bring back the warm moist air from
the Gulf. Consequently, our temperatures will warm back up by a few
degrees and we may even see highs back in the low to mid 80s by
Sunday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1128 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
IFR/Low MVFR has stayed annoyingly persistent around Houston
terminals, but most of the area has scattered to VFR or even
cleared entirely. Given improvement even where CIGs/BR persists,
they should join by 18Z or within an hour or so.
Beyond that, forecast simplifies greatly. Broadly speaking, should
remain VFR throughout the day and much of the night with light
mainly north-northeast winds. Expecting to see some patchy fog
across the area again tonight. However, at most sites, there is
not enough confidence in impact at the terminal to mention this
explicitly in the TAF. The exceptions are at IAH (expected light
drainage flow off Lake Houston) as well as the CXO/SGR/LBX trio of
especially foggy spots.
Continued communications issues with SGR necessitate continuation
of AMD NOT SKED. As usual, will try to make amendments when
supported by existing data, but cannot guarantee them without the
airport ob to give site`s locations, particularly for highly
localized fog conditions.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 342 PM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
Swell will continue to subside early this week. Light to
occasionally moderate northeast winds will prevail through Tuesday
night. A weak cold front could move across the coastal waters late
Wednesday, resulting in moderate to occasionally strong north to
northeast winds and elevated seas in its wake. Caution flags and/or
Small Craft Advisories may be needed. Periods of showers and
thunderstorms can also be expected ahead and along the front.
Onshore flow is expected to return during the weekend. Rain chances
may return during the late weekend timeframe.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 55 80 58 83 / 0 0 0 10
Houston (IAH) 59 80 62 83 / 0 0 10 20
Galveston (GLS) 68 78 71 83 / 0 0 20 30
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Luchs
LONG TERM....Cotto (24)
AVIATION...Luchs
MARINE...Cotto (24)
FXUS64 KHGX 112142
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
342 PM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
...New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 342 PM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
Fairly quiet weather is expected for roughly the next week, but
the atmosphere won`t be entirely silent, either. A midweek front
looks to eat a bit more at our warmth but bring little chance for
rain. Some of the key things about the forecast:
- Patchy fog is expected tonight, and perhaps again tomorrow
night. We`re not anticipating any fog to be as widespread or as
dense as last night, but expect enough fog to be more mindful
about visibility on your morning commute.
- Another front is expected to go through the area Wednesday. Rain
potential is pretty low, with the best potential east of I-45.
- While a big cooldown is not anticipated behind this front, look
for things to get quite close to average north of the Houston
metro, and within 5 degrees or so of average closer to the
coast.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 342 PM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
After a morning that saw more dense and widespread fog than
anticipated, which also took longer than anticipated to improve,
we`ve finally broken out into a mostly or even fully sunny sky.
Temperatures are cranking up yet again as our unseasonably warm
stretch carries on for another day. The thermometer we
see`s/Cracking 80 degrees/When Mayvember refuses to leave us.
One nice note tonight is that dry air with dewpoints in the 50s
for all but the immediate coast will at least let temperatures
cool off a fair amount tonight. Expect tonight`s lows to still be
above average by a good 5-10 degrees, but at least they should
still be fairly crisp and not summery.
Tomorrow looks a whole lot like today. I`d expect that with the
lower dewpoints that we`ll manage more patchy and less dense fog
tonight than we saw last night...and hopefully I`m right, though
now that I`m committed to it, watch the fog do otherwise! But once
the sun gets up high enough and temps are on track for the day,
we`ll see rapid dissipation of whatever fog is there.
Tomorrow night looks to see dewpoints creeping back up again,
which is likely to keep tomorrow night a little bit warmer, with
only those well inland north and northwest of Houston managing to
fall below 60 degrees. That subtle bump back up in moisture also
has me keeping patchy fog in the forecast for tomorrow night as
well.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 342 PM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
A mid to upper level trough will track eastward across the Southern
Plains late Tuesday night into Wednesday. An associated cold front
is expected to move across Central Texas Wednesday morning and make
its way across Southeast Texas sometime Wednesday afternoon or
evening. Ahead of the front, our local area may see some isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms, but no significant rainfall is
expected at this time. Conditions will be warmer on Wednesday,
roughly 10-13 degrees above normal. The highs are expected to be in
the low to mid 80s for much of the region, although some spots south
of I-10 and west of I-45 could see highs in the upper 80s. In the
wake of the front, rain chances will end and cooler drier air will
begin to push into the region.
Dry and cooler conditions expected Thursday and Friday as high
pressure moves across Texas. Temperatures will then be more
seasonable with highs in the low to mid 70s over the Brazos Valley
and Piney Woods region, and the upper 70s elsewhere. Our coolest
night of the week will be Thursday night into early Friday morning
with lows in the upper 40s over the Brazos Valley and Piney Woods
region, the low to mid 50s over the rest of the inland portions, and
the upper 50s to low 60s along the coasts.
The high pressure is expected to shift to our east during the
weekend and southerly flow will bring back the warm moist air from
the Gulf. Consequently, our temperatures will warm back up by a few
degrees and we may even see highs back in the low to mid 80s by
Sunday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1128 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
IFR/Low MVFR has stayed annoyingly persistent around Houston
terminals, but most of the area has scattered to VFR or even
cleared entirely. Given improvement even where CIGs/BR persists,
they should join by 18Z or within an hour or so.
Beyond that, forecast simplifies greatly. Broadly speaking, should
remain VFR throughout the day and much of the night with light
mainly north-northeast winds. Expecting to see some patchy fog
across the area again tonight. However, at most sites, there is
not enough confidence in impact at the terminal to mention this
explicitly in the TAF. The exceptions are at IAH (expected light
drainage flow off Lake Houston) as well as the CXO/SGR/LBX trio of
especially foggy spots.
Continued communications issues with SGR necessitate continuation
of AMD NOT SKED. As usual, will try to make amendments when
supported by existing data, but cannot guarantee them without the
airport ob to give site`s locations, particularly for highly
localized fog conditions.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 342 PM CST Mon Nov 11 2024
Swell will continue to subside early this week. Light to
occasionally moderate northeast winds will prevail through Tuesday
night. A weak cold front could move across the coastal waters late
Wednesday, resulting in moderate to occasionally strong north to
northeast winds and elevated seas in its wake. Caution flags and/or
Small Craft Advisories may be needed. Periods of showers and
thunderstorms can also be expected ahead and along the front.
Onshore flow is expected to return during the weekend. Rain chances
may return during the late weekend timeframe.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 55 80 58 83 / 0 0 0 10
Houston (IAH) 59 80 62 83 / 0 0 10 20
Galveston (GLS) 68 78 71 83 / 0 0 20 30
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Luchs
LONG TERM....Cotto (24)
AVIATION...Luchs
MARINE...Cotto (24)
-
Stratton20
- Posts: 5354
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
Much colder pattern is pretty much a lock to head our way in about 10-11 days, youll need those winter coats folks!
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This weather is great for grilling, especially now as the sun starts to set. Just beautiful outside. Cherry on top is Sirius/XM is playing Gold Dust Woman on Classic Rewind. Good stuff.
Nice to see some cool weather for a change.
