MAY 2019: Wednesday Storm Complex/Scattered Showers To End May

[Ounce]

Tstorm warning for them, too:

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
131 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

TXC395-081900-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0157.000000T0000Z-190508T1900Z/
Robertson TX-
131 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT
FOR ROBERTSON COUNTY...

At 130 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Calvert, or 7
miles north of Hearne, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Hearne, Franklin and Calvert.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection stay inside a sturdy structure and keep away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3073 9662 3076 9661 3078 9663 3078 9665
3081 9664 3087 9670 3091 9669 3090 9672
3093 9676 3107 9674 3112 9628 3109 9628
3106 9624 3101 9626 3097 9625 3091 9635
3074 9646 3070 9656
TIME...MOT...LOC 1830Z 266DEG 33KT 3099 9662

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

Hernandez

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
148 PM CDT WED MAY 8 2019

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN BRAZOS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 230 PM CDT.

* AT 146 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED 8 MILES EAST OF FRANKLIN, OR 16 MILES NORTHEAST OF
HEARNE, MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
MADISONVILLE AROUND 215 PM CDT.

[Ounce]

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
TXC041-051-185-313-081930-
/O.NEW.KHGX.SV.W.0083.190508T1841Z-190508T1930Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
141 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northeastern Burleson County in southeastern Texas...
Northwestern Grimes County in southeastern Texas...
Brazos County in southeastern Texas...
Madison County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 230 PM CDT.

* At 140 PM CDT, a line of severe thunderstorms was located near
Franklin, or 10 miles northeast of Hearne, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
College Station, Bryan, Madisonville, Kurten, Wixon Valley, Kyle
Field, Normangee, Iola and North Zulch.

[DoctorMu]

Message: NOAA-NWS-ALERTS-TX125CF8118A5C.TornadoWarning.125CF81194E8TX.HGXTORHGX.fb2ce34ac8226f732159c4d804177c06 from w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Sent: 14:03 CDT on 05-08-2019
Effective: 14:03 CDT on 05-08-2019
Expires: 14:30 CDT on 05-08-2019
Event: Tornado Warning
Alert:
The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
East central Burleson County in southeastern Texas...
South central Brazos County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 230 PM CDT.

* At 202 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Snook, or 10 miles east of Caldwell, moving east
at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Tornado.
SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
Kyle Field around 220 PM CDT.
Millican around 230 PM CDT.
Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Wellborn.
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN
Instructions: TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. This cluster of thunderstorms is capable of producing tornadoes and widespread significant wind damage. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.
Target Area:
Brazos
Burleson

[DoctorMu]

Area of rotation near Snook heading east.

[srainhoutx]

New Tornado Watch looks likely further East for our neighbors in deep East Texas and Louisiana

[Ounce]

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
211 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

TXC313-081930-
/O.CON.KHGX.TO.W.0032.000000T0000Z-190508T1930Z/
Madison TX-
211 PM CDT Wed May 8 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
MADISON COUNTY...

At 210 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 9 miles northwest of Madisonville, moving east at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
Madisonville around 220 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include North
Zulch.

[srainhoutx]

Some adjustments made to the new Tornado Watch. Montgomery County has been added.

[srainhoutx]

Rotating wall cloud and a rope tornado has been reported with the cell that passed near Easterwood Airport in College Station

[stormlover]

Wonder if this will die out before it gets to Beaumont ?

[DoctorMu]

Rotating wall cloud and a rope tornado has been reported with the cell that passed near Easterwood Airport in College Station

impressive wall cloud. Will post pics later.

[srainhoutx]

For those wondering if the Flood Threat still remains, the answer is yes. Looking over the guidance today, it does appear that tomorrow into at least Saturday will be active and the heavy rainfall threat continues. A general 5 to 8 inches of rainfall still looks possible with isolated higher amounts likely. I am focusing on Friday afternoon into Saturday as a series of low pressure waves ride up a stalled boundary into our SE Texas Region from the Lower Rio Grande Valley. Rainfall rates as we saw yesterday could be near 4+ inches per hour in heavier storms. Training of thunderstorms may also be possible.

