June 2020

[Stormlover2020]

They will keep flopping

[jasons2k]

Is he an OCM in Houston?

He works for a private firm, specializing in aviation. At one time, I believe he worked with a few our of friends over at ImpactWeather (now StormGeo).

[tireman4]

Gotcha. Ok...understood

[Andrew]

All models have shifted into Western Louisiana or points east so that's good news for us locally. The main reason for the shift seems to be in the faster movement of the system and the weaker ridging over the Central US. We still need to keep an eye on things, but the trend is favorable.

[Cpv17]

Big heat ridge building into Texas next week per the latest CPC forecast.

[Rip76]

Big heat ridge building into Texas next week per the latest CPC forecast.

So depressing.

[Tx2005]

Big heat ridge building into Texas next week per the latest CPC forecast.

What does that mean? High temps? Impact on the storm's track?

[Cromagnum]

Well, there are two of them. One east and one west. Its a tug of war until one wins to decide direction of storm. Will be hot either waym

[Rip76]

I’m actually surprised at the lack of rain here the last two days.

[snowman65]

I'll take anything east of tx/la border.....further the better...

[djmike]

Ok. Who thinks it will be a more westward landfall? Is the High not gonna be strong enough now to eject it westwards? Or can we start breathing a SMALL sigh of relief? (Yes i know it will change and plenty of days of flip flopping) but as of right now, just curious what your professional opinions are. On the money? More westward? More eastward? TIA

[Cpv17]

Big heat ridge building into Texas next week per the latest CPC forecast.

What does that mean? High temps? Impact on the storm's track?

Very hot and dry weather. CPC seems to think the storm will be east of here and we’ll be on the hot/dry side of it.

[TexasBreeze]

Normally at this point like Andrew said yesterday, around this part of the area and where the storm is, expect more eastward shifts than westward. It is not very likely to see any big west shifts. The shear will probably lopside it with maybe center reforms more north east or east toward stronger convection. Still only Tuesday though...

[Cpv17]

Ok. Who thinks it will be a more westward landfall? Is the High not gonna be strong enough now to eject it westwards? Or can we start breathing a SMALL sigh of relief? (Yes i know it will change and plenty of days of flip flopping) but as of right now, just curious what your professional opinions are. On the money? More westward? More eastward? TIA

Not a pro, but my amateur opinion as of right now has a landfall anywhere between Cameron, LA to Gulfport, MS.

[don]

18z GFS shifted west as it has the ridge slightly stronger and therefore Cristobal rides the coast and moves more inland into the Golden Triangle region.Very small changes in the strength of the high/trough can make a big difference on where this ultimately ends up.

[jasons2k]

Big heat ridge building into Texas next week per the latest CPC forecast.

What does that mean? High temps? Impact on the storm's track?

Very hot and dry weather. CPC seems to think the storm will be east of here and we’ll be on the hot/dry side of it.

Based on what I've seen today, that would be my prediction at this point. But it is WAY too early to call it, and that's just me being pessimistic about the rain.

[cperk]

As a person who has tracked and observed a lot of these GOM tropical systems I think I t is risky 5 to 6 days out to predict any shift trends.

[mcheer23]

Ok. Who thinks it will be a more westward landfall? Is the High not gonna be strong enough now to eject it westwards? Or can we start breathing a SMALL sigh of relief? (Yes i know it will change and plenty of days of flip flopping) but as of right now, just curious what your professional opinions are. On the money? More westward? More eastward? TIA

Not a pro, but my amateur opinion as of right now has a landfall anywhere between Cameron, LA to Gulfport, MS.

Freeport to New Orleans

[Stormlover2020]

Ok. Who thinks it will be a more westward landfall? Is the High not gonna be strong enough now to eject it westwards? Or can we start breathing a SMALL sigh of relief? (Yes i know it will change and plenty of days of flip flopping) but as of right now, just curious what your professional opinions are. On the money? More westward? More eastward? TIA

Not a pro, but my amateur opinion as of right now has a landfall anywhere between Cameron, LA to Gulfport, MS.

This will not be a miss storm la to tx I’m still saying sw la

[sau27]

Maybe I’m wrong but it looks like the 12z euro just plows the storm through the bottom of the ridge which I don’t think is very likely.