September 2020:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Rip76
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I’m close to an inch here already.
Cpv17
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Picked up 1.35” here with that first band.
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jasons2k
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.19" here so far. Some new bands are starting to fill-in though.
Scott747
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Obs to the s of the center are barely over TS strength. Making another center fix now and a nw pass which should be representative of what brazoria and to the s will feel as the night progresses.
davidiowx
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Going to be an interesting night to say the least
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snowman65
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anyone care to comment on what we can expect in the golden triangle with the system through thursday? Maybe it's just me but I'm not seeing much rain on the current radar.
Cpv17
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The new forecast track takes the center of Beta about 10 to 15 miles west of me so I’m expecting some decent winds here.
cperk
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I picked up 1.6 inches today.
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Rip76
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 8:00 pm The new forecast track takes the center of Beta about 10 to 15 miles west of me so I’m expecting some decent winds here.
What’s the track now?
Kingwood36
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Scott747 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 7:49 pm Obs to the s of the center are barely over TS strength. Making another center fix now and a nw pass which should be representative of what brazoria and to the s will feel as the night progresses.
I'm in surfside so im kinda curious as well
Scott747
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Pressure is the same and might even be up a mb. Readings so far aren't very impressive to the NW and only about 40kt. Strongest side is still the ne which will start impacting se Texas later tonight and into the morning.
Scott747
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Nevermind about the NW pass. Ap solid set of 45 to 50kt readings just offshore of Sargent.
Scott747
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Pressure was actually down a mb to 994 and a little to the w. Not necessarily a sign that it's strengthening given the current satellite appearance.
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Rip76
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I’ll take this breeze and rain.
Cpv17
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Rip76 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 8:05 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 8:00 pm The new forecast track takes the center of Beta about 10 to 15 miles west of me so I’m expecting some decent winds here.
What’s the track now?
Palacios, to Edna, then to Garwood, then back towards Sugar Land.
Texashawk
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Looks like the radar is starting to light up a little bit now. Precursor to a busy night?
Cpv17
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Texashawk wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 8:40 pm Looks like the radar is starting to light up a little bit now. Precursor to a busy night?
I hope so. Need some exciting weather to happen here after a very boring past two months for me. Hoping for every bit of 5” from Beta here.
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jasons2k
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Here is a video from the local NWS office on the effects:
https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSHouston

This is the link for the local hurricane statements:
https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwa ... 0statement

Code: Select all

Tropical Storm Beta Local Statement Advisory Number 13
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX  AL222020
423 PM CDT Sun Sep 20 2020

This product covers Southeast Texas

**BETA MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE CENTRAL TEXAS COAST**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Fort Bend, Inland
      Brazoria, Inland Galveston, Inland Harris, Inland Jackson,
      Inland Matagorda, Southern Liberty, and Wharton
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Brazoria Islands, Chambers, Coastal Brazoria, Coastal
      Galveston, Coastal Harris, Coastal Jackson, Coastal Matagorda,
      Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula, and Matagorda Islands

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 120 miles south-southeast of Galveston TX or about 150
      miles east-southeast of Port O`Connor TX
    - 27.7N 94.0W
    - Storm Intensity 60 mph
    - Movement West-northwest or 295 degrees at 6 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Although attempting to better organize itself earlier this afternoon,
Tropical Storm Beta continues to battle dry air and wind shear as it
moves west-northwestward towards the middle texas coastline. The current
forecast intensity remains unchanged. Beta remains on track to make
landfall near Matagorda Bay late Monday, then take a turn to
the northeast Tuesday through Thursday. Arrival of tropical storm
force winds is most likely Monday morning, but could arrive as early
as this evening.

We continue to anticipate a prolonged heavy rainfall and coastal
flooding event from Beta with elevated tides already occuring bringing
coastal flooding. Coastal flooding will remain a threat through
midweek with the worst of the storm surge anticipated on Monday and
Tuesday. The first rainbands from Beta have started to move onshore
today, but the heaviest rain will not occur until Monday into
Tuesday. Generally 6 to 12 inches of rain is expected with locally
higher amounts of around 15 inches along the immediate coast.
The combination of storm surge and heavy rainfall along with high
tides will elevate the risk of dangerous flooding along the Barrier
Islands and inner coastal locations through mid-week.

Many local authorities have issued voluntary evacuation orders for
low-lying and flood-prone areas. If you are within an area where an
evacuation warning has been issued, please heed the advice of your
local officials. The storm surge and flash flooding impacts of Beta
will have the potential to be life-threatening.

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the Barrier Islands and coastal regions from
Matagorda Bay through Galveston Bay. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Elsewhere across Southeast Texas, little to no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across portions of Southeast Texas with the
highest rain totals expected along the coast. Potential
impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
      become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
      become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across across the Northern Brazos Valley and up
towards Houston County.

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
along the immediate coast, especially near the landfall location which
is expected to occur near Matagorda Bay. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Also, protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across most of Southeast Texas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help
keep roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

If evacuating, leave with a destination in mind and allow extra time
to get there. Take your emergency supplies kit. Gas up your vehicle
ahead of time.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles
can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide
poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly
ventilated area.

Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don`t drown!

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Houston/Galveston TX around , or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
Cromagnum
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Two nights in a row where it has all but disappeared.

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Rip76
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She may be dead Jim.

Let’s see what 8am brings
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