September 2020:
12z HWRF goes in around Houma at hr 93 as a moderate TS.
50/70 on the latest TWO. Quite an increase in 12 hrs...
12z Euro thru hr 72 is further n with a stretched out vorticity.
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12z Euro at hr 144 looks very similar to the Ukie. Weak TS moving roughly wnw/nw between La Pesca and Matamoros.
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So basicaly from la to Mexico should keep an eye put
Instead of making landfall, hr 168 on the Euro ends up moving n offshore se of Matamoros.
12z Euro moves slowly away from the lower Texas coast before quickly ejecting ne towards central la.
Euro at hour 240 takes 90L to central Louisiana yesterday it buried it in Mexico.
From what I’m gathering after the latest runs it looks like either Mexico or Louisiana.