February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
randybpt
Posts: 114
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 11:20 am
Contact:

Next week we should have a couple light freezes. Looks like a dry northwesterly flow sets up next week. After that some models show a cross polar flow, still uncertain if this will come true even if it does climatology starting to be against us for true artic air this far south.
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 19611
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
Location: Maggie Valley, NC
Contact:

Looks like more interesting wintry weather may be ahead for TX later next week. AO, NOA, (severely negative) and a rather robust +PNA ridge is suggested by the OP as more strongly suggested via the ensembles. A very strong late winter Arctic front will pass through TX Sunday/Monday ushering some very chilly temps. There are strong suggestions that a cross Polar flow will become established later next week. The GFS has suggested a 1082mb Arctic High building which is extremely unusual. We shall see, but the ECMWF suggests a rather strong storm will dive into the region near Thursday/Friday next week with some very chilly air and more wintry precip for TX.

Image
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 19611
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
Location: Maggie Valley, NC
Contact:

Randy started this Topic first, so we will let this one cover the next "threat". ;)
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 19611
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
Location: Maggie Valley, NC
Contact:

12Z GFS at 60 Hours...notice the 1058mb High in the Upper right of the chart... :shock:

Image
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
User avatar
snowman65
Posts: 1191
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 6:39 am
Location: Orange, Tx
Contact:

[quote="srainhoutx"]12Z GFS at 60 Hours...notice the 1058mb High in the Upper right of the chart... :shock:


What does that mean for us WAY down here?
Last edited by snowman65 on Fri Feb 12, 2010 10:18 am, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 19611
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
Location: Maggie Valley, NC
Contact:

This is from a clipper type system digging very deep around the PV. We will need to see what the later runs show for a 'bigger' storm that has been progged around the 20th +/- a couple of days. Hopefully this will be the last big push of colder air this season, but I would not bet the farm on that just yet with what the ensembles are suggesting.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 19611
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
Location: Maggie Valley, NC
Contact:

Image
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 19611
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
Location: Maggie Valley, NC
Contact:

La La Land...
Image
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
TexasMetBlake
Pro Met
Pro Met
Posts: 839
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:03 pm
Location: Spring/Woodlands
Contact:

srainhoutx wrote:Looks like more interesting wintry weather may be ahead for TX later next week. AO, NOA, (severely negative) and a rather robust +PNA ridge is suggested by the OP as more strongly suggested via the ensembles. A very strong late winter Arctic front will pass through TX Sunday/Monday ushering some very chilly temps. There are strong suggestions that a cross Polar flow will become established later next week. The GFS has suggested a 1082mb Arctic High building which is extremely unusual. We shall see, but the ECMWF suggests a rather strong storm will dive into the region near Thursday/Friday next week with some very chilly air and more wintry precip for TX.

Image
Whoa...1082 mb???? That's like biblical. Are you referring to the block over Greenland and if so, what hour?
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 19611
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
Location: Maggie Valley, NC
Contact:

Yesterday 18Z NAM @ hour 66...time sensitive...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_066l.gif
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Post Reply
  • Information
  • Who is online

    Users browsing this forum: Semrush [Bot] and 60 guests