Temperature and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19

[Ptarmigan]

Temperature and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm ... id=3550308

COVID-19 is mostly striking areas between 30 to 50 degrees latitude, like Wuhan, Daegu, Northern Iran, Northern Italy, Seattle, and New York City.

[jasons2k]

Thank you for posting this. I have been looking for an analysis like this.

[Ptarmigan]

Thank you for posting this. I have been looking for an analysis like this.

Your welcome Jason. COVID-19 is on everyone's mind. I will be keeping an eye on COVID-19 and weather related articles.

[Ptarmigan]

Deep dive: Coronavirus vs. population and temperatures
https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather- ... res/701036

Interesting article. Some highly populated areas are affected by COVID-19 like China, South Korea, Japan, Iran, Italy, Spain, and France. Same goes with Seattle, New York City, and Boston. India on the other hand has not seen many cases.

There are other factors that come to play.

[Ptarmigan]

Why do dozens of diseases wax and wane with the seasons—and will COVID-19?
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/03 ... l-covid-19

Long, but interesting read. SARS was contained due to intensive containment efforts. MERS jumps from camel to humans. Coronaviruses often cause colds, which occur in the winter. Coronavirus colds rarely occur in the summer. It is unknown if COVID-19 will be like other coronaviruses. There have been transmission in Singapore, but not widespread like in Wuhan, Daegu, Milan, Tehran, Madrid, London, Seattle, and New York City.

[unome]

thank you 4 this, Ptarmigan

ps - I also "heart" Josh https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1239657819541929984

[Ptarmigan]

Increased UV exposure may limit spread of new coronavirus
https://www.accuweather.com/en/health-w ... rus/703393

Spring and Summer is coming. It could curb the spread of COVID-19.

[Ptarmigan]

thank you 4 this, Ptarmigan

ps - I also "heart" Josh https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1239657819541929984

Your welcome Unome. Thank you for the Twitter link.

[Ptarmigan]

New study says 'high temperature and high relative humidity significantly reduce' spread of COVID-19
https://www.accuweather.com/en/health-w ... -19/703418

Heat and humidity could reduce the spread of COVID-19.

[Ptarmigan]

Increased UV exposure may limit spread of new coronavirus
https://www.accuweather.com/en/health-w ... rus/703393

As we approach summer, there is more ultraviolet radiation from the Sun. It could reduce the spread of COVID-19.

[Ptarmigan]

Coronavirus COVID-19 Global Cases by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University (JHU)
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps ... 7b48e9ecf6

Coronavirus Dashboard
https://ncov2019.live/data

Worldometer-Coronavirus Cases, Includes New Cases
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

1Point3Acres-COVID-19 In US And Canada
https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/en

[unome]

these may be of help to someone?

https://www.projectn95.com/

https://www.usdigitalresponse.org/

share their info if you know of someone who could benefit from their assistance

[Ptarmigan]

these may be of help to someone?

https://www.projectn95.com/

https://www.usdigitalresponse.org/

share their info if you know of someone who could benefit from their assistance

Thank you Unome.

[Ptarmigan]

Will Coronavirus Pandemic Diminish by Summer?
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm ... id=3556998

COVID-19 has been spreading mostly in cooler areas like Wuhan, Milan, Tehran, London, Madrid, and New York City.

[DoctorMu]

Temperature and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm ... id=3550308

COVID-19 is mostly striking areas between 30 to 50 degrees latitude, like Wuhan, Daegu, Northern Iran, Northern Italy, Seattle, and New York City.

That's where most people live.

[DoctorMu]

Deep dive: Coronavirus vs. population and temperatures
https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather- ... res/701036

Interesting article. Some highly populated areas are affected by COVID-19 like China, South Korea, Japan, Iran, Italy, Spain, and France. Same goes with Seattle, New York City, and Boston. India on the other hand has not seen many cases.

There are other factors that come to play.

The SARS-CoV 2 virus that causes COVID-19 has an outer cell membrane or lipid bilayer with embedded proteins surround the RNA core. Anything that

1. dissolves the membrane

or

2. oxidized the membrane bilayer will inactivate the virus

Soap, alcohol, ammonia products, hydrogen peroxide, bleach, UV rays, heat

The incidence right now is lower in the Southern Hemisphere and across the equator. Will that last? Coronaviruses, unlike flu are technically not seasonal...but they do mutate and can "burn out." The human immune system and genome attempts to mutat the virus - which now has a deletion mutation.

We need more data to see if COVID-19 will swell during the Southern Hemisphere winter, whether it's surpressed here beginning in May, and whether there's a boomerang effect in October. More questions than answers still!

[DoctorMu]

Increased UV exposure may limit spread of new coronavirus
https://www.accuweather.com/en/health-w ... rus/703393

Spring and Summer is coming. It could curb the spread of COVID-19.

Right - get outside in your yard, but not near people yet!

UV light is a great viral disinfectant.

[Ptarmigan]

COVID-19 Projections
https://covid19.healthdata.org

The peak for America is forecasted in mid-April. Texas see its peak in early May.

Forecast model is subject to change.

[BlueJay]

This is very grim.

[unome]

it is also affecting the amount of observations available to weather models

https://twitter.com/ECMWF/status/1245729628473483265

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a severe impact on the amount of aircraft observations available to weather prediction models. Daily totals over Europe have decreased by around 80% (from around 50 000 per day down to 10 000) since flight restrictions came into force. @WMO