Re: February: Pattern Change & Stormy Weather Returns
Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2014 10:02 am
I'm confused about today's weather, it wasn't supposed to be 45 until 8 PM tonight here in katy and its 44 now.
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February: Clear Skies & Moderating Temps To End The Month
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Re: February: Pattern Change & Stormy Weather Returns
Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2014 10:04 am
Sleet has transitioned to heavy snow in Bowie.
Re: February: Pattern Change & Stormy Weather Returns
Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2014 10:07 am
Freezing rain reported in Edwards County in Central Texas on elevated and metal surfaces.
Re: February: Pattern Change & Stormy Weather Returns
Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2014 10:07 am
TxJohn wrote:It won't be cold. As of now it looks like anything that falls will be quite light.
Hopefully it's all rain though. I don't want the city to shut down cuz of a trace of some very light stuff. Workers have already missed two days without pay.
TxJohn you shouldn't paint everyone with the same brush, not all workers missed two days without pay.
Re: February: Pattern Change & Stormy Weather Returns
Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2014 10:11 am
It is in the upper 30's in the NW parts of SE TX around College Station. Dropped much faster than it did with the last front!
Re: February: Pattern Change & Stormy Weather Returns
Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2014 10:12 am
I left to go the store about 8:15am today in shorts. Got home about 8:30am, walked outside a few minutes later and had to put pants on! Temp said it was still 60 outside, it sure did not feel 60! Computer weather says it is 65 outside. 
No way!
No way!Re: February: Active Weather Week/Tracking 3 Winter Storms
Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2014 10:20 am
Still warm and really muggy here 
64 degrees.
64 degrees.Re: February: Active Weather Week/Tracking 3 Winter Storms
Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2014 10:22 am
SusieinLP wrote:Still warm and really muggy here
Enjoy it while it lasts. Already down to 41F in NW Harris County and still falling.
Re: February: Active Weather Week/Tracking 3 Winter Storms
Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2014 10:45 am
.75 inches of sleet reported in Jacksboro (Jack County). Also FWD reports a light glazing of ice developing in the City of Denton (elevated surfaces).
Re: February: Active Weather Week/Tracking 3 Winter Storms
Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2014 10:51 am
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0054
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1009 AM CST SUN FEB 02 2014
AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN/S-CNTRL/CNTRL OK AND WRN NORTH TX
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW
VALID 021609Z - 021815Z
SUMMARY...SNOW WILL BE TAPERING OFF FROM NW TO SE INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON...THOUGH LOCALIZED SNOW RATES TO 1 INCH/HR MAY PERSIST IN
PARTS OF S-CNTRL OK AND WRN NORTH TX FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS.
DISCUSSION...COMPOSITE RADAR IMAGERY AND SFC OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE
TO INDICATE THE EROSION OF THE NWRN EDGE OF THE ONGOING SRN-PLAINS
PRECIPITATION SHIELD. THIS IS OCCURRING AS A MID-LEVEL DRY SLOT
PRECEDING AN UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE IMPULSE -- EMERGING OVER THE TX S
PLAINS PER MOISTURE-CHANNEL IMAGERY -- IS OVERTAKING THE LEADING
WARM CONVEYOR STRUCTURE. AS SUCH...SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO TAPER OFF
FROM NW TO SE THROUGH THE MORNING...ENDING AROUND 17Z IN THE
OKLAHOMA CITY TO FORT SILL CORRIDOR...AND AROUND 1730Z-1800Z IN
NORMAN. FARTHER SOUTH INTO S-CNTRL OK AND WRN NORTH TX...SNOWFALL
RATES TO 1 INCH/HOUR WILL LIKELY PERSIST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
MORNING BEFORE TAPERING OFF IN RESPONSE TO MID-LEVEL DRYING EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. ANY ONGOING SLEET ACROSS PARTS OF WRN NORTH TX
SHOULD CHANGE TO SNOW IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO AS DEEP ASCENT
PRECEDING THE TROUGH ADIABATICALLY COOLS THE ELEVATED WARM NOSE
SAMPLED BY THE 12Z FWD RAOB.
