June 2021:

[unome]

72 hr fronts, currently https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/disp ... tsf072.gif

[Stormlover2020]

Yeah develops the cluster up north, I mean navy and nam have it developing the south cluster lol usually the euro abs gfs win it over those models but we need a dadgum center lol going to be interesting to see which one wins out

[Stratton20]

Regardless of what happens me( my family) and friends gotta drive through this as we start our vacation to Florida on Saturday

[jasons2k]

Surfside Beach

Thank you for those. That first pic is frame-worthy. Beautiful!

[don]

Good update on 92L from Levi Cowan. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uN8U6jJ6dLI

[Stratton20]

Looks like 92L is beginning to try to organize

[sau27]

Euro goes way east - central LA coast.

[Stratton20]

Sau27 yes but the models are still just guessing right now

[don]

You can see the new area of low pressure forming to the north and east of the current center closer to the convection. I suspect the NHC will sometime today update 92L with the new position of the broad low currently forming,which should allow models to converge on a solution within the next 48 hours.And also make the tropical models more useful as the tracks the tropical models have been showing for 92L have been based on the low currently moving inland into Mexico.Hence why they haven't "matched up" with the global models the last few days.

[Stratton20]

Don we will see about that

[davidiowx]

My opinion is this makes landfall just east of the TX/LA line as a heavily lopsided storm. And turns more NE and away from SETX as it moves inland. Gaining more confidence in my opinion with what’s been going on just off the Yucatán since yesterday afternoon.

[Stratton20]

Its going to be interesting driving through this system, definitely will share some pictures as I head off to florida this weekend

[jasons2k]

Just spent some time reviewing some satellite loops and surface observations. Still an open trough that’s a long way from closing off. My thoughts haven’t changed on this since Saturday - a sheared mess mostly into LA and to the east…

[Stratton20]

I hope this system is a progressive system, I would be really pissed off if my Florida Vacation gets ruined

[Rip76]

Lord it’s going to be hot.

[don]

Just spent some time reviewing some satellite loops and surface observations. Still an open trough that’s a long way from closing off. My thoughts haven’t changed on this since Saturday - a sheared mess mostly into LA and to the east…

Yep, Vermilion Bay is my guess at the moment.The good news is that the storm appears to be too weak to change the weather pattern.

[Cromagnum]

Windshield wiper models in full effect.

[Stratton20]

Even if this storm misses us to the east, we still will probably face more gulf threats down the road, specifically August and September are usually when Texas has the highest threat of a landfall, we will see

[DoctorMu]

Did models shift back east?

Yeah, the moisture is heading to FL right now as well.

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/s ... &length=24

[Stratton20]

NOOOOO not too florida! I dont want my vacation to be ruined hope a trough picks this system up quickly and accelerates it outta here