August 2020:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
suprdav2
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Ace wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 9:08 pm
suprdav2 wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:30 pm Shot in the dark, but guessing folks west of 45 aren't going to see much. Need some rain out here in Cypress, but not Hurricane/TS stuff. NWS has a 60% chance of "showers" for Cypress Wednesday/Thursday morning.
Actually I’m right West of 45 & very near the red zone for winds. Every possible wobble or inch to the west matters a lot to me. I’m just a few streets away from that zone.
I'll have to agree. Watching the news at 6, they showed a very sharp gradient on the west side of the storm for the rain/wind. VERY much depends on how far west she ends up moving on who all will see what.

Mother nature at her finest!
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MontgomeryCoWx
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If the models hold, I’m headed to a brick structure on Big Lake (Hackberry side). About 25 miles SSW of Lake Charles
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jabcwb2
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Thank you to whatever is causing these beautiful breezes flowing through my yard in Tomball. Feels great! Oh, and thank you for making the wind chimes sing@!!!!! BEAUTIFUL!!!!!!!!
mcheer23
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 9:21 pm If the models hold, I’m headed to a brick structure on Big Lake (Hackberry side). About 25 miles SSW of Lake Charles
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AtascocitaWX
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Looks like Laura has slowed a bit and jogging west
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MontgomeryCoWx
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mcheer23 wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 9:43 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 9:21 pm If the models hold, I’m headed to a brick structure on Big Lake (Hackberry side). About 25 miles SSW of Lake Charles
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MontgomeryCoWx
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AtascocitaWX wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 9:45 pm Looks like Laura has slowed a bit and jogging west
Key will be “how long”... could be meaningful, could mean nothing.
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snowman65
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10pm nhc has shifted East to Lake Charles area.
Cpv17
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snowman65 wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 10:09 pm 10pm nhc has shifted East to Lake Charles area.
Doesn’t surprise me.
Kingwood36
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snowman65 wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 10:09 pm 10pm nhc has shifted East to Lake Charles area.
Ya....may get a little rain and a little guest of wind here but looks like we may get lucky here
bdog38
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outer bands are forming
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Stormlover2020
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snowman65 wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 10:09 pm 10pm nhc has shifted East to Lake Charles area.

No it didn’t lol
Cromagnum
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Stormlover2020 wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 10:18 pm
snowman65 wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 10:09 pm 10pm nhc has shifted East to Lake Charles area.

No it didn’t lol
Sure looks like it did to me. Wasn't a huge shift east but it was east.

Image
sau27
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This is what I was talking about with wobbles earlier. A poorly timed wobble right before landfall and our situation can change dramatically
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Stormlover2020
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La/tx landfall like we all thought it would be, give are take
redneckweather
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Cromagnum wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 10:22 pm
Stormlover2020 wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 10:18 pm
snowman65 wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 10:09 pm 10pm nhc has shifted East to Lake Charles area.

No it didn’t lol
Sure looks like it did to me. Wasn't a huge shift east but it was east.

Image
Same track, just narrowed down from East to West.
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redneckweather wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 10:44 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 10:22 pm
Stormlover2020 wrote: Tue Aug 25, 2020 10:18 pm


No it didn’t lol
Sure looks like it did to me. Wasn't a huge shift east but it was east.

Image
Same track, just narrowed down from East to West.
It was shifted to the east some. You can see it here:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2020/L ... _with_line
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jasons2k
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On another note, remember when Marco was forecast to come-in as a Hurricane and Wxman57 had a call of Freeport? Well Marco is approaching and may make landfall pretty close to Freeport after all.

On another note - I hope everyone is prepped and ready for whatever Laura may bring us. We've had some encouraging signs today for the Houston area but even if she makes landfall to our east, we may be right on the edge of the higher winds. It's going to be a close call.

Areas off to the east are about to get nailed. Anyone in low-lying areas from Bolivar to across Louisiana should get to higher ground. The surge is not something to mess with. I hope that tomorrow morning we have the landfall dialed-in, wherever it is, and it holds.
Cromagnum
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Was hoping for some rain but not even 2 Hurricanes is gonna bring any from sounds of it. Saw where most of Houston viewing area will get less tham 1 inch and areas to the west likely won't see any at all.

Small price to pay to dodge 100 mph wind though.
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DoctorMu
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0z GFS - about a 10-20 mile slight shift to the West on landfall.
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