December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
harp
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Ptarmigan wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 7:18 pm
harp wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 5:30 pm Umm, you boys in Texas need to take a look at the 18Z GFS.....
What hour? GFS goes up to 384 hours.
Starting around hour 258.
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Ptarmigan
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harp wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 7:27 pm
Ptarmigan wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 7:18 pm
harp wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 5:30 pm Umm, you boys in Texas need to take a look at the 18Z GFS.....
What hour? GFS goes up to 384 hours.
Starting around hour 258.
Thank you Harp. I just looked and there is a cold blast. Too early to tell and can change. Nice to see though. 8-) ;)
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Belmer
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harp wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 5:30 pm Umm, you boys in Texas need to take a look at the 18Z GFS.....
Over 48 hours of ice/sleet in Oklahoma and nearing 3 inches of ice in north Texas, including Dallas? Ha! Let's absolutely hope that doesn't verify.
850mb temps barley go below freezing past OK/TX border. No frozen precipitation down here, would be just a cold rain.

Amusing to look at, but don't count on it. An event like that would absolutely cripple OK and northern TX for weeks and would not be a fun Christmas for those folks.
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harp
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The 0Z completely loses it it. Not a trace! LOL!!!
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Katdaddy
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More beautiful weather across SE TX with slightly warmer highs after a chilly start this morning with temps mostly in the 30s and low 40s except 51F on Galveston Island.
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srainhoutx
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I see the possibility of a volatile weather pattern shaping up next week across the Region. The ensemble guidance suggests a deep mid latitude trough across the Plains and several disturbances as well as cold fronts arrive every couple of days. While nothing extremely cold jumps out in the medium/longer range, my hunch is the Western Pacific Typhoon and a wobbly Stratospheric Polar Vortex may shake up the upper air pattern across the Northern Hemisphere.
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Cpv17
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Best looking run of the Euro I’ve seen in quite some time for SETX.
harp
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Cpv17 wrote: Wed Dec 04, 2019 2:10 pm Best looking run of the Euro I’ve seen in quite some time for SETX.
Can you post?
Cpv17
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harp wrote: Wed Dec 04, 2019 2:21 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Wed Dec 04, 2019 2:10 pm Best looking run of the Euro I’ve seen in quite some time for SETX.
Can you post?
Well it doesn’t really have any major cold, but it has a good rain event for us next Wednesday. About 1-3”
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snowman65
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Well the latest GFS is VERY interesting starting around mid December....yikes....
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