I was just wondering about the long term forecast for our region last night. I can visualize consistent off and on rain chances lasting through at least the month of May and early June including a couple bouts of severe thunderstorm/tornado events, with one or two being very significant in magnitude. After June rolls around, I can see a very warm and dry weather pattern becoming established across our region. I will be kinda surprised if a rainy pattern persists through the summer months. Though I may be proven wrong in the end, I anticipate we will experience a much wetter pattern the first half of the year followed up with a more dry weather pattern during the second half of the year. Just a gut feeling I'm having at this time, so unfortunately I can't back this prediction up with any meteorological data.
Meanwhile, this persistent southern subtropical jet stream really worries me. This jet stream along with deeper moisture consistently lurking close to our region and the southern tier of the US spells trouble for someone going forward through the rest of this winter into spring. It may not necessarily include Southeast Texas, but I strongly feel some areas are going to eventually face a few very significant, possibly historical, severe weather and/or heavy rain events before all is said and done. We shall see. Meanwhile, everyone have a safe & happy new year and remain weather aware accordingly.