October 2014: Slight Rain Chances/Halloween Outlook

[Texaspirate11]

Paul here is a link from our HGX NWS with all the details of our upcoming severe weather on Monday.
Seems those in the Northern Counties will more of the punch: just stay aware
But here is the information for you...hope it helps.

http://youtu.be/BWSnH70j_JM

[Paul Robison]

But they include Houston in their outlook, though. That means Houston to Winnie gets the punch too, Doesn't it?

[Paul Robison]

Paul here is a link from our HGX NWS with all the details of our upcoming severe weather on Monday.
Seems those in the Northern Counties will more of the punch: just stay aware
But here is the information for you...hope it helps.

http://youtu.be/BWSnH70j_JM

But they still include Houston in their outlook, though. That means Houston to Winnie gets the punch too, Doesn't it?

[Katdaddy]

Squall line organizing across NTX and approaching N portions of SE TX this morning. Tornado Watch until 11AM for N portions of SE TX with additional watches likely later this morning. Be aware of weather conditions today. Squall line will be moving across Houston metro between 10AM-1PM and across the coastal counties 1-4PM. By this evening gusty N winds and cooler temps will prevail with very nice Fall weather through the rest of week.

[srainhoutx]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
740 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

TXZ163-164-176-177-179-195>199-131345-
GRIMES TX-TRINITY TX-BURLESON TX-MADISON TX-POLK TX-HOUSTON TX-
WALKER TX-WASHINGTON TX-BRAZOS TX-MONTGOMERY TX-
740 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON...
HOUSTON...BRAZOS...NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY...MADISON...CENTRAL
WALKER...NORTHERN GRIMES...BURLESON...NORTHERN POLK...TRINITY AND
NORTHWESTERN SAN JACINTO COUNTIES UNTIL 845 AM CDT...

AT 740 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES NORTH OF KENNARD
TO NEAR ROCKDALE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COLLEGE STATION...BRYAN...NORTHWESTERN HUNTSVILLE...CROCKETT...
MADISONVILLE...CALDWELL...APPLE SPRINGS...AUSTONIO...TRINITY...
GRAPELAND...SOMERVILLE...GROVETON...LOVELADY...SNOOK...RIVERSIDE...
BEDIAS...KURTEN...KENNARD...LATEXO AND WIXON VALLEY.

[srainhoutx]

Morning Briefing from Jeff:

Tornado Watch in effect until 1100am for the northern 1/3rd of SE TX.

Strong to at times severe squall line extends from NE TX to north of Austin and is moving SE at 25-30mph. Discrete development ahead of the main line which required the issuance of the tornado watch earlier this morning has for the most part ended. Watching very fast moving small cells over Galveston Island and Galveston Bay well ahead of the main squall line and also showers over Waller County for any signs of deeper development and supercell structures given such a highly sheared air mass in place.

Skies are partly cloudy over SE TX currently and this will allow for a period of warming ahead of the main squall line which may help to erode the capping inversion in place and allow a few isolated storms to develop out ahead of the main line. These cells could have a tornado threat, but the best threat is located NE of SE TX. Convective outflow continues to outrun the leading edge of the squall line keeping most of the storms below severe limits thus far this morning. Heating of the air mass south of the line over the next few hours may result in intensification and an increase in the damaging wind threat as the morning progresses. Strong winds just above the surface will be transported toward the surface in the strong downdrafts and this is where wind damage may occur. Wind gust on the leading edge of the line will likely range from 45-55mph with severe gust upwards of 60-65mph possible especially north of I-10 where the strongest storms will track.

Timing of the squall line should be around College Station between 800-900am, Houston metro 1000am-noon, and to the coast between 100-300pm.

Strong cold front over NW TX tied to deep surface cyclone over OK will blast rapidly southward this afternoon and off the coast by early evening. Winds will increase out of the NW 25-30mph and remain elevated and gusty all night especially near the coast. Gust to 40mph will be possible especially over the warm Gulf waters. Temperatures will fall into the 60’s this evening and the 40’s and 50’s overnight and with the gusty winds it will feel significantly colder. Northerly flow continues on Tuesday with highs in the 70’s under sunny skies.

Fire Weather:
Afternoon RH on Tuesday will fall to below 25% over much of the area with NW winds of 10-20mph. Widespread wetting rainfall today should preclude a fire weather concern on Tuesday.

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
958 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHEASTERN WALLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL WALKER COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN GRIMES COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1030 AM CDT

* AT 958 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM
WAS LOCATED NEAR TODD MISSION...OR 14 MILES EAST OF NAVASOTA...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THE
DAMAGING WINDS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WESTERN CONROE...MONTGOMERY...TODD MISSION...LAKE CONROE DAM...
PLANTERSVILLE...DACUS AND DOBBIN.

[srainhoutx]

The actual cold front is lagging behind the main line showers and storms back in Central Texas. Storms may begin to organize over SE Texas and a new Severe Weather Watch mat be needed within the hour.

[srainhoutx]

Update from Jeff:

Strong squall line continues to advance across the NW parts of SE TX with discrete cells developing ahead of the main line. Thus far radar has not indicated any significant rotation within the cells developing ahead of the main line across Wharton, Fort Bend, Harris, and Polk Counties. Activity quickly developing over Wharton County appears to be rooted at the surface and this activity may go severe shortly as is transports down some of the strong low level jet energy right off the surface. These storms should mature as they move into Fort Bend and Harris County over the next hour with a wind threat.