..COHEN.. 02/02/2014
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1009 AM CST SUN FEB 02 2014
AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN/S-CNTRL/CNTRL OK AND WRN NORTH TX
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW
VALID 021609Z - 021815Z
SUMMARY...SNOW WILL BE TAPERING OFF FROM NW TO SE INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON...THOUGH LOCALIZED SNOW RATES TO 1 INCH/HR MAY PERSIST IN
PARTS OF S-CNTRL OK AND WRN NORTH TX FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS.
DISCUSSION...COMPOSITE RADAR IMAGERY AND SFC OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE
TO INDICATE THE EROSION OF THE NWRN EDGE OF THE ONGOING SRN-PLAINS
PRECIPITATION SHIELD. THIS IS OCCURRING AS A MID-LEVEL DRY SLOT
PRECEDING AN UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE IMPULSE -- EMERGING OVER THE TX S
PLAINS PER MOISTURE-CHANNEL IMAGERY -- IS OVERTAKING THE LEADING
WARM CONVEYOR STRUCTURE. AS SUCH...SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO TAPER OFF
FROM NW TO SE THROUGH THE MORNING...ENDING AROUND 17Z IN THE
OKLAHOMA CITY TO FORT SILL CORRIDOR...AND AROUND 1730Z-1800Z IN
NORMAN. FARTHER SOUTH INTO S-CNTRL OK AND WRN NORTH TX...SNOWFALL
RATES TO 1 INCH/HOUR WILL LIKELY PERSIST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
MORNING BEFORE TAPERING OFF IN RESPONSE TO MID-LEVEL DRYING EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. ANY ONGOING SLEET ACROSS PARTS OF WRN NORTH TX
SHOULD CHANGE TO SNOW IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO AS DEEP ASCENT
PRECEDING THE TROUGH ADIABATICALLY COOLS THE ELEVATED WARM NOSE
SAMPLED BY THE 12Z FWD RAOB.
..COHEN.. 02/02/2014
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...
Re: February: Active Weather Week/Tracking 3 Winter Storms
Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2014 10:53 am
So much for that progged high temp in the low 40s in Austin today ... temps continue to fall. Now down to 37 with gusty north winds to 25 mph and light rain.
Re: February: Active Weather Week/Tracking 3 Winter Storms
Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2014 11:07 am
Temps quickly dropped from 70F to 59F with frontal passage in League City.
Re: February: Active Weather Week/Tracking 3 Winter Storms
Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2014 11:12 am
12Z GFS indicates cold rain (upper 30s to 40) Thursday or Friday but no winter weather for SE TX.
Re: February: Active Weather Week/Tracking 3 Winter Storms
Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2014 11:30 am
Rgiht wxman, thanks for saying what the GFS shows but the question is, what do YOU think will happen at the end of next week?
Looks to me that we will have a good arctic front come down over heavy snow packed ground off to our north. Temps will be trending downward as the week wears on IMO.
Looks to me that we will have a good arctic front come down over heavy snow packed ground off to our north. Temps will be trending downward as the week wears on IMO.
Re: February: Active Weather Week/Tracking 3 Winter Storms
Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2014 11:54 am
Hopefully the arctic air gets shunted east and southeast Texas gets an early Spring with temps approaching the 80's.
My guess, based upon over four decades of residing in southeast Texas, a cold rain will prevail.
It's the more likely scenario for southeast Texas.
My guess, based upon over four decades of residing in southeast Texas, a cold rain will prevail.
It's the more likely scenario for southeast Texas.
Re: February: Active Weather Week/Tracking 3 Winter Storms
Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2014 11:57 am
Gfs could be right!!!! I still think its underestimating the cold air.
Re: February: Active Weather Week/Tracking 3 Winter Storms
Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2014 12:13 pm
48 now in Stafford. What a change from yesterday!
Re: February: Active Weather Week/Tracking 3 Winter Storms
Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2014 12:40 pm
Ummm 41 here between Katy and Cypress! Was it forecast to be this cold today?
Re: February: Active Weather Week/Tracking 3 Winter Storms
Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2014 1:54 pm
Euro says no winter storm for SE TX. GFS says cold rain. Bummer. The trend is warmer n a bit drier.
IF we do get anything it won't be anything serious.
Maybe next time
IF we do get anything it won't be anything serious.
Maybe next time
Re: February: Active Weather Week/Tracking 3 Winter Storms
Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2014 2:20 pm
TxJohn is an "Ed" on steroids. Reverse Phsychology at its finest.