December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
kyzsl51
Posts: 44
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:10 pm
Contact:

No but weve must recently had many of our ice storms that month! So February can be very cold. From what what I remember especially in 2011 and 2014.
Cpv17
Posts: 5234
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

kyzsl51 wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 10:52 pm No but weve must recently had many of our ice storms that month! So February can be very cold. From what what I remember especially in 2011 and 2014.
Here in Wharton County we really didn’t have much ice from those events. The precipitation was so light here it barely even amounted to anything, but however, it was definitely very cold.
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2356
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:

Last real bad, region wide ice storm was February 2011. 2014 had a good one I-10 north but the South side was just rain.
Team #NeverSummer
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2356
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:

Picked up 1.32 inches of rain in Magnolia.
Team #NeverSummer
User avatar
Rip76
Posts: 1787
Joined: Mon Feb 15, 2010 12:38 am
Location: The Woodlands
Contact:

I figured it out. :)
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5648
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Real uncertainty in the models for cold and winter weather ahead. Euro, GFS, Canadian all have divergent solutions.


Seasonable temps over the next couple of days. The sun is out, so enjoy the great weather.
Last edited by DoctorMu on Sun Dec 29, 2019 2:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5648
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Cpv17 wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:35 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 8:25 pm
jasons2k wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 4:51 pm

The meteorological winter is Dec-Jan-Feb. We are almost 1/3 of the way through it. The annual minimums for IAH bottom out from January 3rd - January 24th (mean is 43F - 63F).

We will begin those lowest averages in a week from now. Average temps begin to warm again on January 25th.
I’m aware and your post doesn’t address my sentiments. I’m addition, our most active winter weather timeframe (actual events) is from late January through the 3rd week of February.
I’ve lived here over 30 years and all 3 accumulating snow events for me happened in December. I’ve had zero luck those other months.
Feb 1994? - ice

Jan 1996? - snow/ice

Dec 2004 (toward Houston) major snow

Jan 2007 - ice

Dec 2008 - snow

Mar 2008 - snow

Feb 2010 - snow

Jan 2014 - sleet/mix

Dec 2017 snow

Jan 2018 snow

Nov 2018 snow


Nov = 1
Dec = 3
Jan = 5
Feb = 2
Mar = 1

About what I'd expect. The Nov and March flukes were pretty cool.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5648
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

I will saw the frequency of winter events in 30 years in this area of Texas is a LOT higher over the last 15 years than the previous 15. :)
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5360
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

DoctorMu wrote: Sun Dec 29, 2019 2:46 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:35 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 8:25 pm

I’m aware and your post doesn’t address my sentiments. I’m addition, our most active winter weather timeframe (actual events) is from late January through the 3rd week of February.
I’ve lived here over 30 years and all 3 accumulating snow events for me happened in December. I’ve had zero luck those other months.
Feb 1994? - ice

Jan 1996? - snow/ice

Dec 2004 (toward Houston) major snow

Jan 2007 - ice

Dec 2008 - snow

Mar 2008 - snow

Feb 2010 - snow

Jan 2014 - sleet/mix

Dec 2017 snow

Jan 2018 snow

Nov 2018 snow


Nov = 1
Dec = 3
Jan = 5
Feb = 2
Mar = 1

About what I'd expect. The Nov and March flukes were pretty cool.
Almost a perfect bell curve, peaking in January, just like our coldest temps.
BlueJay
Posts: 938
Joined: Tue Mar 04, 2014 10:47 am
Location: Alden Bridge-The Woodlands, Texas
Contact:

Another beautiful day to end 2019.

I hope everyone has a fulfilling and safe New Year's Eve!

On to 2020...
User avatar
Texaspirate11
Posts: 1278
Joined: Tue Dec 31, 2013 12:24 am
Contact:

HAPPY 2020
I'm praying for a no hurricane year!
Just because you're disabled, you don't have to be a victim
Be Weather Aware & Prepared!
Barbara Jordan Winner in Media
Disability Integration Consultant
User avatar
snowman65
Posts: 1191
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 6:39 am
Location: Orange, Tx
Contact:

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Tue Dec 17, 2019 1:15 pm
snowman65 wrote: Tue Dec 17, 2019 11:10 am For all the Game of Thrones fans...WINTER IS (not) COMING.... :lol: :lol:
Actually, it is if you look at our source region the next couple of weeks coupled with the progression in the Pacific.

My target for a big blast is the 3rd-7th timeframe. Bookmark this and make fun of me or say thank you then ;)
I'm not one to make fun of anyone but...I did as you asked and bookmarked it...is it too soon to make fun of you? :lol: Now, I'm sticking to my gut and saying there will be no more winter weather for the remainder of the season. Nobody wants to believe me....but at some point you will say "Looks like he was right, afterall". Either way, it's all good :D.
Post Reply
  • Information
  • Who is online

    Users browsing this forum: Ahrefs [Bot], Semrush [Bot] and 59 guests