February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Kingwood36
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sambucol wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 8:23 am Are we getting freezing temps this weekend into early next week?
Not looking good at this point
TexasBreeze
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Good I would prefer 70 and sunshine than miserable cold and rain anyways if it won't snow.
Kingwood36
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I just want some cold temps before hell sets in
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snowman65
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All that talk about arctic air and it wont even get below freezing now....crazy.
cperk
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The 6Z gfs stills calls for wintry weather for us so does the cmc.
Kingwood36
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Why is everyone putting so much stock in the euro tho..I thought the GFS and euro were the 2 best models but it seems like everyone lives and dies by what the euro says regardless of what the gfs says also
cperk
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At some point in the next few days either the euro or the gfs/cmc will have to cry uncle.
Cpv17
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Kingwood36 wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 8:52 am Why is everyone putting so much stock in the euro tho..I thought the GFS and euro were the 2 best models but it seems like everyone lives and dies by what the euro says regardless of what the gfs says also
Probably because it’s been consistent ever since 12z Friday. Me personally, I thought it would’ve already caved into the GFS by now.
Cpv17
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My goodness, the 12z ICON model is insane with the cold.
Kingwood36
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 10:11 am My goodness, the 12z ICON model is insane with the cold.
At this point I dont know what to believe anymore
Cpv17
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Kingwood36 wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 10:24 am
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 10:11 am My goodness, the 12z ICON model is insane with the cold.
At this point I dont know what to believe anymore
Same here man! I’m so conflicted right now.
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Ptarmigan
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The forecast models have different outcomes. Proof, forecasting cold blasts is very complicated.
TexasMetBlake
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Well, if you want cold weather, the 12z GFS will make you smile. Wow. Has snapped back to a very cold run. Major winter storm on Saturday with highs in the 20s heading into Sunday.
cperk
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KHOU BLake wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 10:37 am Wow, the 12z GFS is the coldest yet! Looks like the Canadian as far as temps go. Damn.
Blake who's gonna cry uncle first. :)
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don
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Yep the 12z GFS has a major winter storm now over southeast Texas instead of just freezing drizzle like it had yesterday. As the shortwave passes over the area this weekend.
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sambucol
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Have all the models except the EURO been consistent with cold air coming in all the way to the Texas Gulf Coast?
cperk
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sambucol wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 10:52 am Have all the models except the EURO been consistent with cold air coming in all the way to the Texas Gulf Coast?
The cmc,gfs,and the icon does.
Kingwood36
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Eh..I still won't believe it till Wednesday or Thursday
Kingwood36
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Cmc trended warmer with the euro...geez....lol see call me crazy but I think some way some how the euro will win out
Cpv17
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Kingwood36 wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 11:00 am Cmc trended warmer with the euro...geez....lol see call me crazy but I think some way some how the euro will win out
I’ve never been so confused in all my years of keeping up with the weather.
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