Damaging winds to 65mph will be possible along the portion of the squall line over Grimes County into western Montgomery County where leading edge has bowed slightly. Surface observations across the warm sector indicate southerly winds of 25-35mph are mixing down to the surface while behind the squall line NW winds of 25-35mph are common. Temperatures across the squall line range from 84 at Pearland to 60 at Bryan or roughly about a 20 degree temperature fall.

Continued surface heating into the mid 80’s ahead of the line of storms will likely result in a gradual intensification of the activity over the next 1-2 hours with the main threat being wind damage along the leading edge of the squall line. Think the tornado threat from any discrete cells ahead of the main line will be over far SE TX into LA.

[BlueJay]

We are getting hit with the cold front storm. The winds have really started to gust, small limbs are hitting the ground, temperature is dropping and now it is pouring down rain.

[srainhoutx]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1049 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

TXZ178-179-199-200-213-214-131645-
HARRIS TX-SAN JACINTO TX-POLK TX-LIBERTY TX-CHAMBERS TX-
MONTGOMERY TX-
1049 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY...
NORTHERN HARRIS...LIBERTY...SOUTH CENTRAL POLK...NORTHWESTERN
CHAMBERS AND SOUTHERN SAN JACINTO COUNTIES UNTIL 1145 AM CDT...

AT 1048 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CONROE TO NEAR JERSEY
VILLAGE...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CONROE...HUMBLE...TOMBALL...WESTERN LIBERTY...CLEVELAND...JERSEY
VILLAGE...DAYTON...WILLIS...ALDINE...BARRETT...GREATER GREENSPOINT...
NORTHSIDE / NORTHLINE...KINGWOOD...SPRING...THE WOODLANDS...ADDICKS
PARK TEN...SPRING BRANCH NORTH...SPRING BRANCH WEST...CROSBY AND OAK
RIDGE NORTH.

[kayci]

Super strong winds just ripped the sign off our building here in Alvin.

[BlueJay]

We are down to 62 degrees. Our high today, so far, was 80.

[srainhoutx]

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 536
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1110 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

TXC071-291-140000-
/O.NEW.KHGX.TO.A.0536.141013T1610Z-141014T0000Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 536 IN
EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES

CHAMBERS LIBERTY

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ANAHUAC...CLEVELAND...DAYTON...
LIBERTY...MONT BELVIEU AND WINNIE.

[srainhoutx]

Code: Select all

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
     TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 536
     NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
     1110 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2014
     
     TORNADO WATCH 536 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR THE
      FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
     
     LAC001-003-009-011-019-023-039-053-055-079-097-099-113-115-
     140000-
     /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0536.141013T1610Z-141014T0000Z/
     
     LA 
     .    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
     
     ACADIA               ALLEN               AVOYELLES           
     BEAUREGARD           CALCASIEU           CAMERON             
     EVANGELINE           JEFFERSON DAVIS     LAFAYETTE           
     RAPIDES              ST. LANDRY          ST. MARTIN          
     VERMILION            VERNON              
     
     
     TXC071-199-241-245-291-351-361-457-140000-
     /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0536.141013T1610Z-141014T0000Z/
     
     TX 
     .    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
     
     CHAMBERS             HARDIN              JASPER              
     JEFFERSON            LIBERTY             NEWTON              
     ORANGE               TYLER               

[srainhoutx]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1126 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

TXZ200-213-214-227-236>238-131730-
BRAZORIA TX-GALVESTON TX-HARRIS TX-LIBERTY TX-HARRIS TX-CHAMBERS TX-
FORT BEND TX-MATAGORDA TX-
1126 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN MATAGORDA...
HARRIS...SOUTHWESTERN LIBERTY...SOUTHEASTERN FORT BEND...NORTHERN
BRAZORIA...NORTHWESTERN GALVESTON AND NORTHWESTERN CHAMBERS COUNTIES
UNTIL 1230 PM CDT...

AT 1125 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM KASHMERE GARDENS TO 9 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF NEEDVILLE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PASADENA...PEARLAND...LEAGUE CITY...SOUTHEASTERN SUGAR LAND...
BAYTOWN...MISSOURI CITY...TEXAS CITY...FRIENDSWOOD...LA PORTE...DEER
PARK...ALVIN...DICKINSON...STAFFORD...SOUTH HOUSTON...BELLAIRE...WEST
UNIVERSITY PLACE...SANTA FE...SEABROOK...GALENA PARK AND JACINTO
CITY.

[srainhoutx]

Gusty NW winds are blowing across Central Texas and the Hill Country and should be moving into SE Texas within the next hour or two. I've seen a report or two of wind gusts reaching near 50 mph just N of San Antonio as the storm system deepens across the Southern Plain.

[jasons2k]

I got a nice 1.49". Half of it all at once

[BlueJay]

We record 2.03 inches of rain fell this morning. Temp has climbed from chilly 62F to a cool 72F.

[srainhoutx]

A chilly 54F in NW Harris County this morning. Fall has arrived with flocks of Canadian Geese moving in and also seeing a lot of migratory ducks arriving across the Katy Prairie. Another sure sign that the season is changing. The humming birds have been active at my feeders and new arriving Red Tail Hawks are hunting for prey. Enjoy the pleasant weather this week!