October 2020

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 3453
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

Re: October 2020

Post by Ptarmigan » Wed Oct 14, 2020 6:09 pm

I hope there is clear skies.

User avatar
snowman65
Posts: 839
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 6:39 am
Location: Orange, Tx
Contact:

Re: October 2020

Post by snowman65 » Thu Oct 15, 2020 7:16 am

Pas_Bon wrote:
Wed Oct 14, 2020 5:06 am
What a shock.....ugh......forecast has pulled away from those really cool temps this weekend and next week. It’s starting to feel like we will never get cold again. Lol
Not shocked at all...totally expected. It will be doing this all winter. You can blame:

1. La Nina
2. 2020
3. Nancy Pelosi
4. All of the above.

User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 2387
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 10:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Re: October 2020

Post by DoctorMu » Thu Oct 15, 2020 9:30 am

snowman65 wrote:
Thu Oct 15, 2020 7:16 am
Pas_Bon wrote:
Wed Oct 14, 2020 5:06 am
What a shock.....ugh......forecast has pulled away from those really cool temps this weekend and next week. It’s starting to feel like we will never get cold again. Lol
Not shocked at all...totally expected. It will be doing this all winter. You can blame:

1. La Nina
2. 2020
3. Nancy Pelosi
4. All of the above.
NOAA has given up the ghost.

The biggest change I've noticed (due to cc) over the past 30 years in Texas are warmer Falls, often more humid. Summers are about the same. Severe Season in the Spring is a tad earlier. Winters slightly more variable. Fall is the big difference.

User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 3172
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

Re: October 2020

Post by jasons2k » Thu Oct 15, 2020 12:11 pm

DoctorMu wrote:
Thu Oct 15, 2020 9:30 am
snowman65 wrote:
Thu Oct 15, 2020 7:16 am
Pas_Bon wrote:
Wed Oct 14, 2020 5:06 am
What a shock.....ugh......forecast has pulled away from those really cool temps this weekend and next week. It’s starting to feel like we will never get cold again. Lol
Not shocked at all...totally expected. It will be doing this all winter. You can blame:

1. La Nina
2. 2020
3. Nancy Pelosi
4. All of the above.
NOAA has given up the ghost.

The biggest change I've noticed (due to cc) over the past 30 years in Texas are warmer Falls, often more humid. Summers are about the same. Severe Season in the Spring is a tad earlier. Winters slightly more variable. Fall is the big difference.
A lot more capping in the spring, too. It’s almost like our Climate is becoming like India’s.

User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 2387
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 10:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Re: October 2020

Post by DoctorMu » Thu Oct 15, 2020 2:18 pm

jasons2k wrote:
Thu Oct 15, 2020 12:11 pm
DoctorMu wrote:
Thu Oct 15, 2020 9:30 am
snowman65 wrote:
Thu Oct 15, 2020 7:16 am


Not shocked at all...totally expected. It will be doing this all winter. You can blame:

1. La Nina
2. 2020
3. Nancy Pelosi
4. All of the above.
NOAA has given up the ghost.

The biggest change I've noticed (due to cc) over the past 30 years in Texas are warmer Falls, often more humid. Summers are about the same. Severe Season in the Spring is a tad earlier. Winters slightly more variable. Fall is the big difference.
A lot more capping in the spring, too. It’s almost like our Climate is becoming like India’s.

Definitely down toward Houston. Capping is common in the spring, but there seems to be more of it with the feast or famine patterns.

Texas weather and climate have historically been incredibly variable. Just moreso. Also, while the number of TCs on average per year is similar to 50 years ago with significant variation from year to year, the frequency of Cat 4s and above has been increasing over time.

User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 3453
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

Re: October 2020

Post by Ptarmigan » Thu Oct 15, 2020 10:04 pm

jasons2k wrote:
Thu Oct 15, 2020 12:11 pm
DoctorMu wrote:
Thu Oct 15, 2020 9:30 am
snowman65 wrote:
Thu Oct 15, 2020 7:16 am


Not shocked at all...totally expected. It will be doing this all winter. You can blame:

1. La Nina
2. 2020
3. Nancy Pelosi
4. All of the above.
NOAA has given up the ghost.

The biggest change I've noticed (due to cc) over the past 30 years in Texas are warmer Falls, often more humid. Summers are about the same. Severe Season in the Spring is a tad earlier. Winters slightly more variable. Fall is the big difference.
A lot more capping in the spring, too. It’s almost like our Climate is becoming like India’s.
Houston is at the same latitude as India. Delhi is at the same latitude as Houston. India have the Himalayas and Karakoram to the north, which Texas has no high mountain range.

CrashTestDummy
Posts: 174
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2016 2:44 pm
Location: Pearland, Texas
Contact:

Re: October 2020

Post by CrashTestDummy » Fri Oct 16, 2020 6:33 am

What a change a day makes! 60-deg. F outside with a BRISK north wind. Typidal southeast Texas north wind, one that cuts right through you. We recorded 1/4" of rain since midnight.
Gene Beaird,
Pearland, Texas

"You can learn a lot from a Dummy."

redneckweather
Posts: 838
Joined: Mon Feb 08, 2010 7:29 pm
Location: Montgomery, Texas
Contact:

Re: October 2020

Post by redneckweather » Fri Oct 16, 2020 6:57 am

Typical Southeast Texas fall weather. Nothing has changed over the past 30 years and no season is the same from year to year.

59 degrees near Laken Conroe and a serious cool northeast wind...I like it!

User avatar
cajun
Posts: 15
Joined: Tue Feb 23, 2010 12:09 pm
Location: Klein, TX / Lafayette, LA
Contact:

Re: October 2020

Post by cajun » Fri Oct 16, 2020 9:27 am

2.25" in the rain gauge overnight - where did THAT come from? Was expecting about an inch.

Kuykendahl at FM2920.

User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 3172
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

Re: October 2020

Post by jasons2k » Fri Oct 16, 2020 9:50 am

redneckweather wrote:
Fri Oct 16, 2020 6:57 am
Nothing has changed over the past 30 years and no season is the same from year to year.
I don't want to turn this thread into a debate over CC but a lot has changed over the last 30 years. There's not only a lot of anecdotal evidence, but the actual data and science proves a lot has changed.

For as "mild" as this summer seemed to a lot of us, the streak of overnight record warm minimums in Galveston was unprecedented. I could go on and on and on starting there & working backwards, but that's just one notable example from 2020 right here in SE Texas.

On another note - I was not expecting this much rain, or for it to still be 56 degrees at 10:30 this morning. Seems like both the front and the dynamics over-performed. I'll gladly take the rain - we needed it. Maybe the leaves will be hydrated enough now to turn first instead of dropping straight off.

Post Reply