MAY 2019: Wednesday Storm Complex/Scattered Showers To End May

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
unome
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https://twitter.com/DisasterPIO/status/ ... 2987714567
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UPDATE | @ReadyHarris will be LIVE at 3:00 PM from @HoustonTranStar with @JudgeHidalgo, @SylvesterTurner, @AdrianGarciaHTX and @JeffLindner1 to discuss potential severe weather expected through this weekend.
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Cpv17
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The humidity here in Wharton is downright miserable. And winds are almost completely calm.
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srainhoutx
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Latest from HGX...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
248 PM CDT THU MAY 9 2019

.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND:

- A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH
7 PM SATURDAY.
- FORECASTED RAINFALL TOTALS ARE STILL ABOUT 4 TO 8 INCHES
WIDESPREAD, WITH ISOLATED 9 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. A LOT OF THIS
RAIN COULD FALL IN A VERY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME WHICH COLD LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING.
- MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING IS ONGOING AND IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE. CONDITIONS COULD WORSEN SIGNIFICANTLY DEPENDING ON
WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAINS FALL.
- THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT ACROSS NEARLY ALL OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE PRIMARY
WEATHER HAZARDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE DAMAGING WINDS, HAIL AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP OFF TO OUR EAST
AND OFF TO OUR WEST, AND IT IS ONLY A MATTER OF TIME UNTIL ACTIVITY
BEGINS TO FILL IN ACROSS OUR AREA. OUR DEVELOPING STORMS WILL HAVE
SOME STRONG/SEVERE POTENTIAL (SLIGHT RISK PER SPC'S DAY 1 SEVERE
WEATHER OUTLOOK) WITH DAMAGING WINDS, HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES
POSSIBLE. DEVELOPING ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO EVOLVE INTO A
POTENTIAL HEAVY RAIN EVENT (RAINFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES PER
HOUR OR HIGHER POSSIBLE) AS WE HEAD ON INTO THIS EVENING AND ON
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, AND THEN ONCE AGAIN AS WE HEAD ON
INTO A FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY TIME PERIOD. THE
MOVEMENT/PLACEMENT OF A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN OUR AREA
COULD BECOME A PLAYER AS TO WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL SETS UP -
MAYBE MORE CONCENTRATED IN/AROUND THE I-10 CORRIDOR OR MAYBE MORE
CONCENTRATED NEAR/ALONG THE COAST. WE WILL HAVE TO SEE HOW
EVERYTHING EVOLVES. FORECASTED RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED TO BE COMMON FOR THIS EVENT, AND SOME LOCATIONS COULD
SEE 9 TO 12 INCHES BEFORE THE HEAVIEST RAINS COME TO AN END SOME
TIME LATE SATURDAY OR EARLY SUNDAY.

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN COMBINATION WITH SHORTWAVES, INCREASING LIFT
AND BUILDING PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES (>2 INCHES AND GETTING CLOSE
TO 2.5 INCHES) WILL BE VERY SUPPORTIVE OF THE INTENSE RAINFALL RATES,
AND IF ANY OF THE ACTIVITY IS SLOW MOVING OR TRAINS, FLASH FLOODING
WILL BE LIKELY AS LOTS OF AREA GROUNDS REMAIN SATURATED FROM RECENT
RAINS.

RIVER FLOODING (MAINLY MINOR TO MODERATE RIGHT NOW) IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE. IF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL ENDS UP IN/AROUND AREA BASINS,
CREEKS AND BAYOUS, CONDITIONS COULD WORSEN RATHER QUICKLY AND
SIGNIFICANTLY.

THIS COULD BE A MULTI-DAY EVENT, AND EVERY EFFORT SHOULD BE MADE
TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE WEATHER/FORECASTS/WARNINGS AS EVERYTHING
UNFOLDS. 42
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Texaspirate11
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Cpv17 wrote: Thu May 09, 2019 2:44 pm The humidity here in Wharton is downright miserable. And winds are almost completely calm.
same here by the bay - its unbearable....
Just because you're disabled, you don't have to be a victim
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sau27
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Surface observation just off the coast is showing an 80 degree dew point. VERY moist air our there
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srainhoutx
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WPC afternoon Updated 48 Hour Quantitative Precipitation Forecast...
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05092019 2 Day QPF d12_fill.gif
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Texaspirate11
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87 degrees feels like 95 dew point at 74 and the sun is out...I got a bad feeling
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Barbara Jordan Winner in Media
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sambucol
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Texaspirate11 wrote: Thu May 09, 2019 3:25 pm 87 degrees feels like 95 dew point at 74 and the sun is out...I got a bad feeling
Me too.
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srainhoutx
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WPC afternoon Updated Excessive Rainfall Outlook for tomorrow..
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05092019 WPC Afternoon Day 2 D6JryMnW4AA2eFq.jpg
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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WPC expands Moderate Risk for Excessive Rainfall on Saturday to include most of our SE Texas area...
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05092019 WPC Afternnon Day 3 D6JsLPBXsAAeJQN.jpg
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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