February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins

[jerryh421]

Icon shows a hell of a storm but nothing down by us...maybe I'm looking at it wrong

No snow on the Icon, but definitely ice with temps in the 20s.

[TexasBreeze]

Yep that is freezing rain written all over it, a bunch of it.

[don]

12z GFS and ICON remaining consistent on a major ice storm on Presidents day.

[TexasBreeze]

Consistent on the low teens and single digits temps too. Both models are incredible!

[srainhoutx]

The 12Z GFS continues to advertise near record breaking cold early Tuesday morning.

[jerryh421]

The GFS should score major points if this happens. Its been VERY persistent.

[Kingwood36]

Imagine the pain it would cause if the gfs didn't verify and busted

[Kingwood36]

Whata this is hear about another storm on thursday?

[TexasBreeze]

That Thursday system will need watched too. As a forecaster what do you do at this point in time seeing these lows and storms? Stay conservative and leave some wriggle room for adjustment? Maybe give some warning for prep work? Difficult to forecast such extremes!

[don]

The 12z CMC is also more aggressive with Mondays storm.

[Rip76]

The 12Z GFS continues to advertise near record breaking cold early Tuesday morning.

These are not wind chill numbers I take it.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

The 12Z GFS continues to advertise near record breaking cold early Tuesday morning.

These are not wind chill numbers I take it.

No, -10 to -20 wind chills

[djmike]

Whata this is hear about another storm on thursday?

I just saw that too! That came from nowhere! Oh my!

[jerryh421]

Whata this is hear about another storm on thursday?

I just saw that too! That came from nowhere! Oh my!

Two runs in a row now showing the second storm. Canadian has it too, but further north.

[txbear]

The temps we're seeing on the GFS/ICON/CMC are absolutely nuts. That's another level of cold that is usually reserved for our friends on the Caprock, and on up into the flyover states. Heck,even this type of freezer box and duration are something else for the Panhandle folks where the elevations are >3,000 ft.

Make double sure you've got those pipes wrapped, spigots covered, pool equipment running (don't forget your water features), and really consider the dripping faucets. You might also make sure you've got a sharp chain, oil, and fuel if you own a chainsaw.

[jasons2k]

I’m getting more and more concerned about power outages. Could be widespread power outages so get prepared.

[AtascocitaWX]

How good is the UKMET with winter weather?
12z shows snowfall for all out Texas.
4-6 inches in Houston

[sambucol]

Is there going to be wind with this system?

[txsnowmaker]

12z GFS shows several inches of snow over Houston, with the massive totals from the 6z adjusted north a bit. I’d gladly settle for a few inches!

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... _us_33.png

[don]

Remember those snow maps on tropical tidbits includes sleet,so not all of that would be snow.