Hurricane season 2020 opinions

[sambucol]

Opinion of this coming hurricane season? Active or not so? Opinions on most likely parts of the Gulf Coast as target areas?

[Pas_Bon]

Very active, IMO. Neutral ENSO likely (if not teetering on La Niña conditions.....SST’s through the roof)
Regarding targets....impossible to peg down at this point.

[mcheer23]

NOAA has released their Hurricane Forecast.

13-19 Named Storms
6-10 Hurricanes
3-6 Major Hurricanes.

Above Average season.

[jasons2k]

I’ve been meaning to post an email from a local met, Nathan Moore, but it had images and I don’t know how to include them
with our size restrictions. But the bottom line was a very busy season, potentially a hyperactive season, and 2005 was one of his analogue years. And the entire Texas coast was in his “red” zone.

[cperk]

The 00z GFS has a 994mb tropical storm off the Louisiana coast at hour 384 6/9.

[cperk]

The 12z EC has a tropical system in the BOC at hour 240.

[cperk]

The 12z EC has a tropical system in the BOC at hour 240 coming-up from the eastern pacific.

[Pas_Bon]

The 12z EC has a tropical system in the BOC at hour 240.

Multiple models now are picking up on “something.”
Exact location and strength matters not....fact is that the Gulf/BOC/NW Caribbean bears watching over the next couple weeks.

[Scott747]

These late May GFS runs keep getting better and better every year.

12z is a doozy.

[Cpv17]

12z Euro has a low trying to form in the BOC at the end of the run around day 9 or 10.

[Cpv17]

Many ensemble members of the Euro are showing formation in the BOC, same members are pretty strong.

[srainhoutx]

The models are suggesting a robust Central America Monsoonal Gyre develops early next week with multiple low centers rotating within the gyre in the EPAC, Western/NW Caribbean and the Bay of Campeche. The various computer schemes will struggle to identify which of those low centers could become more dominate. Typically these monsoonal gyre systems are loose, sloppy and big rain makers.

As of today it's worth monitoring and as Hurricane Season 2020 begins officially June 1st, all eyes turn toward the Gulf and the Tropics.

[Pas_Bon]

My opinion on hurricane season is that we will have a hurricane season this year. I don’t see it being cancelled or delayed by COVID-19

[Scott747]

This is becoming slightly more interesting. Euro, Canadian and GFS are in reasonable agreement even if it's in the long range.

It's also sped up the potential for development instead of being in total fantasy land.

Need a few more runs but something to keep an eye on.

[Pas_Bon]

Has anyone seen the satellite loop from the BOC this morning?

[Scott747]

The ensembles for both the GFS and Euro are fairly active for something in the Western Gulf next weekend.

[snowman65]

a ways out but got us in the bullseye...again....already....can't wait to move.

[srainhoutx]

Phil Klotzbach and his CSU team increase their 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Outlook this morning to 19 named storms, 9 Hurricanes and 4 Major Hurricanes. These numbers include the first 3 named storms that have already occurred.

[unome]

Phil Klotzbach and his CSU team increase their 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Outlook this morning to 19 named storms, 9 Hurricanes and 4 Major Hurricanes. These numbers include the first 3 named storms that have already occurred.

what was it before, I don't remember ? How much of an increase ?

[srainhoutx]

Phil Klotzbach and his CSU team increase their 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Outlook this morning to 19 named storms, 9 Hurricanes and 4 Major Hurricanes. These numbers include the first 3 named storms that have already occurred.

what was it before, I don't remember ? How much of an increase ?

Their previous forecast was 16 named storms, 8 Hurricanes and 4 Major Hurricanes.