February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins

[don]

Im not sure if its reaching the ground yet,but freezing drizzle looks to be already developing on radar.

[jasons2k]

Im not sure if its reaching the ground yet,but freezing drizzle looks to be already developing on radar.

Yeah, I see it. Don't think it is yet. mPing reports are still blank, just one report in Corpus of drizzle.

[Scott747]

Well the warm air advection better start kicking in. Temp was 5 degrees below the projection today and I'm already at 32.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

0z HRRR brings heavy ice to MoCo and NW Harris.

THEN. .... snow Thursday morning thru lunch including Harris proper

Temps won’t warm much at all if that precip verifies

[TXWeatherMan]

0z HRRR brings heavy ice to MoCo and NW Harris.

THEN. .... snow Thursday morning thru lunch including Harris proper

Temps won’t warm much at all if that precip verifies

Yep, it looks more aggressive with moisture Thursday morning

[tsb2107]

0z HRRR brings heavy ice to MoCo and NW Harris.

THEN. .... snow Thursday morning thru lunch including Harris proper

Temps won’t warm much at all if that precip verifies

Can you post model?

[don]

Yep Ive noticed also models are coming in more potent with Thursdays system,maybe another decent round of snow?Good news is since this system is coming with the upper level trough the setup looks like it could be maybe an all snow event,as the 540 line is much further to the south.

[jasons2k]

Wouldn't it be funny, if, after all this, it was the Thursday system that finally gave us the convective banding of snow we all hoped for on Sunday night?

[don]

Wouldn't it be funny, if, after all this, it was the Thursday system that finally gave us the convective banding of snow we all hoped for on Sunday night?

LOL i was thinking the same thing.That it would be funny if the Thursday system gave us more snow than the storm on Sunday/Monday.

[megsy]

Wouldn't it be funny, if, after all this, it was the Thursday system that finally gave us the convective banding of snow we all hoped for on Sunday night?

LOL i was thinking the same thing.That it would be funny if the Thursday system gave us more snow than the storm on Sunday/Monday.

It would be totally bonkers.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Wouldn't it be funny, if, after all this, it was the Thursday system that finally gave us the convective banding of snow we all hoped for on Sunday night?

You took the words out of my mouth.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

0z HRRR brings heavy ice to MoCo and NW Harris.

THEN. .... snow Thursday morning thru lunch including Harris proper

Temps won’t warm much at all if that precip verifies

Can you post model?

[txsnowmaker]

Yep Ive noticed also models are coming in more potent with Thursdays system,maybe another decent round of snow?Good news is since this system is coming with the upper level trough the setup looks like it could be maybe an all snow event,as the 540 line is much further to the south.

How much snow is that showing for Harris County?

[Stormlover2020]

Dadgum nam runs shows a lot of ice

[jasons2k]

Razor close. A few miles there will make a difference.

[txsnowmaker]

Dadgum nam runs shows a lot of ice

For who?

[869MB]

The latest HRRR run highlights the uncertainty with respect to the rain/freezing rain line across the region with the W/NW half of Harris County receiving freezing rain while the E/SE half of the county receives rain. Unfortunately, all of the latest mesoscale models depict some type of freezing rain/sleet near or over the Metro area at this time.

hrrr_ref_frzn_scus_10.png

[vci_guy2003]

Wouldn't it be funny, if, after all this, it was the Thursday system that finally gave us the convective banding of snow we all hoped for on Sunday night?

I wouldn’t be surprised.

[jasons2k]

Temp here has risen just a tick. Like I said, it's gonna be close.

[jasons2k]

One of the few times I am grateful to be in a "donut" of activity...