July 2020

[DoctorMu]

Thar she blows!

https://www.weathernerds.org/satellite/ ... nitsst=Off

[don]

Its invest 90L now fwiw.

[DoctorMu]

[DoctorMu]

Lightning is really picking up offshore.

[Rip76]

Lightning is really picking up offshore.

Where are you seeing this?

[Scott747]

Each run the euro gets a little more aggressive with the feature that will be approaching the Texas coast late this week.

Ensembles are still lukewarm but may change with the latest 12z run.

[DoctorMu]

Lightning is really picking up offshore.

Where are you seeing this?

GOES 16 IR.

It's slacked off a bit now:

https://www.weathernerds.org/satellite/ ... nitsst=Off

[Cromagnum]

I'm confused. Is this the one that is at our doorstep or the one out in the Bahamas? That starting position is way south of where it looks to be right now.

[don]

Its the one at our doorstep, doesn't look like its going to develop though. Btw a decent amount of the 12z Euro ensembles now show development of the Bahamas system fwiw.

[Stormlover2020]

I say we get depression for sure

[Cpv17]

This first wave looks pretty weak. Doesn’t even look like most of us will get any rain out of it.

[Kingwood36]

Ya this first wave was looking good then all of a sudden...poof!

[Cromagnum]

Yeah. Not looking too impressive right now

[djmike]

These type storms usually die down in evenings then explode overnight. Much like Allison, Humberto, Harvey and Imelda.

[DoctorMu]

These type storms usually die down in evenings then explode overnight. Much like Allison, Humberto, Harvey and Imelda.

Exactly.

Having said that - It's looking very Lucy and the Football for the Brazos Valley. I expect this scattered line of showers to DIE about 5 miles from my backyard.

[Cpv17]

These type storms usually die down in evenings then explode overnight. Much like Allison, Humberto, Harvey and Imelda.

Yeah. It’s called diurnal minimum and diurnal maximum.

[DoctorMu]

It actually feels a little tropical out there. a bit of a breeze, haze clearing, those unique cloud formations, lower temperature. I like it (compared with the usual Big Suck).

[Cpv17]

NHC has increased the Bahamas system up to 30% chance for development with their latest 8pm update.

[Kingwood36]

Collin Myers maybe the worst TV met in the Houston area...the guy wobbles back and fourth to much

[txbear]

How we feeling about the overnight hours with this little wave? As it’s been pointed out, most of the activity has died out for the evening. HRRR looks like it wants to bring in another round tomorrow morning (if I remember the Zulu time correctly).

Seems like the dry air/cap has been roughly between the beltway and 99, which hopefully will resolve as the wave pushes further west, perhaps?