February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Kingwood36
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So the only thing preventing us Southern folk to get snow is the forecasted warm 👃? Hopefully that will go away faster then what's being forecasted ..id be happy with 1"
txsnowmaker
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Looking to be ideal in SW Houston within a couple miles of I-10, with NWS calling for snow and only less than 0.1 inch of ice.

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.p ... CfTUmROLDt
Kingwood36
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txsnowmaker wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 7:43 am Looking to be ideal in SW Houston within a couple miles of I-10, with NWS calling for snow and only less than 0.1 inch of ice.

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.p ... CfTUmROLDt
Where are you at? What town
txsnowmaker
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Kingwood36 wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 7:45 am
txsnowmaker wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 7:43 am Looking to be ideal in SW Houston within a couple miles of I-10, with NWS calling for snow and only less than 0.1 inch of ice.

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.p ... CfTUmROLDt
Where are you at? What town
Briargrove in SW Houston.
Last edited by txsnowmaker on Sat Feb 13, 2021 7:52 am, edited 1 time in total.
txsnowmaker
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From the NWS statement this morning:

“Changes/tweaks made to the ongoing forecast include increasing snow amounts, especially n/nw of Highway 59 where fcst soundings show the warm nose eroding faster.”

The demarcation of along/N of 59 is what David Paul mentioned yesterday. Sounds like it may become a trend.

Also of note from Jeff’s note this morning:

“Latest global and short range models have increased the snowfall amounts across SE TX due to their showing of meso scale banding and higher intensity snowfall and sleetfall rates. Will bump up snow totals a bit and see if this trend continues.”
Last edited by txsnowmaker on Sat Feb 13, 2021 7:51 am, edited 1 time in total.
Kingwood36
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I spy a little freezing rain where it isn't suppose to be yet lol just west of west Columbia
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Kingwood36
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txsnowmaker wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 7:48 am From the NWS statement this morning:

“Changes/tweaks made to the ongoing forecast include increasing snow amounts, especially n/nw of Highway 59 where fcst soundings show the warm nose eroding faster.”

The demarcation of along/N of 59 is what David Paul mentioned yesterday. Sounds like it may become a trend.

Also of note from Jeff’s note this morning:

“Latest global and short range models have increased the snowfall amounts across SE TX due to their showing of meso scale banding and higher intensity snowfall and sleetfall rates. Will bump up snow totals a bit and see if this trend continues.”
Well hopefully that warm nose goes faster around here also
txsnowmaker
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Kingwood36 wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 7:52 am
txsnowmaker wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 7:48 am From the NWS statement this morning:

“Changes/tweaks made to the ongoing forecast include increasing snow amounts, especially n/nw of Highway 59 where fcst soundings show the warm nose eroding faster.”

The demarcation of along/N of 59 is what David Paul mentioned yesterday. Sounds like it may become a trend.

Also of note from Jeff’s note this morning:

“Latest global and short range models have increased the snowfall amounts across SE TX due to their showing of meso scale banding and higher intensity snowfall and sleetfall rates. Will bump up snow totals a bit and see if this trend continues.”
Well hopefully that warm nose goes faster around here also
I hope it does too for your area and everyone else’s for that matter.
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srainhoutx
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Another thing I want to mention is the possibility of "lake effect snow". I saw that in 83 and 89 off of the Trinity River/Upper Galveston Bay region and off of Clear Lake. Folks near Lake Conroe/Lake Livingston and Lake Houston might see some enhancement along the Southern and SE shore and down wind.
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Cromagnum
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Man, final prep is going to suck today. Had to work all week and was always dark by the time I got home. Gonna have to suck it up.
Kingwood36
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Well it's a step in the right direction I guess...20 mins ago there was no mention of ice or snow accumulation..

NOW... nws says..

New ice accumulation of around a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible."
Kingwood36
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I'm seeing pink on radar here in Angleton..we are not suppose to get anything frozen here today are we? Whatever it is I don't think it's making it to the ground yet
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Cromagnum
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NWS is saying Monday my area (Rosharon) will only reach a high of 22 but less than a half inch of sleet or snow. So, basically useless cold.
Kingwood36
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Cromagnum wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:26 am NWS is saying Monday my area (Rosharon) will only reach a high of 22 but less than a half inch of sleet or snow. So, basically useless cold.
I feel ya...I'd rather it be in the 70s if we are not getting anything here which is looking likely by what the nws is saying for us
Last edited by Kingwood36 on Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:29 am, edited 1 time in total.
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don
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12z ICON now shows moderate to heavy snow down to the 59 corridor.This is going to be a major storm, this is basically a MCS (mesoscale convection system) with wintry precipitation instead of just heavy rain.
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Last edited by don on Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:31 am, edited 1 time in total.
Kingwood36
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don wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:28 am 12z ICON now shows moderate to heavy snow down to the 59 corridor.
I'll believe it when I see it lol..will that push to the coast tho
kyzsl51
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I dont know about yall but I'm excited to be able to witness an event we may never see again for another five decades!
Ace
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I had not even thought about wrapping my hot water heater in the garage until someone mentioned that here which I really appreciate. Unfortunately every single insulation blanket in Houston is sold out. Amazon can’t get here till Tuesday. What would you guys do if you had a hot water heater in the garage and a brick house?

Cromagnum wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:22 am Man, final prep is going to suck today. Had to work all week and was always dark by the time I got home. Gonna have to suck it up.
Dls2010r
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If you don’t have a wool blanket I would use fiberglass bats unfaced(no paper on them). Look at some little hardware stores too.
Dls2010r
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Short term fix for a few days. There not flammable as long as you get the kind with no paper.
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