September 2019 - Warm End of September

[unome]

updated blog from SpaceCityWX

https://spacecityweather.com/heavy-rain ... -thursday/
https://twitter.com/SpaceCityWX/status/ ... 5012583426
https://twitter.com/mattlanza

[djmike]

WOw. Heavy heavy band in beaumont. Over 2” in 30 min. Finally made it to work. Many roads are flooded already and coming down too fast for txdot to close these roads fast enough. Drive slow. College and MLK area is rhe area i drove. 2 underpasses filled up fast. Turn around dont drown.

Those overpasses can fill up quick. I havent noticed any heavy downpours yet downtown but I'm sure it's a hit and miss thing right now.

Yeah its a band from PA towards Beaumont, but the entire band is still lifting N as it rotates. Just looked at radar again and it looks like we are in for another hefty training band in a few. You in Orange should be getting in on the action probably within the next 30min as it rotates northward.

[djmike]

D9C9B0CD-D8BE-4111-B8CF-7C3EE4C8F34C.jpeg

Not good for Beaumont.. large training band setting up. Already over 2” this morning with flooding. Be safe everyone.

[don]

Rain is coming down really heavy here near downtown.

[srainhoutx]

Surface low offshore S of Bay City looks to be attempting to tighten up a bit as it slowly drifts N

[Rip76]

Surface low offshore S of Bay City looks to be attempting to tighten up a bit as it slowly drifts N

Yep, seeing that too.

[stormlover]

This is a depression don't understand why NHC won't pull the trigger!!!! Bastardi is going off right now on twitter about it.

[djmike]

Looks like the Low is further North and east than yesterdays projection. LOoks just south of hou when it was sw of houston yesterday

[djmike]

Pretty gusty winds with these bands in bmt

[tireman4]

My Moderator's PSA for this upcoming event ( well, I suppose ongoing). Our pro and amateur mets will be here, on and off all day ( and week). This will be an ever changing situation. Remember, they are forecasting and doing met stuff, so be patient with them if you have questions.

[djmike]

Work sending everyone home. Flooding. And where I work its 1 way in and 1 way out and it’s already under water.

[unome]

Matt Lanza = pure gold , very glad we have him in Houston

https://twitter.com/mattlanza/status/11 ... 2607393795

[Cromagnum]

TPW is sky high. I anticipate once the rain really starts rocking, its going to come in buckets.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/m ... anim=html5

[stormlover]

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 1712&fh=13

this would not be good for houston and beaumont

[sau27]

There is a pretty evident circulation center on radar just south of Brazoria county.

Couldn't get my tweet with the radar loop to load in here so here is the link: https://twitter.com/stephenuzick/status ... 8953942017

[jasons2k]

I've seen named tropical storms that looked less impressive and less organized than 98L does on satellite, and I've been doing this a long time.

[txbear]

There is a pretty evident circulation center on radar just south of Brazoria county.

Couldn't get my tweet with the radar loop to load in here so here is the link: https://twitter.com/stephenuzick/status ... 8953942017

That's no joke. Looking at the NOAA Buoy data (at least for those that have recently updated), winds look at bit gusty in the squalls. I'm not as keen on tropical weather in my very amateur weather wisdom, but agree with others that this would seem to be a tropical depression.

[TexasBreeze]

I agree to on it being a TD. Looks great to me.

[srainhoutx]

If you are looking at the various 12Z Mesoscale models, an eyebrow is raised with the very slow meandering surface low pressure that just seems to want to creep ever so slowly inland. There remains a lot of uncertainty regarding where (which locations/neighborhoods), how much rain will fall and just how long this will continue over the next 60 hours or so.

[don]

It looks to be a Depression to me also. The flooding threat doesn't really begin until the center is inland, tomorrow morning is when a majority of models show a core rain event starting.