July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain

[srainhoutx]

Midday Friday weather briefing from Jeff:

Weak front will approach and potentially move off the coast next week.

An unusual upper air pattern will develop across the US this weekend into next week with ridging developing across the western US and a strong downstream trough forming over the central plains into the eastern US. The result of this upper air pattern will be a rare summer front that will likely make it close to moving off the coast by the middle of next week. While widespread significant cooling is not expected, the increase in rainfall and cloud cover with the boundary will help reduce afternoon high temperatures into the upper 80’s and low 90’s. It is possible that convective outflows will help to push the boundary offshore by the middle of next week with a lowering of the humidity levels.

Tropical moisture will begin to surge into the area starting late Saturday and more likely Sunday and early next week. Expect an increase in showers and thunderstorms along the seabreeze Sunday and Monday and then more widespread storms Tues-Thurs as the front crawls into the region. With tropical moisture in place heavy rainfall will be possible, but at this time not expecting any potential for widespread flooding. Could see a few strong storms with gusty winds during the mid week period.

Area could briefly dry out some with activity moving toward the coastal areas or offshore by Thursday into Friday, but then moisture looks to move back into the area by next weekend with rain chances rising once again.

[tireman4]

146
FXUS64 KHGX 191713
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1213 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2019

.AVIATION...
Generally VFR conditions are expected this afternoon into tonight.
A mix of MVFR and potentially IFR ceilings will develop after 09z
and mainly affect northern TAF sites. An increase in moisture is
expected on Saturday and HiRes guidance supports a mention of
showers after 09z toward the coast. A few showers will be possible
over the southern TAF sites Saturday morning. 43

&&

[jasons2k]

More showers on the radar today than yesterday, even though today was supposed to be the driest day of all....go figure.

[DoctorMu]

Another hot mostly sunny SE TX day on the way however a change is on the way with an increase in thunderstorms beginning this weekend and into next week. In addition, the late July cool front still looks to arrive Tuesday-Wednesday of next week.

Some prog lows in the 60s on Tue, Wed night. I'll believe that when it happens!

Should be a refreshing and welcome knockdown of the DPs Models sniffed this out 2-3 days ago. Fingers crossed.

[Cpv17]

Well I see the Euro has cut back significantly on rainfall next week.. ugh!!

[unome]

how a secret weather forecast saved the Apollo 11 crew - this is amazing, don't remember ever reading about it before

https://www.nro.gov/News/News-Articles/ ... U8.twitter

With some difficulty, NASA and the U.S. Navy made last-minute changes to Apollo 11’s reentry and splashdown profile, saving the astronauts and their mission.

[srainhoutx]

Hard to believe that 50 years ago at this hour, The Eagle was descending toward the Sea of Tranquility on the lunar surface. So many vivid memories flood in and remembering my Dad and his assignment to work with those 'moon rocks' in the vacuum chamber in Building 37 (Lunar Receiving Laboratory) at JSC.

[Cromagnum]

That crap near Spring needs to calm down or go another direction. I've got a concert in the woodlands to attend tonight

[unome]

Hard to believe that 50 years ago at this hour, The Eagle was descending toward the Sea of Tranquility on the lunar surface. So many vivid memories flood in and remembering my Dad and his assignment to work with those 'moon rocks' in the vacuum chamber in Building 37 (Lunar Receiving Laboratory) at JSC.

that's too cool srain, I had no idea - you must be extremely proud of your dad

[jasons2k]

I hit 100 today. Rainclouds in all directions except on top of me!

[jasons2k]

NWS, with yesterday’s package had a 50% chance of rain for today. Now it says 30%.

[Texaspirate11]

NWS, with yesterday’s package had a 50% chance of rain for today. Now it says 30%.

Jason - I am still watering my grass.....

[unome]

we're currently at 40% for today & Monday, 60% for Tuesday - the cloud cover is most welcome, hope it lasts

[Cpv17]

NWS, with yesterday’s package had a 50% chance of rain for today. Now it says 30%.

I wouldn’t expect much rain this week unless you live along the coast. Everyone else less than half an inch with the way things are looking now.

[Rip76]

There's a little blob creeping along westward in the GOM just under Galveston.

Are these the remnants from Barry they were speaking of last week?

[Cromagnum]

Keep creeping on over. Could use some soaking rains on the coast.

[Texaspirate11]

Rain coming in from NOLA! Looking promising down here

[davidiowx]

Radar starting to get active as we hit convective temps this afternoon. Please rain here!!

[unome]

gulf blob is kinda waning, but stuff is creeping inland ! fingers crossed

https://radar.weather.gov/lite/N0R/HGX_loop.gif

https://youtu.be/iTpm4z9fRjE
(yes I know, it should be reign, but just let me hope, mkay?)

[srainhoutx]

We may need to monitor the tail end of that frontal boundary. I am seeing waves of low pressure rippling along the front and some suggestions of a possible weak surface low attempting to form Wednesday/Thursday. As the front washes out, a weak easterly flow may push rain chances back into the Coast next weekend.