And looks like it’s heading east at hr 96 or possibly stationary
Edit: on the Euro model run, I failed to clarify that!
September 2020:
Yep 12z EURO looks similar to the HWRF showing the system going further inland before being pulled by the trough to the northeast as a remnant low. I think the dry air being pulled from the west is going to make the storm lopsided with most of the moisture north and east of the center. Similar to how the 12z HRWF looks.BTW Wxman57 just stated that some places could see 10+ inches of rain MAYBE.
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Ouch. 2” for my area through 78.
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Kinda surprised that there are no flood watches posted anywhere, even on the coastal counties for rainfall.
They may not make any track changes at 4, but maybe lower the forecast strength a bit and keep the watches/warnings the same. Just my guess opinion though.
They may not make any track changes at 4, but maybe lower the forecast strength a bit and keep the watches/warnings the same. Just my guess opinion though.
Houston to CLL are on the dirty side assuming landfall is from Corpus to Matagorda Bay. It's going to rain. A lot. Presumably not Harvey style, but...
Dry air will be wrapping on the southside, so there's going to be a GoM firehose set up with slow movement on the east side.
Dry air will be wrapping on the southside, so there's going to be a GoM firehose set up with slow movement on the east side.
Haha a GOM firehose
They will probably issue watches and inland warnings this afternoon i would think.TexasBreeze wrote: ↑Sat Sep 19, 2020 2:02 pm Kinda surprised that there are no flood watches posted anywhere, even on the coastal counties for rainfall.
They may not make any track changes at 4, but maybe lower the forecast strength a bit and keep the watches/warnings the same. Just my guess opinion though.
Euro tends to be more west biased on stronger systems. Weaker systems, not so much.