October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
User avatar
snowman65
Posts: 1191
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 6:39 am
Location: Orange, Tx
Contact:

it's official...I literally hate living in this area now. you can't even make plans anymore. With the permanent climate change we are in the midst of and knowing it's only going to get worse in the coming years will Mae it unbearable. can't wait to move away....far away....ughhh
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5360
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

I received 1.33” at my place. We are in a good pattern now, getting some needed rainfall about once a week. It looks like a beautiful weekend ahead - enjoy!
Cpv17
Posts: 5234
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

snowman65 wrote: Fri Oct 25, 2019 11:47 am it's official...I literally hate living in this area now. you can't even make plans anymore. With the permanent climate change we are in the midst of and knowing it's only going to get worse in the coming years will Mae it unbearable. can't wait to move away....far away....ughhh
Well sir you do live in the Golden Triangle correct? You are aware that’s the wettest region in Texas? It’s close to Louisiana so that makes sense.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5648
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

1.11 in at Easterwood last night. Have not had a chance to look at the home rain gauge yet. But there was a LOT of rain after 11 pm.

Enjoying the brisk weather. Chamber of Commerce weather Saturday through Monday.

Latest GFS and Ensemble models have near frosty conditions Halloween night (mid 30s). Our last frosty (≤32°F) night on Halloween was in 1993, when we sunk to a record 30°F.
User avatar
djmike
Posts: 1702
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 12:19 pm
Location: BEAUMONT, TX
Contact:

Over 3” today. 3” on Monday. Over 6” in one week. Im ready for the beautiful sunny gorgeous cool days!
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5360
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

That wind was chilly today. My extremities are still thawing-out. I’m looking forward to some sun and a less windy weekend.
User avatar
snowman65
Posts: 1191
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 6:39 am
Location: Orange, Tx
Contact:

this will be a TS before landfall....crazy.....living in a different world now.
Cromagnum
Posts: 2592
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:42 pm
Contact:

snowman65 wrote: Fri Oct 25, 2019 11:47 am it's official...I literally hate living in this area now. you can't even make plans anymore. With the permanent climate change we are in the midst of and knowing it's only going to get worse in the coming years will Mae it unbearable. can't wait to move away....far away....ughhh
Meh, there is no "permanent climate change". SE Texas weather always has and always will suck.
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 19611
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
Location: Maggie Valley, NC
Contact:

Clouds should clear out by the afternoon and temperatures rebound ahead of the next weather maker for Region which arrives late Tuesday. A cold front looks to stall somewhere over the Southern half of Texas Tuesday as a very powerful Winter Storm wraps up over the Southern Rockies/Southern/Central Plains mid week sending the strongest cold front of the Fall Season across Texas.

A series of disturbances look to keep an active weather week ahead as periods of snow, some of it heavy at times impacts the Rockies into the Northern/Central Plains. Early next week a very deep upper trough drops out of Canada into the Intermountian West and the Plains where we will see a cold core closed off upper low organize and a deepening surface low develop along the leeside of the Southern Rockies. This storm system looks like it will lay down a blanket of snow over the course of 2 to 3 days insolating the ground. That snow cover may have some significant impacts on our temperatures for Thursday and Friday around SE Texas. The GFS and the ECMWF are in agreement regarding the upper low with this next storm system, but the GFS is about 12 hours faster with the arrival of the modified Canadian Cold front. Rainfall amounts do not look that heavy at this time, but caution is advised beyond 3 days regarding our sensible weather forecast. Halloween looks chilly and possibly breezy, depending on the arrival of that strong cold front. For our gardeners, we may flirt with our first frost of the season next Friday morning away from the Urban areas, if the clouds clear out and the wind drops to calm.

To all that commented on my upcoming move, I appreciate all the kind words. My partner headed East yesterday pulling a 20ft Toy Hauler filled to the gills with furniture/boxes. It was a tough driving day on I-10 with the rain, heavy at times and Olga moisture streaming along the cold front. Our mover dropped by for the final survey and measurements of furniture in our Houston home prior to their arrival. Time is truly short here in SE Texas now. Likely a couple of weeks at most. Closing dates should be finalized this coming week. Perhaps someone will do us the honor of starting a November Topic. Time Marches On!
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
User avatar
Texaspirate11
Posts: 1278
Joined: Tue Dec 31, 2013 12:24 am
Contact:

3.0 inches of rain - YAY!
A bit brisk but I'll take one day of winter thank you :-)
Just because you're disabled, you don't have to be a victim
Be Weather Aware & Prepared!
Barbara Jordan Winner in Media
Disability Integration Consultant
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5360
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

The NWS has definitely upped rain chances for next week.
Cromagnum
Posts: 2592
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:42 pm
Contact:

Y'all can thank me for the cold weather. Brought it back with me from Maine instead of souvenirs.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5648
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Cromagnum wrote: Sat Oct 26, 2019 5:25 am
snowman65 wrote: Fri Oct 25, 2019 11:47 am it's official...I literally hate living in this area now. you can't even make plans anymore. With the permanent climate change we are in the midst of and knowing it's only going to get worse in the coming years will Mae it unbearable. can't wait to move away....far away....ughhh
Meh, there is no "permanent climate change". SE Texas weather always has and always will suck.
Over 28 years here, I've found the dry spells are drier and the wet events wetter...more frequent large rain events interspersed by nothing. Fall have been warmer for highs. Summers a degree or so cooler for highs. Night temps are 1-2°F warmer - some of that is UHI.

Most of the warming is in the high plains, particularly nights, winters. Our temperature on average in Texas has only nudged up 0.5°F to 1°F...and that's mostly at night.

But, yeah, from May to sometime in October can suck.
Last edited by DoctorMu on Mon Oct 28, 2019 3:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5648
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Image
unome
Posts: 3059
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2010 6:11 pm

thinking of Brooks' family in Denver, stay warm & come back & visit for the Astros parade :)

https://twitter.com/BrooksWeather
https://www.weather.gov/bou/
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/slc/webcam_map_CSV/
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/
User avatar
Belmer
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 744
Joined: Thu Jan 06, 2011 7:29 pm
Location: Dallas, TX
Contact:

Models continue to bring the front in much quicker. NAM brings it through Wednesday morning while the GFS has it pushing through Wednesday night.
Also interesting to add the 00z NAM have our neighbors to the W and SW getting their first freeze Friday morning.

Halloween looking chilly, high only reaching the lower 50s. Looking dry by trick or treat time!


Friday morning NAM forecast
Friday morning NAM forecast
Blake
Boomer Sooner
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5648
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Belmer wrote: Mon Oct 28, 2019 11:35 pm Models continue to bring the front in much quicker. NAM brings it through Wednesday morning while the GFS has it pushing through Wednesday night.
Also interesting to add the 00z NAM have our neighbors to the W and SW getting their first freeze Friday morning.

Halloween looking chilly, high only reaching the lower 50s. Looking dry by trick or treat time!



namconus_T2m_scus_53.png

We're inching closer to the record low of 30°F for Halloween night.
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5360
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

NWS lowered my rain chances this afternoon from 50% down to 40% - not sure why as it looks like rain is headed my way.
ccbluewater
Posts: 64
Joined: Tue May 23, 2017 1:16 pm
Location: Cypress
Contact:

Very heavy rain now, and with a lot of lightning 20-30 mins ago at my office near Tomball/Cypress.
BlueJay
Posts: 938
Joined: Tue Mar 04, 2014 10:47 am
Location: Alden Bridge-The Woodlands, Texas
Contact:

Very scary dark skies on this Halloween's eve eve.
Post Reply
  • Information