August 2020:

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Waiting for them...

[Cpv17]

ensembles still pointing Galveston?

Ensembles are strong from Port O’Connor to High Island.

[mcheer23]

ensembles still pointing Galveston?

Ensembles are strong from Port O’Connor to High Island.

Basically where Crownweather has their cone....

[weatherguy425]

ensembles still pointing Galveston?

Ensembles are strong from Port O’Connor to High Island.

Basically where Crownweather has their cone....

12Z GEFS is out?

[tireman4]

People need to stop watching the NHC mid point track and watch ensembles.

We’ve seen time and time again where storms venture outside the cone or are at the extremes of them.

Why it's pretty obvious that the national hurricane center is disregarding those its seemed like

They aren’t disregarding. They extended warnings down the Texas coast....

I agree. Read again what Wxman 57 said. They are still trying to narrow this down. They did the prudent thing by extending the warnings and watches. This is an ever changing situation

[AtascocitaWX]

I saw on twitter , what some Met said the NHC has already informed local weather office in Houston that they will most likely shift cone west but was was waiting on Data from the planes. so local office just issued warnings to be proactive. Dont know how true that could be

[Scott747]

With the latest GFS run and there isn't a big shift with the hurricane models then I doubt they will budge on the track.

[vci_guy2003]

57 said the storm is small. Others have said it's bigger than average. What's the reality?

[MontgomeryCoWx]

WRF hits HGX head on

[Waded]

57 said the storm is small. Others have said it's bigger than average. What's the reality?

Hey didn't say it was small, he said would be smaller than Rita and Ike, two very large hurricanes.

[mcheer23]

WRF hits HGX head on

Where did you find the WRF?

[tireman4]

I saw on twitter , what some Met said the NHC has already informed local weather office in Houston that they will most likely shift cone west but was was waiting on Data from the planes. so local office just issued warnings to be proactive. Dont know how true that could be

Wxman 57 intimated as such in what he said. He stated he was waiting on the G-IV plane ( high altitude) for extra data before they make their call more east or west.

[mcheer23]

UKMET west shift...

[Waded]

WRF hits HGX head on

Where did you find the WRF?

Some said as such on the model thread on S2K. No graphics were posted.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

WRF hits HGX head on

Where did you find the WRF?

Tropical tidbits

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Damnit, that’s 0z... it’s lurking off the coast south of Galveston at 48 hours.

[Waded]

The WRF.

[weatherguy425]

UKMET west shift...

GFS was just the start of the envelope... looking forward to having the entire package + ensembles out. I have to remind myself that we’re only talking 30-40 miles here, or so. Average error at this point? 80 miles, I believe.

[Cromagnum]

I'm not messing around. Just bought me a 6000 watt generator. On prowl now for portable AC

[tireman4]

I'm not messing around. Just bought me a 6000 watt generator. On prowl now for portable AC

My goodness. You are ready for anything Mr. Cromagnum