September 2019 - Warm End of September

[srainhoutx]

HGX believes confidence growing that the Montgomery/NE Harris Counties activity will build SW through the Metro Area into Ft Bend County. Rainfall rates of 3 to 5 inches per hour are possible.

[txbear]

Keeping an eye to the SW, right along 59, for another band setting up. Similar to what jasons said, I'm concerned about tornados spinning up in this type of atmosphere.

[art3]

took me 3 hours and a prayer to get home to meyerland yesterday PM. this line-will it be through by this afternoon?

[srainhoutx]

took me 3 hours and a prayer to get home to meyerland yesterday PM. this line-will it be through by this afternoon?

If you can leave, I would. The shorts term guidance is not too promising this stuff moves out before the afternoon rush.

[art3]

hmmm like by 4?

[jasons2k]

My roof is leaking! New roof too!

[srainhoutx]

hmmm like by 4?

To me it looks like the heaviest rain may begin to develop over Metro Houston within the next couple of hours. The band will slowly drift SE into Ft Bend, Southern/Central/SE Harris in the early afternoon. The damage will be done by 4 PM as those potential heavy rainfall rates could be impacting area roadways. Just my hunch...

[srainhoutx]

Jeff reports water entering homes in Huffman

[srainhoutx]

Update from Jeff:

Life threatening flash flood event is underway from Conroe to Porter to Winnie

8.36 inches of rainfall has fallen in the last 1.5 hours at Caney Creek and FM 2090 with 2 day storm totals now approaching 20-22 inches over SE Montgomery County and 15-20 inches over NE Harris County. Widespread deep flooding is in progress. Intense rainfall rates of 3-5 inches per hour is moving into the Kingwood, Humble, Huffman, and Crosby areas. This will result in rapid onset flash flooding in urban areas.

It appears this line will be moving into the Spring, Sheldon, Highlands, and Baytown areas over the next hour…flash flooding is likely along with rises on the West Fork of the San Jacinto River, Gum Gully, Carpenters Bayou

[stormlover]

So srain, Hardin County and Jefferson looks to get pounded again later by that model huh?

[Cromagnum]

Damn this looks bad for the east side.

https://mobile.twitter.com/spann/status ... 1105349640

https://mobile.twitter.com/weatherdak/s ... 9523691520

[tireman4]

hmmm like by 4?

To me it looks like the heaviest rain may begin to develop over Metro Houston within the next couple of hours. The band will slowly drift SE into Ft Bend, Southern/Central/SE Harris in the early afternoon. The damage will be done by 4 PM as those potential heavy rainfall rates could be impacting area roadways. Just my hunch...

You know we trust those hunches...over many many years in the business...

[snowman65]

Just got home in Orange from work in Beaumont. Glad I left when I did. Had to rescue my father in law again, just like Harvey. He will more than likely flood again. He is in Mauriceville. 85 years old and after going through Harvey with no flood insurance I hope this isnt too much for him. Fortunately he has flood insurance this time. Hope this winds down in the next 6 hours or so.

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
850 AM CDT THU SEP 19 2019

...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY, NORTHWESTERN
CHAMBERS, SOUTHWESTERN LIBERTY, AND NORTHEASTERN HARRIS COUNTIES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN CHAMBERS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTHWESTERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHEASTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1115 AM CDT.

* AT 846 AM CDT, EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED FLASH FLOODING
OCCURING IN THE WARNED AREA DUE TO PERSISTENT HEAVY RAIN WITH RAIN
RATES UP TO TWO TO FOUR INCHES PER HOUR. MULTIPLE ROADS AND
HIGHWAYS ARE IMPASSABLE. WATER IS RISING INTO RESIDENTIAL
BUILDINGS. PLEASE DO NOT TRAVEL UNLESS YOU HAVE TO AND SEEK HIGHER
GROUND IN EMERGENCIES. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.

THIS IS A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY,
NORTHWESTERN CHAMBERS, SOUTHWESTERN LIBERTY, AND NORTHEASTERN HARRIS
COUNTIES. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER
GROUND NOW!

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
HUMBLE, SPRING, KINGWOOD, BARRETT, CROSBY, NORTHERN MONT BELVIEU,
PATTON VILLAGE, ROMAN FOREST, WOODBRANCH, OLD RIVER-WINFREE, PLUM
GROVE, WOODLOCH, ATASCOCITA, LAKE HOUSTON, PORTER HEIGHTS, NEW
CANEY AND PORTER.

[srainhoutx]

Jeff advises those in NE Harris County...DO NOT TRAVEL...shelter in place

[Tx2005]

Is the rain over Humble/Kingwood/Atascocita expected to keep moving throughout the morning? It’s coming down pretty hard now. I hope we don’t see this for hours on end.

[srainhoutx]

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
CIVIL EMERGENCY MESSAGE
AT THE REQUEST OF HARRIS...MONTGOMERY...LIBERTY AND CHAMBERS
OEM...
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
909 AM CDT THU SEP 19 2019

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF
HARRIS...MONTGOMERY...LIBERTY AND CHAMBERS OFFICES OF EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT....

DUE TO FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCIES IN NORTHEAST HARRIS COUNTY
INCLUDING KINGWOOD AND HUMBLE, MONTGOMERY COUNTY, LIBERTY COUNTY
AND CHAMBERS COUNTY, EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REQUEST RESIDENTS TO
STAY PUT AND SHELTER IN PLACE. DO NOT VENTURE ON TO ANY ROADS IN
THESE AREAS. PEOPLE TRAVELLING ON AREA HIGHWAYS NEED TO AVOID THIS
AREA AND CHANGE TRAVEL PLANS. IF YOU ARE TRAPPED IN YOUR HOUSE
DUE TO FLOODING CALL EMERGENCY PERSONEL FOR EVACUATION RESCUE.

[srainhoutx]

Update from Jeff;

Flash Flood Emergency until 1115 am SE Montgomery County, NE Harris County, Liberty County

This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation…persons should shelter in place…Do Not travel.

3-hr rainfall rates of 6-10 inches over this area. Significant flash flooding is in progress. Water is entering homes in Huffman and water rescues are ongoing.

If you feel your life is in danger…call 911

[srainhoutx]

Jeff states water entering structures in Kingwood

[tireman4]

Those inflow rates (25 to 40 knots), the dewpoints down around the coast (80 degrees) and the serious moisture (2.0 to 2.2 PWATS) in the area will be a headache all day long. Folks, please stay tuned here, HGX and your local outlets for information.