NWS WPC‏Verified account @NWSWPC · 3m3 minutes ago

A MODERATE risk is in effect in our Day 2 Excessive Rainfall Outlook. More details: http://go.usa.gov/cu3Dw

[DoctorMu]

Initial wall cloud view.

Became wedge tornado in Bryan - time to go inside!

[Cpv17]

Today looks to be a dud across most of southeast TX. Storms stabilized the atmosphere yesterday too much for anything to get going today.

[unome]

the Tweet w/video from NWS Tampa Bay was about our weather in TX yesterday, but incredibly interesting link on Supercell Structure and Dynamics from NWS Louisville, KY

https://twitter.com/NWSTampaBay/status/ ... 8187589632

NWS Tampa Bay
‏Verified account @NWSTampaBay

Keeping radar skills sharp by analyzing current storms in #TX, and saw a classic example of a "Splitting Supercell", where a storm updraft splits into 2 distinct storm updrafts. Learn more about supercell updrafts at the NWS page below. #flwx #txwx @NWSAMA https://www.weather.gov/lmk/supercell/dynamics

[unome]

IMG_2402.b.jpg


IMG_2412.b.jpg

yikes, Dr ! that's too close for comfort

[srainhoutx]

Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0211
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
400 PM EDT Wed May 08 2019

Areas affected...Eastern TX & Western LA

Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible

Valid 081959Z - 090159Z

Summary...A progressive band of showers and thunderstorms is
expected to produce hourly totals to 2" with local amounts to 4"
over the next several hours.

Discussion...Radar imagery shows a progressive band of showers and
thunderstorms, with embedded mesocyclones, moving across eastern
TX and the ArkLaTex. The system has a pronounced cold pool in its
wake which is likely the driving force behind its forward
propagation. Precipitable water values of 1.5-2" lie across the
area per GPS data. Convergent inflow at 850 hPa is out of the
southwest at 35-45 kts per VAD wind profiles. Effective bulk
shear of 40-50 knots and fairly unidirectional flow with height
has helped the band organize into a quasi-linear system. Embedded
mesocyclones have elevated hourly rain totals to 1.5-2" per radar
estimates, which could be too low in such a moist environment. ML
CAPE values in advance of the line are hefty, with 3000+ J/kg
values right over Houston.

The mesoscale guidance is proving that the struggle is real today,
with only 17z HRRR/RAP runs and the 12z ARW having any concept of
what is ongoing. Some of the guidance weakens this band shortly,
but with the degree of convergent inflow, moisture, and
instability available, the presence of a deep layer cyclone to the
north-northwest, the line moving into an area of higher dew points
which could broaden the band of thunderstorms, a cold pool with
temperatures in the low 60s, a quick dissipation of the band seems
unlikely. With a lagging instability pool across south-central
TX, and the deep layer cyclone still to the north-northwest, there
is concern that the southwest flank of the convective line could
hold up and lead to a more serious threat at some point. The 12z
ARW hints at this idea though it might be too far west with where
this threat might materialize. For the time being, expect hourly
rain totals to 2" with local amounts to 4" being most probable.
Areas in and near Houston received 3-14" of rain on Tuesday --
this area is the most sensitive to additional heavy rainfall.
Should the rainfall situation worsen more than expected across
portions of Southeast TX, a new discussion would be warranted.

Roth

ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...FWD...HGX...LCH...SHV...

[jasons2k]

Today looks to be a dud across most of southeast TX. Storms stabilized the atmosphere yesterday too much for anything to get going today.

Bit early to be making such calls. This line very well may progress ESE into Gulf inflow. It’s just getting started...

[Cpv17]

Today looks to be a dud across most of southeast TX. Storms stabilized the atmosphere yesterday too much for anything to get going today.

Bit early to be making such calls. This line very well may progress ESE into Gulf inflow. It’s just getting started...

Yeah that could be the case. We’ll find out for sure within the next few hours.

[Cromagnum]

Today looks to be a dud across most of southeast TX. Storms stabilized the atmosphere yesterday too much for anything to get going today.

I definitely wouldn't say that. Lots of little discrete cells starting to pop up in the southern viewing area